man, you given them too much credit they dont deserve.
Usually when things happened , most likely surprise them and get caught with their pants down!
look at this, when ZTE incidence happened, Chinese government for the first time have a procurement for domestic chips, which should happen long long time ago.
clearly, they aren't prepared. Only reacting when bad things happened. It's a trend happens again and again.
I dont think they prepare for trade war at all, those investment you mentioned are likely for made-in-China 2025 initiative.
The problem with your thinking is that it's very shallow and emotional. China evolved from a nation that couldn't use a computer to program a machine to one with fighter jets, rockets, supercomputers, etc... It went from an inconsequential economy to an economy that is either first or second in the world depending on nominal or PPP. This happened in an incredibly short period of time and it's still happening now. It happened in the face of an unsupportive Soviet Union and a hostile West, which had every advantage on China. It doesn't happen by being caught with your pants down all the time!
One example is that the police exist, therefore, every day, you live in safety and confidence. One time, you get robbed and the police weren't there to help you (ZTE incident, for example) and you call the police completely useless. That's a common mistake that many people make and one that you clearly have made as well.
Now that there are some new challenges, one needs to understand that 1. nobody anticipated someone like Trump being "elected," not any US ally nor even the US itself (but maybe Russia did LOL) and 2. there are no simple solutions to the challenges before us. People who think that there are are just too stupid to fully understand the problem, and these people might blame the more well-informed for not making an obvious choice while that choice was known to be not viable all along to those who truly understand.
As is common in life, people who think that everyone else in higher places are idiots and that they themselves are geniuses are actually of far inferior intellect. If they were smarter, they would pipe down.
Ok, for those so called wisemen in this forum, time to put the money when your mouth is.
predict
1)if there's a Trump-Xi meeting in Nov
2)What type of concession Xi willing to make? as Trump expect alot.
let's hear it.
It's ok to entertain this for fun but to provide this as a challenge is just stupid. It's like saying I'll roll a pair of dice and if you're so smart, you tell me what the sum will be! Trump is extremely erratic and the smartest people know that he cannot be reliably predicted. Smart people can be wrong for the right reasons and stupid people can be right for the wrong reasons; the more erratic, the greater the chance this will happen. The more you know, the less you know; heard of that? It applies so well here. Stupid people think there is an answer to prove intellect while smart people know, you just can't know until it happens.
But if we were to do this for fun's sake, I would say, whether they'll meet is a toss-up, 50/50, but Xi will make no meaningful concessions at all. (Most people know that offering him concessions doesn't make him give you anything back at all; it makes him ask for more concessions.) The biggest thing that might happen is that Trump asks Xi behind closed doors to give a little something so he can claim progress to his people and he'll give back in other ways, and that might alleviate the conflict. But I doubt it. I'm guessing that the most likely outcome is that nothing happens and they remain locked regardless of whether or not they meet.
