Ukrainian War Developments

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supersnoop

Major
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Some of the "captured" photos they've just taken pictures Russians have taken and badly photoshopped out the Russian soldiers.
Not an expert, but counterbattery radar wouldn’t be too far from command post and entire gun line would it? If they were able to covertly send an ambush and capture this radar, it would be unlikely to not meet with some response from the local defence plan of the gun detachment o would think. If that itself had failed, then the entire detachment would be vulnerable to being captured, unless they retreated. However, the lines being more stable the past two weeks, why would guns be deployed so far forward? These are the questions that come to me when trying to determine the veracity of the photo.
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
Not an expert, but counterbattery radar wouldn’t be too far from command post and entire gun line would it? If they were able to covertly send an ambush and capture this radar, it would be unlikely to not meet with some response from the local defence plan of the gun detachment o would think. If that itself had failed, then the entire detachment would be vulnerable to being captured, unless they retreated. However, the lines being more stable the past two weeks, why would guns be deployed so far forward? These are the questions that come to me when trying to determine the veracity of the photo.
Yeah, a counterbattery radar isn't something you'd expect to find close to the front line. There haven't been any significant changes in positions in the last week. Maybe around Kiev its possible.

My guess is some Ukrainian civilian in Russian controlled territory was walking their dog and came across it. Took a picture and uploaded it, Oryx sees it and snap, another Ukrainian military capture. Just like most of his tanks "captured" by the Ukrainian military.
 

asif iqbal

Lieutenant General
Odessa is too hard. There's no natural boundaries to its north/west and there's 3 major roads M05, M15 and M16 leading from either western Ukraine or NATO countries.

Cutting from the Black Sea is not possible now, so Russia must focus on doing maximum damage and annexing maximum land up to defensible borders.

the whole campaign needed no less than double or even triple the number of Russian forces >300,000 men

the Russian intelligence was wrong to say that Ukrainians would welcome them as liberators

for this reason 120,000 were sent and they got bogged down, Russian are tough fighters no doubt but these are suicidal tactics by Russians

had they got the intel right they would cut off Western Ukraine with a entire Russian army of 100,000 men

this would stop the flow of weapons, then they would need over 200,000 for the rest of Ukraine

going in with 120,000 troops and allowing 1000s of ATGM and 1000s of MANPADS to enter from the West is basically a losing battle

unless those supplies lines are not cut Russia cannot win this war

you cannot take Ukraine without securing the Western border

they should now consolidate and hold
 

Will76

New Member
Registered Member
Can someone provide data or analysis on the map here. Or refer me to the post/site if its been done already.

Ukraine_map_2022_03_25.jpg


Is ukraine concentrating most of its force near russian controlled areas or do they still have massive swathes of equipment and troops for when they advance further. For example in Cherkasy or Odesa.

Thanks.
 
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