plawolf
Lieutenant General
Unless we start to see other variants of the 022 or specific support ships to such flotillas, I don't see them venturing further than first island chain. There's enough potential adversaries right there and I think that's the main purpose. They are the low end portion of a hi-lo approach in my opinion.
Even if you had an 022 just stay on station, I would suspect food supplies and human endurance will make this unfeasible.
That's pretty much where I would expect them to be operating up to.
The main limiting factor on their range will be the fuel, supplies, human endurance, but more importantly, also the reach on land based aircraft sensor support.
There is little point in the 022s going so far out as to be outside the range of land based AWACS etc, as the 022 is clearly designed to operate as a component in a much larger system, instead of some sort of stand-alone weapon.
Their greatest strengths and limitations are from their off-board sensor support.
The PLAN does not need to push the USN all the way back to pearl harbor as the Chinese have no interest in invading the US. All the PLAN would like to do is to keep USN carriers far away from China as to be outside the range of naval strike aircraft.
Land based AShMs cannot do this, but 022s operating up to the 1st island chain can potentially force the USN to keep their carriers clear until they are confident that they have found and dealt with all the 022s running loose.
That in turn gives China vital time to end any conflict quickly and decisively before the US could fully intervene in any local conflict, with Taiwan far and away top of the possible scenarios.