Only one seen crashing, they look like grey like Ukrainian ones. Oldvid ? I don't see how they have still airoplanes in the air if the Russian are doing their job.
Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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Ukraine's reservists are far from a useless quantitative statistic. Around 900,000 men and women reservists, a good part of the troop has adequate training to face the conditions of a high intensity battle, you just have to do a survey that will attest that even Ukraine's reservists are trained in the complex use of equipment like drones and other weapons systems. Zelensky from the first days of the war summoned all the reservists, fully mobilizing the reserve is a difficult and time-consuming task, as is organizing and employing them on the battlefront, but after 20 days of war, it becomes a matter of perspective that the Ukraine has at least employed 1/3 or 1/2 of all reservists so far, not including the National Army itself which is made up of over 200,000 men and women.
Obviously not all men and women will be employed on the front lines of battle, it needs men manning strategic points across the country, it needs to maintain adequate numbers in the strategic reserve in full readiness, as well as employing a part of the front line of the battle. battle on all 6 points contested in Ukraine by Russia. I see no reason to disbelieve that the Russians are in a war with a 3:1 inferiority, because the Russians have the same demands as the Ukrainians, they need reserve, they need to have troops protecting access routes and conquered strategic points. Some sources indicate that 70-90% of the Russian force accumulated on the Ukrainian border has been employed, this is still not a proven confirmation, considering that the Russians had a numerical increase with the troops of Chechnya, I highly doubt this percentage employed, keeping 10-30% of troops in reserve. From an overview of the war, I see no reason to disbelieve the 3:1 inferiority of the Russians to the Ukrainians.
This is not true. Get the updated Ukraine map. Now research the distance traveled on all invasion routes, you will see that most except the north, all other invasion routes, the Russians did not even advance 150 km, which is the describable distance of the limitation that the Russians has to move forward, considering its logistical inferiority. On the other invasion routes, there was not even an advance greater than 80 km, which completely defeats the thesis of the lack of advance by the Russian Army due to logistical failure.
Big difference. Civilians can be hit unintentionally or intentionally through poor intelligence.
The attack on the Chinese embassy was deliberate. It was also effectively an attack on Chinese territory, as opposed to one on a third party.
Just a correction, those generals were lied to by their subordinates. For example, in 1967, when the Egyptian Air Force got smashed by the Israelis, the air base commander claimed that they defeated the Israeli raid. So the generals thought everything went well. The Arab militaries have a major lying problem within their ranks. That’s why they can’t encircle, envelop, or do anything that resembles maneuver warfare. That was why they swapped to “set piece warfare” during their preparation for the Yom Kippur War.
Given the Russians’ current progress, I don’t think they have that problem.
As an American we haven’t fought a peer competitor since the Korean War. During Vietnam it was a counter insurgency where they could get air support in major battles. Those of the Vietnam generation(boomers) are now the top brass. Generation X first taste of war was the Gulf war. They then fought in Afghanistan and Iraq again. Millennials first taste of war was Iraq and Afghanistan. Gen Z was in Afghanistan the later years. So you have FOUR generations of combat vets who only knew fighting insurgents with air support when things get tough.
This explains why the smart thinkers in the Pentagon didn’t want a fight with Iran since the Bush years. There is some radicals that want war with Iran but the majority don’t want it. War with Iran would expose the US military something serious. Iran may not have the same conventional strength but their asymmetrical war strategy would lead to a fiasco probably worse than what Russia is facing in Ukraine.
One of the important point this ex-PLA commander is trying to make is that BTG arises out of taking a given brigade and then take all the "spear points" of the brigade (comprising about half of the strength of the brigade) and focusing them into a fist. Being made up of all the hard hitting stuff of a brigade this fist is really powerful, but it's all spear point and no spear shaft. Compared to a PLAFG combined arms brigade the BTG has a lot fewer people and very high ratio of equipment to bodies. This means the BTG is entirely logistically depending on the remaining "soft" half of the brigade that follows them. He said if he was in command of the Ukrainian he would entirely let the BTG charge past and let them wonder around in Ukraine's strategic depth while he focuses on attacking the remaining soft half of the brigade. Ukraine is kind of doing this with all their ambushes, but these are all small in scale and can't bring any decisive results. By he's estimate Ukraine should have by this stage eliminated 2-3 BTGs and so far they got a big fat zero.
A PLAFG combined arms brigade has a lot more warm bodies and is self-contained logistic wise. In a head to head a BTG would not be able to fight off a heavy combined arms brigade due to the sheer numerical superiority and weight of all that armour and firepower. Conversely a BTG would not be fast enough to catch the very fast medium and light combined arms brigades and those would be perfect for dodging around the fist that is BTG and loop around and hit the rear half of the brigade.
He says when he's troops and Russian armed forces train together at Zhurihe every hour they have to stop and wait for Russians to catch up to them. And when they do all he see is equipment leaking water, leaking oil and overheating.
Sure but that was only six days. This has been going on for three weeks and will go on longer than that, so it becomes harder and harder to maintain a deception. Plus there's a lot more information readily available now than then.
The main reason for the Russian underperformance, IMO, other than Western assistance which makes this more a NATO-Russia war than Russia-Ukraine, is that Ukrainian society has completely mobilized from Day 1 whereas Russia has not even partially mobilized.
The advantage of a big country only comes into play if you use the full heft and weight of the big country. The Russians are still treating this as a "special military operation" carried out by relatively few professional troops fulfilling fixed objectives whereas the other side is treating it like total war. If anything there are more similarities to the U.S. invasion of Iraq, which while more tactically successful, eventually ran into big problems due to the fact that they didn't commit enough troops from their volunteer army. In reality, the Russians could crush Ukraine if they went all out but they aren't.
That being said, it really remains to be seen how it all plays out. If the Russians keep at it and become more determined over time, then they can still get an advantage. They have already paid the biggest costs so there is little incentive for them to withdraw now, but we'll see.
I suppose but isn’t Iran topography a huge factor as well?
Ukranian forces pushed out of Mykolaiv and captured Posad-Pokrovs'ke
Video by UA troops in Posad:
Video by UA troops in Posad:
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