Ukrainian War Developments

gadgetcool5 said:

The main reason for the Russian underperformance, IMO, other than Western assistance which makes this more a NATO-Russia war than Russia-Ukraine, is that Ukrainian society has completely mobilized from Day 1 whereas Russia has not even partially mobilized.

Click to expand...

I think there was a failure of Russian intelligence to consider that part of the Ukrainian army would defect to the Russian side or lay down their weapons when the war started.

Whereas the use of Russian troops at the beginning to employ front-line recruits was a giant operational flaw of Russian war planning, this changed even in the first week of the war, but it was a gradual change, as was the much smaller number of troops. On the whole, the Russian advance could have been much greater had it not been planned and executed as it happened, which could certainly have set the stage that the Russians were considering in terms of the Ukrainians' defection and willingness to fight. This was so impactful in the war that Ukraine even managed to get volunteers and mercenaries from all over the world to fight the Russians, so the initial planning of the Russian war was terrible and can be considered an intelligence and operational failure without fear of falling into error of being a flawed argument.

Putin starts a purge:

Temstar said:

He says when he's troops and Russian armed forces train together at Zhurihe every hour they have to stop and wait for Russians to catch up to them. And when they do all he see is equipment leaking water, leaking oil and overheating.

Click to expand...

That last point is really quite telling actually.

Hmmm

RottenPanzer said:

View attachment 85398

Click to expand...

I think he missed the country. Well, the biggest global threat of the 7 things he described comes from the USA.

Bill Blazo said:

Question time, for those who dare to make predictions: will Russia fully capture Mariupol by Monday or Tuesday of next week? "Fully capture" means they control the city center and all other major districts, the ceremonial flag goes up, etc. It doesn't mean they need to have the city 100% cleared of all enemy fighters (that might take an extra few days).

Click to expand...

Probably by the weekend the way things are going. I don't think it'll take as long as Grozny or even Fallujah at this point

Russian sources are very quiet about that front, but are progressing through the city fast. Ukrainian sources inside the city are falling silent one by one. Anyone still active online is just begging for a relief force.

RottenPanzer said:

These people are depraved

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1504098253792550913

View attachment 85398

Click to expand...

That looks like a 7 step plan to obtain exactly the opposite of the 7 goals of the plan.

Atomicfrog said:

Only one seen crashing, they look like grey like Ukrainian ones. Oldvid ? I don't see how they have still airoplanes in the air if the Russian are doing their job.

Click to expand...

Been trying to find information, people claim the video is from the start of the war, on Feb 26th and it is the same incident where they also lost Blue 19.

Not sure if this got posted yet but the ship that was claimed to be sunked by unguided rocket is still sailing.

Oleg Akhmedov, Colonel of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine was killed near Kiev. Earlier, he was convicted in absentia in Moscow on charges under the article “a terrorist attack committed by a group of persons by prior conspiracy.”

In 2019, the FSB of Russia detained 2 suspects in Crimea on charges of spying for the Main Intelligence Directorate of Ukraine - a citizen of Ukraine and a Russian soldier, who, according to the investigation, in 2017-2018 handed over to the Ukrainian military intelligence a state secret entrusted to her in service. The security officers while investigating another case, found out from one of the detainees that their actions were carried out on the instruction of Colonel Oleg Akhmedov - he equipped caches with explosives and ammo in Crimea. Akhmedov was the recruiter and curator of the detained Russians and Ukrainians. They planned sabotage and terrorist attacks on social and military infrastructure.

The photo of the dead colonel was posted at below Telegram link, complete with ID.

ASB Military News - 17 March 2022


Briefing by Russian Defence Ministry 20220317

The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, continuing the successful offensive, took control of Novomayorskoye and Prechistovka. The advance was 10 kilometers.

In total, over the past day, aviation and air defence of the Russian Aerospace Forces shot down 1 Ukrainian helicopter Mi-24 near Belki settlement, as well as 5 Ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles, including 1 Bayraktar TB-2.

Operational-tactical and army aviation hit 29 military assets of the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

Among them: 1 multiple launch rocket system, 3 command posts, including 1 mobile field command post of the brigade, 6 ammunition depots and 14 areas of military equipment concentration.

In total, 182 aircraft and helicopters, 177 unmanned aerial vehicles, 1,393 tanks and other armored combat vehicles, 134 multiple launch rocket systems, 523 field artillery and mortars, as well as 1,182 units of special military vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine were destroyed during the operation.