Ukrainian War Developments

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redion

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That's pretty much what I expected. We're getting close to the farcical point where every Ukrainian soldier will be carrying a Kalashnikov in one hand and some type of western ATGM in the other. No wonder so many of them are being recovered by Russians.

If you think an army can operate like that for any period of time you're mistaken.

Not to mention the mismatched rifles.
There is all so the possibility that if the conflict will go on in the long term the western I mean the NATO regular calibers and weapons will became even more predominantly ore replace same of the former Soviet armaments case in point this photo from the Georgian legion of Ukrainian National Guard
 

Abominable

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Looks like we may have the first confirmed western mercenary casualty.
img_20220328_171228_383803206369744535354.jpg

Not a dead body of course, they could have just found his documents.

But he's definitely a real person, a british ex soldier who was fighting in Donbass.
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ArmchairAnalyst

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Western Europe was dealing with social unrest, economic downturn and high fuel prices before Putin stepped into Ukraine, it was pretty close to the 70s already. You don't think things are going to get much worse than that time period if Europe suddenly decides to stop using Russian gas and oil?
I can say with much confidence albeit somewhat anecdotal that today isn't even close to how bleak it was back then.
We still have a very long way to fall before it reaches that low. At least from my spoiled north European perspective where Russian gas and oil have little sway.
 

Abominable

Major
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There is all so the possibility that if the conflict will go on in the long term the western I mean the NATO regular calibers and weapons will became even more predominantly ore replace same of the former Soviet armaments case in point this photo from the Georgian legion of Ukrainian National Guard
I think this is a big mistake for NATO to be making. They should be trying to standardise the weapons they are sending to Ukraine as much as possible, not each country sending whatever surplus they have. You'll soon have a situation on the frontlines where some will have too much 5.45 ammo and not enough 5.56 NATO or vice versa. Even the NATO ammo isn't fully standardised, and each country has their own specification for ammo. It's not just with rifles but with practically every platform NATO is sending across.

It may be fine if Ukraine was fighting a guerrilla war, but a modern professional army will find it a logistical nightmare.
 

4Runner

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China's natural gas consumption in 2020. They may have already consumed more than the total of NATO countries in Europe. They certainly can take in big bulk of what Russian sold to EU.

View attachment 86090
China definitely has the energy demand to consume a lot more natural gas. But the question is the percentage in overall energy picture. The top factor is energy security. China has to import monstrous amount of oil because it is up stream of lots of manufactured goods plus autos. But gas is more like internal heating needs. I think China can increase gas imports if it gets long-term guaranteed supply.

On a side note, China actually has similar potentials of fracking to US. But fracking is too dirty and also dangerous to induce earthquakes. And western China is rugged mountain regions as opposed to Texas prairie. Hence the real long-term solutions can only be nuclear+renewables. Therefore, I doubt China will dramatical increase gas import for long-term energy objectives.
 

Lethe

Captain
"Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said Russia will stop shipping natural gas to countries that reject the demand"

How granular is the gas infrastructure between Russia and Europe? Can Russia actually turn off the gas to specific countries while supplying it to others?
 
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