The War in the Ukraine

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
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According to multiple former senior U.S. officials we spoke with, in April 2022, Russian and Ukrainian negotiators appeared to have tentatively agreed on the outlines of a negotiated interim settlement: Russia would withdraw to its position on February 23, when it controlled part of the Donbas region and all of Crimea, and in exchange, Ukraine would promise not to seek NATO membership and instead receive security guarantees from a number of countries.

Said it before and it will be posted again. There was an actual agreement between Russia and Ukraine that would have ended the war several months ago. Then Boris flew into Ukraine right after the announcement and the settlement was
immediately scrapped. Turns out. Russia leaving Kiev wasn’t some sort of strategic retreat or withdrawal. It was part of the negotiations that people find so hard to believe where both sides think there is some genius 5D chess move.
 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russian MOD website is down again, but apparently in today's report from Konashenkov he said they've destroyed four Bradley M2 IFV in Kherson. Anyone got a source to confirm?

I did see over the weekend rumors on Russian telegram that Bradley were spotted in Kherson, so if it turns out to be true then those telegrams are worth looking into indeed. At the time I didn't want to post about it here because I considered it hearsay.

I don't recall any country making deals to send Bradley to AFU, anyone recall any deal like that?
 

Abominable

Major
Registered Member
It's horrible. Another massacre in Kherson.

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Bodies of Ukrainian troops started to wash up on the coasts of the Dniepr river. Dead Ukrainian soldiers in Kakhovka reservoir, where the Armed Forces of Ukraine tried to land a "river assault" on motor boats but were destroyed.

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This war is an eye opener with how bad censorship has gotten in the west. Whether you read mainstream or internet media all reports are the Kherson offensive is going fine, Ukraine is winning etc. While the reality is that it is a turkey shoot for Russians. All newspapers that were against the Iraq war and others are all now pro-Ukraine.

This is much worse than anything from the USSR. At least then the common people knew things were bullshit. The average person in the west is happily swallowing the propaganda without question.
 

Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
As mentioned before, the Russians lured the Ukrainians into a trap in this region:
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The Russians destroyed the bridges and attacked the lines of communication between AFU troops on the west bank of the Inhulets and troops at Bezimennoye.
On other fronts, such as in the north, the Russians have done this twice and now they seem to be trying to attract AFU troops again:
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Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
On the central front, the same:
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The pattern of Russian defenses in the region has been like this:

Spetnaz or Rec from the VDV conducts reconnaissance, detects AFU troops and relays the information;

VDV troops retreat in order and further stretch AFU troops' lines of communication;

From there, having been buoyed, the Russian artillery goes to work to suppress enemy fire;

They reach a limit, the VDV stops and, with the support of motorized troops with tanks - Motorized and Cecanized brigades of the Russians are in the second line of defense, the first is with the VDV and the Spetnaz - they return and counterattack;
Artillery changes profile from Suppression to Destruction; and
Spetnaz work on the lines of communication to destroy or disrupt flow on the lines.

That's basically it, it's standard. The AFU attacks and always takes one or two villages and advances for a few hours, until they are counterattacked and have to retreat almost desperately.

Yesterday I took the day to look at reports from pro-Ukraine journalists (including those here on the forum) other than white plate - like the Kyiv Post and Warmachine - and the situation seems to have gone from critical to desperate. It's been more than 72 hours since the start of the Ukrainian offensive and the territorial gains are almost negligible, they haven't even managed to get past the first lines of defense. According to Jihad Julian, the Ukrainians activated all reserves in less than 8 hours from the start of the operation, so the losses seem to be catastrophic for the AFU side.

I wonder if they will have shock forces to continue the offensive, I doubt it.

Others:
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That's curious. An all-weather reconnaissance capability that the Russians are using, the Russian military's weather factor detection problem will now solve with the help of a highly automated "Ironiya" multi-purpose handheld optoelectronic reconnaissance complex. With the help of such equipment, soldiers of special forces will be able to solve various tasks related to the observation of the terrain and the detection of various objects. In addition, the capabilities of the complex allow not only to identify various objectives, but also to transfer data about the enemy's position.
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Another interesting thing is this here.

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Logistical support towards Kherson. Two containers with 9M82 series missiles being transported by trucks towards the southern front.

Russia's MoD in every war report mentions shells intercepted by AFU artillery, somehow the S-300's work is being quite intense on that front.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
Another western source on the Kherson situation

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Sounds like much of what is being discussed here sounds aligns with this story.

The Ukrainian government has declared a media blackout for “operational secrecy”. So even the western media is now reporting that things cannot be verified and are just simply quoting random soldiers.
 
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