Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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They will be saying that Russia has lot a million soldiers by next month...
S-300PS, as useful as the Polish MiGs, lol.
It's risk of destruction of a large lot against risks of black market and capture of small lot. Not sure what's the best for the situation.
"Genie of the lamp, I wish to be a great freedom fighter and bring democracy and justice to the world."
"Please reconsider young master, this is your last wish and your life here is very comfortable-"
"You heard my wish!"
"...As you wish sir."
He woke up to the sound of airstrikes with a turban on his head and AK in his hand.
That is a good one. Mr.Putin and his crew, Mr.Lawrow and comrades, took massiv advantage of being in charge. Russia is the most corrupt state in "Europe". From the head downwards. The wolf cannot guard the sheep.
So they know what is coming and when probably... at this rate is just more corpses on the pile.
Lethe
Captain
At this point it seems unlikely that Russia will be in a position to directly interdict supplies across Ukraine's western border in the near future. Certainly the prospect is distant enough that western provisions of armaments and materiel will almost certainly have time to arrive in volumes sufficient to further complicate an already difficult task.
In the absence of a negotiated settlement, this would present Russia with a number of unpalatable prospects. Interdiction by conventional airpower, cruise missiles, etc. is likely to prove both costly and inadequate. A remnant Ukrainian "bulwark" state may not be a stable solution, and would in any case form a staging ground for a formidable insurgency, akin the use of the Pakistan border region by the Afghan Taliban.
If faced with this prospect, I believe Russia's leaders will at least consider the prospects for nuclear interdiction of supplies, and for nuclear compellence in disrupting further western transfers. The United States considered the threat and use of nuclear weapons to interdict the troublesome Ho Chi Minh trail in the Vietnam War. It is worth attending to both why this was considered and why it was ultimately dismissed:
Now, there are some differences between the situation the US faced in Vietnam, and that which Russia would face in a protracted conflict with a western-supplied Ukraine, Ukrainian rump state, or Ukrainian insurgency. Namely, Russia has a lower level of relative conventional airpower capability than the US did in the Vietnam War. Which is to say, "use conventional airpower to do the job instead" is not nearly as viable an alternative for Moscow as it was for Washington. Coupled with the fact that the outcome of the present conflict in Ukraine is ultimately much more important to Moscow than the dispensation of Vietnam was to Washington.
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Actually, reporting from before the conflict and when media had 0.1% independence instead of 0.0% we have...
I disagree with assessment of relative airpower. along with 10k+ helicopters. There were multiple North Vietnamese flying aces downing B-52s.
Not a single Russian plane was shot down in air to air.
When you see Tu-22Ms get shot down then you can say Russia has worse air control than Vietnam.
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