The War in the Ukraine

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
It has to be something like that because the barrel in the Koalitsiya uses water cooling and the gun needs electricity for the microwave ignition. It is way more complicated to fit into an existing chassis. It is much easier to just use a regular gun with increased length than that.
 

tabu

Junior Member
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Here is the Ukrainian side's data on Russian equipment losses

If we look carefully and attentively at time trends and distributions, we get the impression that the equipment is not particularly economized and wasted, taking into account the restoration and production of new equipment.

Assuming the plausibility of the data:

Average losses in tanks are 400-450 units per month, with stabilization in year 24.

For TBMs 600-800 per month (peak in October 24)

Artillery systems - stable and significant increase in losses with peak in mid-24th year. MLRS - 20-70 units per month stable

According to ISW data, tank production in Russia is about 400 per quarter, TBM
up to 1400 per quarter. Artillery systems are about a hundred per quarter.

Taking into account the growth of production capacity, restoration, repair and removal from storage, it turns out that a significant depletion of resources before the end of the 2025 should not be expected, and for a more accurate assessment requires a more qualitative analysis based on reliable data.
 

segregator

Just Hatched
Registered Member
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Here is the Ukrainian side's data on Russian equipment losses

If we look carefully and attentively at time trends and distributions, we get the impression that the equipment is not particularly economized and wasted, taking into account the restoration and production of new equipment.

Assuming the plausibility of the data:

Average losses in tanks are 400-450 units per month, with stabilization in year 24.

For TBMs 600-800 per month (peak in October 24)

Artillery systems - stable and significant increase in losses with peak in mid-24th year. MLRS - 20-70 units per month stable

According to ISW data, tank production in Russia is about 400 per quarter, TBM
up to 1400 per quarter. Artillery systems are about a hundred per quarter.

Taking into account the growth of production capacity, restoration, repair and removal from storage, it turns out that a significant depletion of resources before the end of the 2025 should not be expected, and for a more accurate assessment requires a more qualitative analysis based on reliable data.

And of course, we have to divide those numbers by pretty large number to get real situation.
Sometimes I feel Ukrainians fall victim of their own propaganda
 

tabu

Junior Member
Registered Member
And of course, we have to divide those numbers by pretty large number to get real situation.
Sometimes I feel Ukrainians fall victim of their own propaganda
Even if this Ukrainian data on Russian losses is true the Russians, having put the country's industry on a war footing, can fight for a very long time. Five or six years without a problem.
 

TK3600

Major
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Here is the Ukrainian side's data on Russian equipment losses

If we look carefully and attentively at time trends and distributions, we get the impression that the equipment is not particularly economized and wasted, taking into account the restoration and production of new equipment.

Assuming the plausibility of the data:

Average losses in tanks are 400-450 units per month, with stabilization in year 24.

For TBMs 600-800 per month (peak in October 24)

Artillery systems - stable and significant increase in losses with peak in mid-24th year. MLRS - 20-70 units per month stable

According to ISW data, tank production in Russia is about 400 per quarter, TBM
up to 1400 per quarter. Artillery systems are about a hundred per quarter.

Taking into account the growth of production capacity, restoration, repair and removal from storage, it turns out that a significant depletion of resources before the end of the 2025 should not be expected, and for a more accurate assessment requires a more qualitative analysis based on reliable data.
450 a month, for 2 and half year?

450x2.5x12=13500 tanks lost

Russia should have no tanks by now. Not even T-62 is left. We know what joke the stat is.
 

tabu

Junior Member
Registered Member
450 a month, for 2 and half year?

450x2.5x12=13500 tanks lost

Russia should have no tanks by now. Not even T-62 is left. We know what joke the stat is.
You forget that the Russians are shovelling tank reserves out of Soviet vaults and rebuilding tanks.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
FABs arriving on Ukrainian positions in the Kurakhovo direction. Note that both Group Center (Tsentr) and Group East (Vostok) forces are converging towards this city in a massive pincer movement.

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Bradley ran on two mines and got taken out. Pokrovsk direction.

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Thermal power plant, city of Shostka, gets taken out by Geran-2 drones.

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Iskander strikes on Kiev.

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Russian MoD confirms the capture of Rivnopol by Group Vostok of forces in Yuzhnodonetsk.

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The 114th MR Brigade raised it's flag on Ilyinka after clearing the village.

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Ukrainian stronghold hit by an FPV drone. The explosion looks strong for an FPV, are the Russians using thermobarics with FPV drones?

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Krasnopol takes out a bridge used by AFU forces for logistics in the rear of Kurakhovo. The bridge has preplanted explosives to blow it up if and when the Ukrainians retreated from Kurakhovo. The Krasnopol managed to set off these explosives a bit early. The shell is fired from a MSTA-B howitzer.

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FABs hit deployment points of the AFU west of Chasiv Yar.

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Iskander hits a concentration of Ukrainian manpower while another hits an ammo depot of the AFU in Ivolzhanske. About 12 armored vehicles, two trucks and two off-road vehicles reportedly destroyed.

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Plyokhovo has fallen to the Russians.

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FPV drones from the Sudoplatov unit takes out two AS-90 SPGs in Zhovte.

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Iskander strikes on a Ukrainian base in Yanakivka.

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Leopard 2A4 captured by the Russians.

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