Official from the Russian Ministry of Defense
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
- Start date
- Status
After pushing forward in the initial stage they are clearing the units trapped in the rear areas before moving forward again. Examples being Mariupol and Izium. The Russians do not have enough troops to continue pushing forward while leaving those places surrounded in their back.
Nice of the Ukrainians to leave the city and come out in the open where Russian aviation can hit them.
"Limited" compared with what? Mariupol had twice the population of Fallujah and had like 3.5 times the combatants in it.
Seems to be going pretty fast to me.
Russia is rejecting some volunteers. That should be telling you something.
I think Russia will get all the mercenaries and volunteers they need.
No shit Sherlock. They unloaded a large part of the Marines and their equipment in Berdyansk days ago.
So the Russian Paratroopers have set themselves up as bait. I do not know how well they will be able to do their task. But if the Ukrainian Army's past "successes" at Hostomel are any indication I remain highly skeptical the Ukrainians will have much success now that the VDV reinforced and dug in. Even with their light equipment.
The Russians are not using mortars. They are using artillery. This includes howitzers and MRLS. So far I have not seen them use unguided long range fires into urban centers. Outside sure.
Yeah. Zelensky is winning but wants more tanks and missiles. He seems to want more anti-tank missiles a day than Russian committed tanks to this operation total. This is quite interesting considering Ukraine has more operational tanks than, say, Poland has. The only NATO members with more tanks are the US and Turkey. And Ukraine upgraded a lot of those tanks with 3rd generation thermals, and improved integrated digitized battlespace communications suites courtesy of NATO. None of which the Russians have even in the T-72B3M which still uses 2nd generation thermal. In fact the Ukrainians have more of these tanks than the Russians committed to this operation total I think. So how come they can't seem to make a single successful combined mechanized operation?
I agree. And if the damaged tanks we saw there when the operation started are any indication that is where the Russians have sent their best armored units. The second line troops seem to be doing better than them so far. Then again they might have been in a holding pattern until the forces near Mariupol broke through.
Sure. And then Putin can glass Miami or some place like that. Perhaps he can do a real live demonstration of Poseidon on the Florida coast so we can see its effects live instead of on a crappy computer rendered animation. Do you even know Russian official nuclear doctrine? It is published. Attacking Russian territory, and the Russians consider Crimea to be their territory, with nukes is cause for them using nukes too.
Yeah if you believe the Ukrainian NED funded press the Russians cannot supply their own troops. Yet here they are handing out food to the civilian population. They did the same to Kherson. A city with 283 thousand people. Makes perfect sense I guess.
Right. I forgot. Russian supply sucks.
Did they not give Samsung an exemption so they could sell smartphones to Russia. Which Samsung then decided not to sell in Russia anyway because they thought it would be better press? How come China cannot sell consumer grade electronics to Russia? Oh right. Huawei is also supposed not to buy SoCs for smartphones unless they are Qualcomm 4G SoCs. Nice free market you have there. Shame if we broke it.
Well it is not like a Soviet built refinery connected to a Russian oil pipeline supply would be easy to change. You would need to reverse pipeline flows from that Polish port in the map to it. Maybe. Does it support reverse flow even? You would also need to change its configuration to the new oil they got for it whatever that would be. I am sure the Poles are already doing that to their oil refinery. Maybe. The Russians and the Poles have had a beef with regards to this for quite some time. The Poles wanted to nationalize their oil pipeline to Belarus. The Russians then decided to do "maintenance" on their side of the pipeline and closed oil supply for a couple of months. Oops. I think there is a Russian oil pipeline doing maintenance right now as well.
If they do not mind becoming a Western colony again then India can break ties to Russia in a snap.
If we use WWII casualty rates in terms of dead/wounded per 1000 troops per day of combat as seen area of sustained intensive combat, such as Normandy campaign, as benchmark, the Russian figure seems too low, while western estimate of 14% of total Russian forces committed seems far too high.
Russia is a resource rich state but has no manufacturing to utilize it. Corruption is their biggest and greatest enemy. It is why they are not a superpower. Their elites benefits from this corruption and then are lured to western capitals to hide their wealth and enjoy their lifestyle and women. You can say the soviet union fell because Gorbachev sold the decaying empire for some Mcburgers and some fries.
But that world is ending.
For over 30 years, the west has done a fantastic job in keeping Russia weak. They lure the corrupt elites to their lands, thereby tacitly encouraging their corruption and then on the other hand, sell the promises of globalization to them and they tell Russia to play the role of the commodity supplier. Russia supplies the resource and they get the goods and access to western superior tech and even societies for the few elites.
[China was the cheap goods manufacturer and India, the software experts]
Things will change now. A new order is happening and Russia must first gain some self respects and stop selling themselves to the west. Putin's biggest task should be ending the corruption.
But that world is ending.
For over 30 years, the west has done a fantastic job in keeping Russia weak. They lure the corrupt elites to their lands, thereby tacitly encouraging their corruption and then on the other hand, sell the promises of globalization to them and they tell Russia to play the role of the commodity supplier. Russia supplies the resource and they get the goods and access to western superior tech and even societies for the few elites.
[China was the cheap goods manufacturer and India, the software experts]
Things will change now. A new order is happening and Russia must first gain some self respects and stop selling themselves to the west. Putin's biggest task should be ending the corruption.
What makes you think the insurgents in Syria don't have decent anti-tank weapons and MANPADS? The Russians have been fighting a similar insurgency there for quite some time already. They have seen that crap before. They also fought the Turkish drones in Libya. Or at least their mercenaries did. The fact the Ukrainians seems to have collapsed as an organized army is, I think, way more telling.
But there weren't any such Ukrainian concentrations? Except for those in the static formations near the Donbass.
The Russians probably have enough of those bombs to do WW2 twice or thrice over. Better use them before they spoil. Leave the rest for NATO if they get uppity.
Yeah it is not as easy as they think. You could like replace half the Russian energy imports in 5 years. Maybe two thirds in a decade. but I kind of doubt it. At least it won't happen if they keep dragging their feet about alternatives. They are still banking on Iran saving their ass or something like that. Well Iran won't help with the gas situation and no one can. People are doing the wrong math since it is not just Europe who will be dropping Russian gas and oil but South Korea, Japan, Taiwan too. There will be a huge crunch and massive sucking sound as their economies get into a massive recession.
You do not use toxic nerve agent to do that. They probably use carbon monoxide or something like that.
Yes. He had eye problems until he died. This is the reason he did not want to use chemical weapons in combat. They are also a mess to use in actual practice. He wanted to avoid the static warfare of WWI. In mobile combat chemical weapons make no sense really. They have really limited narrow use cases.
Notice the word "NOW" in that statement. How nice of them.
I don't believe that, nor do I believe Western or Ukrainian claims...
Just so you know, I don't write the ISW assessments so can't really answer for them
I believe that they are significantly higher, but no where near as high as Western or Ukrainian figures either...
- Status