Ukrainian War Developments

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BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
Hilarious, there was the unsubstantiated report that DJI was helping Russia by disabling Ukrainian Aeroscope Drone Control
Now DJI is saying if they did disable it, neither side could use it. Therefore it was never disabled for the Ukrainian military!
I always knew the report was fishy, these are commercial products, there is no way for DJI to know which drone belongs to which side.
Im pretty sure military clients would want to flash their own software/firmware on those DJI drones.
 

Lethe

Captain
But why did US say in December 2021 and early February 2022 before the invasion that US will not send any troops to defend Ukraine? Ukraine is a non-NATO member and Biden said there is no chance of US intervention to defend Ukraine.

December 2021:
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Early February 2022:
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Honestly, I think this was a belated attempt on the part of the White House to inject some realism into Kyiv's negotiating position. The American decision-making apparatus is not monolithic. There are levels of imperial arrogance. Some folks are less actively malevolent than they are simply naïve and easily beguiled. In late '21 and early '22, Washington was telling Kyiv:

1. (privately) that Ukraine would not be joining NATO.
2. (publicly) that a Russian invasion was coming.
3. (again, publicly) that the US would not be riding to their rescue.

The effect of all these statements should have been to increase Kyiv's willingness to negotiate. But by all accounts, Kyiv refused to believe that an invasion was actually imminent. And if you don't believe that, then you obviously aren't going to see a reason to revise your negotiating position. From Zelenskiy's statements, it's also clear that Kyiv continued to harbour illusions about prospective NATO involvement right up to the point of invasion.

We probably shouldn't be surprised by all this. Without speaking to the government of Kyiv specifically, we can certainly appreciate a general pattern of societies whereby decision-makers are responsive first and foremost to the domestic political pressures that impinge on them on a daily basis, and which are more clearly defined than prospect of amorphous "costs" imposed by external actors. I think we can safely assume that those domestic pressures on Zelenskiy and co. would not have been favourable to compromise.
 
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Helius

Senior Member
Registered Member
From Liveuamap:

Footage on Telegram this evening shows what appears to be several cruise missile launches from a Russian ship in the Black Sea
6x Kalibr launched from a Buyan-M corvette -

Looks like they're starting to expend their shipborne inventories. It may indicate the beginning of the next phase of offensive. Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro perhaps? Maybe even Odessa?
 

Kich

Junior Member
Registered Member
6x Kalibr launched from a Buyan-M corvette -

Looks like they're starting to expend their shipborne inventories. It may indicate the beginning of the next phase of offensive. Zaporizhzhia and Dnipro perhaps? Maybe even Odessa?
For a small ship it sure packs a punch.
Post-war, when Russia recovers, it needs to the build a super-size Gorshkov Frigate to replace their aging destroyers and pack them with enough cells for the Kalibration missiles.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Right now Mariupol is like a ant nest after kicking it. Maybe letting the Ukrainians regroup and rot a bit in a little enclave and cleaning carefully the rest of the city. They could even bombard them with ship from Azov sea if they are stuck in the steel factory near shore like we heard in late news.
There are reports the Russian navy is bombarding land targets in Mariupol and Odessa with naval artillery. Probably 100mm or 130mm guns.

Calibers rain, but we were told that they ran out of missiles that's why kinzhal is used and bla bla etc.....!
I told you. The Russians would not have ran out of cruise missile stock that early. This video is better than that one.
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Scholz: Germany will not boycott Russian energy German Chancellor Olaf Scholz once again today rejected calls for Germany to boycott Russian energy sources due to the Russian attack on Ukraine, Scholz stated today that sanctions have already been imposed on Russia and that they are affecting the economy of that country, and that all that "will only be even more dramatic every day".
Like Putin said the Germans would be sawing off the branch they sit on. The only way they can stop Russian energy imports immediately is to basically shut down the entire German industry. I will also notice Russia to a large degree has not imposed their own counter sanctions yet. The EU's sanctions on Russia damage themselves so much that the Russians haven't bothered to do so yet. I also think they are waiting to see how things will work out in the medium term after the initial hysteria and frenzy.

No western military "expert" has mentioned a thing about how Ukrainian plans to supply 200,000 soldiers on the current front line. Do Ukrainian soldiers not need ammo, food and fuel? All airports are gone, I only see videos of Ukrainians transporting things using 4x4s and small flat bed trucks. You can't sustain an army for very long with just that. It's not enough for the civilian population.
There are reports the Russians bombarded a huge Ukrainian rail junction near Dnipro which was the main supply route of the Ukrainian forces in the East close to the Donbass.
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There's lots of posts claiming that Russian/Belarusian rail workers are sabotaging rail lines, but it all seems to be coming from Ukrainian sources with no evidence.
There is so much BS coming from the Ukrainian side it is hard to believe anything they do say.

Hilarious, there was the unsubstantiated report that DJI was helping Russia by disabling Ukrainian Aeroscope Drone Control
Now DJI is saying if they did disable it, neither side could use it. Therefore it was never disabled for the Ukrainian military!
I always knew the report was fishy, these are commercial products, there is no way for DJI to know which drone belongs to which side.
DJI drones use civilian transmission frequencies close to the ones used in cell phone communication to communicate with the drone operator. The Russians should have had ways to detect those transmission sources for a long time already. I would not be surprised if they could even intercept and read the communications given they get constantly harassed by drones in Syria.
 
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