Can someone provide data or analysis on the map here. Or refer me to the post/site if its been done already.
Is ukraine concentrating most of its force near russian controlled areas or do they still have massive swathes of equipment and troops for when they advance further. For example in Cherkasy or Odesa.
Thanks.
They are going to concentrate on the east and the south, taking the areas east and around the Dniepr river. Another force will turn and head to Odessa, the result of which is to cut Ukraine off from the Black Sea. The attack on Kiev is likely a diversion that holds down the main Ukrainian army while they take Donesk, Lugansk and Kharkov, then sweep north and west ward to Dniepr. The Southern and Eastern forces will merge into a more concentrated front while they sweep northwest taking all the territory east of the Dniepr and around it.
I do not think the Russians plan to conquer the whole of Ukraine anyway, nor take over Kiev, but put Zelensky into a position and offer a "golden bridge" that will result in negotiating away the eastern part of Ukraine east and around the Dniepr into Russia and as part of the new Donetsk and Lugansk Republics. The western Ukraine becomes a neutral in the model of Finland or Switzerland.
What I see here is the UKR having divided their forces trying to defend Kiev, with a large part of their forces being held down at Kiev, while the Russians buckle in on defensive positions, awaiting UKR counterattacks and making it bloody for the UKR. With UKR forces tied down and diverted to the north, the LBR, NBR, and the RU armies to the south and the east sweep the south.
