In any case, it's impossible to build enough ports and ship for LNG before 10 or so years... even coal will be difficult if the demand soar. But demand will go down with industry closing so maybe 6-7 years is possible to have enough energy and lowering prices.Well, if anyone think that the EU gas demand will be replaced with LNG has dreams.
IT will be replaced with coal and wood, the installation of new furnances will skyrocket.
Quick back on the envelope calculation :
HEating a mid range home during winter used to cost £800 with gas, and £850 with coal.
Now it will cost around £5000 with gas, or £1600 with coal.
What will be the result ?
Spoiler: not LNG import.
What is cheaper to ship, coal or LNG ?
What mining easier to scale up, LNG or coal ?
Expected a huge explosion of conversion back to solid fuel, and installation of new multifuel boilers and stoves.
Nice chimneys will be erected on the after 80s houses, that lack any solid fuel heating system.
So, there goes all CO2 emission and the air polution norms.
And the "Green party" and "Global Warming" will be a swear word for a while.
There's Some chatter around telegram channels about missiles comming in from Belarus and lots of movement of military equipment there.
This isn't Command and Conquer...I just meant the overall situation, the one gambit Russia has left right now to pressure Europe is gas supplies, if EU survives the winter, they'll have free reign to give Ukraine their whole armoury, that's why Ukraine is also banking on not negotiating, after all if they negotiate they are guaranteed to lose out, but if they survive the winter, there is a good chance that EU will find a alternative supplier for their energy needs and go all in on supporting Ukraine.
It wasn't quite that long ago when feb 24 line was a real, acceptable outcome for Ukraine, but now that Russia is no longer aggressively pushing, they do not feel the need to sue for peace so hard.
How Europe would do war-scale production if Russia cut the gaz anyway, lol !If you are talking about a war-scale production/supply of weapons, then the other issue is, who is going to pay for this steel and labour? Certainly not Ukraine.
Russian forces have advanced a few miles but I think it's because of the collapse of the Ukrainian offensive against Kherson more than anything else.I keep hearing from multiple sources that there's an ongoing Russian assault towards Nikolaev and they have advanced 3km, anyone else heard anything?
Here's a map from Russian sources, they are claiming a two pronged attack:
Do you mean costing Russia billions? Are there uprisings in the Ukrainian controlled eastern cities?Russian forces have advanced a few miles but I think it's because of the collapse of the Ukrainian offensive against Kherson more than anything else.
I don't think Russians will take any more cities until the Ukrainian regime collapses. All these cities in east Ukraine require large garrisons to prevent uprisings and are costing NATO billions in upkeep.
A recent video of Pisky was posted on Russian telegrams. Looks like the Ukrops got wrecked there.
I mean the general upkeep of cities, paying for public sector workers. Ukraine has no income right now, everything is being paid for by the EU.Do you mean costing Russia billions? Are there uprisings in the Ukrainian controlled eastern cities?
I mean the general upkeep of cities, paying for public sector workers. Ukraine has no income right now, everything is being paid for by the EU.