I agree with your overarching points....but....
Thing is there has been polls done that if the elections were held today Trump would win.
2024 is almost two years away. Polling matchups this early are meaningless, they just suggest people's frustration of today's situation which reflects the weakness of Biden regime than the inherent Trump strengths. There is also plenty of time for Biden regime to dig up incriminating dirt on Trump's tax fraud, corruption, and instigating insurrection which will further disqualify him among independents.
There is no more any establishment Republicans. They all bowed to Trump.
Yea, the leader of the Republican party, Mitch McConnell famously came out and said Jan 6th was a 'violent insurrection' which he provoked in a clean break with Trump, so he probably prefers DeSantis or Pence or even Ted Cruz over Trump. A civil war is brewing in the Republican party.
No one in the left wing base is excited to vote for Biden again or vote for Kamala Harris in 2024.
As a lefty social democrat, I was motivated to vote for Biden not because he is good or mediocre, but because he was 'not Trump'. The 2020 election was a referendum on Trump vs. Not Trump, we all knew Biden will be a disappointment, but it was the lesser of two evils. I wouldn't underestimate the power of hating Trump amongst lefties. You are right, Kamala sucks, Pete Buttigirg sucks, Democrats have noone except Biden, which also suck. lol
Democrats better hope a recession doesn’t happens next year or 2024 because it will be massacre.
China should drive a hard bargain on Tariff relief, both will help stimulate US economic growth and relieve US inflationary pressure. I'm sure after Democrats midterm slaughter, Biden will prioritize economic growth and reigning inflation, which must include further tariff reductions and an end to the disastrous trade war.