??? I don't understand.
Please, explain. I've had a rough week and worked about 70 hours in 5 days. I needed to do some stuff today, but feel exhausted. My brain is mildly tapioca. That I am coherent at all seems to be a minor miracle to me.
(1) I was agreeing and disagreeing at the same time, jokingly. Any public forum I have been on evolves like that. The site wants more participants. Participants want quality. Ther are oxthemoron. It is like a large family reunion. And it is truth of life: we get what we are asking for. Nothing wrong, just the way it is. And trying to be funny at the same time. See, I am getting bipolar now???
Perhaps. That's the best interpretation. It could also be goal post moving (worst interpretation).
If Putin thought he could have a flash strike and win, I would have natively thought of him as a master of politics. This is a have-to last-act strategic move in his career as well as his life. Russia simply does not have wherewithal to win a flash war in Ukraine. And NATO won't allow him. Under the circumstances, Putin is practicing Mao's protracted war strategy, with difference being that in a neighboring country. But in essence, he is in his home court vis-a-vis NATO. His aim can only be (a) occupy the east and (2) bleed NATO to its knee. That is winning because this is the beginning of the end of western civilization as we knew it, which is his ultimate goal.
Explain, please?
To me the war is very self defeating for the Russians. There was no way Ukraine was joining NATO. It probably will not now unless Ukraine goes on to have miracles of god for its campaigns and takes all of the Donbas and Crimea. Now, however, it seems semi likely Finland will and Sweden may join NATO. The sanctions by the west are not going to go away soon, even if the war ends. China is only willing to help as far as it help china, not out of the goodness of Xi's heart.
Certainly this phase has exposed weakness of Russian armed forces. But Putin knows that. It is a war of attrition by design. Outside the west, Putin is winning the public opinions by days. People see he is stubbornly reluctant to inflict civilian casualties and to destroy for the sake of destroying. Remember we were all batching about Soviet pfoducts? Clumsy and unnecessarily heavy and bulky, but functioning. It is genetically Russian style.
Not taking your post as trolling at all.
I use the numbers to separate different thoughts. Otherwise, it seems to blend together, especially when I am tired.
I am flattered someone else found it useful.
I was just trying to be funny in a weekend evening
Russia's war only make sense if you can rapidly gain capitulation at minimal economic costs. In contrast, a 'forever war' + 10-15 years of lost economic growth is too costly for the original demands.
See my answer above.
Putin has more resources and capabilities and international conditions to do what Mao did between 1959 and 1976 in China. Russia is secure. Russia can be self-sufficient, with China at its back, literally. Three years and EU is done. Five years and the west is east. Putin is practicing: if I cannot join them, beat them. He cannot trample over the west, but he certainly can drag them down. Relatively speaking, Russia would have won a great deal if he could see even half of that result.