Ukrainian War Developments
- Thread starter james smith esq
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New toy! Russian with Javelin.
Chechens are the masters of trolling...
There is a very strong possibility that if China were to lend large scale military assistance to Russia, the United States will retaliate by formally recognizing the independence of Taiwan shortly after the conflict in Ukraine reach some kind of hiatus. In such a case or China will be in the very difficult position of choosing to fight or not. Giving up any major military asset such as fourth generation fighters to russia, Especially when it is not altogether clear such support could have any decisive affect on the outcome, will not be seen as a particularly slick move
if it's censored then it's not the view of the government so my conclusion still holds. It either got censored because it was against the government's policy views or it doesn't exist.
If China were to seriously consider supplying Russia with arms, then it should exact a price commensurate with the diplomatic and economic price China would pay for that support. The only thing Russia really has that China really wants is SS(B/G)N technology. There's a deal to be done there if China is willing to pay the price. Not sure anything else Russia can offer would be worth it. Commodities can always be purchased elsewhere.
Ughur battalion now!
Not to get too far, off-topic, but there are potentially, several air and ground-based (including infantry-fielded), options and attack-profiles that will be explored in future ATGM developments.
What China needs is not technology. technology takes too long to translate into military capability. If China were to supply large scale military aid to Russia, sino american relationship can collapse totally very quickly, in matter of weeks or month. military technology can not translate into countervailing military capability for many years, even decade or more. The only thing that would be worth China ripping up all possibility of modus vivandi with the US is if Russia makes a binding commitment to immediately extend her nuclear umbrella over china while china builds up her own strategic deterrence.
Such a commitment from Russia, if totally credible, would be worth giving up any possibility of accommodation with a already mostly hostile US. However, in reality, it is difficult to imagine such an existentially all or nothing commitment can really be totally credible.
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