Ukrainian War Developments

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Abominable

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People would have believed this if Ukraine invasion didn't happen but it's been revealed that most Russian units are performing poorly even thought they are near their home country and most of their regularly military is there.

Also, Russians cannot open another front... they don't have men nor equipment to do that because they basically emptied all their garrisons near Finland and send all that into Ukraine (many won't return). Hot air coming from Moscow.
At this point I think you're right. Putin is starting to show his weaknesses and everyone in Europe is taking advantage. Any previous Soviet leader and half of Europe would already be dead.
 

Skye_ZTZ_113

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Yes, they are doing a lot of grandstanding with their application and watching the Russian response. Finnish people aren't suicidal like eastern Europeans are, but if Russia continues to show itself as weak they may go through with it.

Hopefully the Ukraine war is sorted out before then.
Perhaps the destruction of the long awaited Donbass cauldron will change peoples' minds? I keep getting Stalingrad vibes where the overwhelming German narrative believed the Red Army was finished. Then the jaws closed and the rest is history. The Russians have been pulling their punches since day 1 and I think we're soon about to see a taste of what they have been holding back for NATO via demonstration in Donbass.
 

pmc

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People would have believed this if Ukraine invasion didn't happen but it's been revealed that most Russian units are performing poorly even thought they are near their home country and most of their regularly military is there.

Also, Russians cannot open another front... they don't have men nor equipment to do that because they basically emptied all their garrisons near Finland and send all that into Ukraine (many won't return). Hot air coming from Moscow.
You don't need men for stand off weapons. Finland does not have much
importance like Ukraine which have important diaspora in Israel, North America , Turkey and Russia.
 

Abominable

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Perhaps the destruction of the long awaited Donbass cauldron will change peoples' minds? I keep getting Stalingrad vibes where the overwhelming German narrative believed the Red Army was finished. Then the jaws closed and the rest is history. The Russians have been pulling their punches since day 1 and I think we're soon about to see a taste of what they have been holding back for NATO via demonstration in Donbass.
At this point I'm not sure Russia has the will to do that. Despite announcing the end of "stage one" , there doesn't seem to be any doctrinal change other than redeploying ground forces.

Russians here have been giving excuses for their poor performance. While some points may be true, it doesn't hide the fact that the Russian military is no longer feared any more. I think this is because of poor strategic decisions rather than the competency of the Russian military, but again, it doesn't matter.

Once that has gone the only credible threat that Russia has is the nuclear deterrence. Even that is currently being eroded a bit at a time with all these provocations. Unlike America, Russia have never used nuclear weapons in anger. If the Russians let Ukraine survive I'd question their will to use those as well. This is a war for Russia's existence. The sooner Putin believes that instead of just saying it, the sooner the war is over.

In my opinion the only way out of this is to restore credibility in Russia's military. I'd let NATO rearm Ukraine as much as they want (excluding air force). Then launch one of the most brutal offensives against Ukraine seen since WW2. Hit them with artillery, aerial strikes, completely overwhelm them. Hit any fleeing Ukrainian soldiers, there can be no survivors.

Then I wouldn't advance, I'd let them rearm, form a new line and do the same again. Keep doing that until there is no human left in Ukraine willing to resist. Then advance all the way to the Polish border, set up the denazification camps to put the population through and put the surviving war criminals on trial. Any Nazis fleeing to the west will have to spent their rest of their lives fearing a KGB attack.

Unfortunately hundreds of thousands will have to die. If Putin had fought properly from the start it would only have to be tens of thousands, but there's no changing that.
 

Coalescence

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At this point I'm not sure Russia has the will to do that. Despite announcing the end of "stage one" , there doesn't seem to be any doctrinal change other than redeploying ground forces.
There are claims that the commander for the operation is going to change
Apparently this guy commanded in the Syria front, so maybe we'll see a shift in strategy?
 

Abominable

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emblem21

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I don't think Japan will be struck by China, unless they dare intervene in an event of a military reunification of Taiwan. What's likely going to happen is Japan will slowly fade into irrelevance, as China's power in the region becomes increasingly stronger, that all they can do is cling onto US more and seethe.
Either way, China will be prepared no matter the scenario. I have heard that there are a rising number of Japanese people coming to the mainland to find work. Goes to show no matter what values the west tries to implement on Japan, Chinas ways will eventually shine through no matter how long it takes. All it is now, is a waiting game to see who blinks first and given the current crisis in the USA right now, well the USA is going to need plenty of eye drops (provided by China as usual) for the sheer dryness of their eyes right now along with a lot of tissues for the amount of tears that are going to be shed
 

Coalescence

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Either way, China will be prepared no matter the scenario. I have heard that there are a rising number of Japanese people coming to the mainland to find work. Goes to show no matter what values the west tries to implement on Japan, Chinas ways will eventually shine through no matter how long it takes.
The Japanese people deserve better than a government, military and banks that sells out their sovereignty and subservient to interest of US.
 
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