It sucks having to read so much bullshit.
Following up with the updates:
If the Russians don't take down Zelensky, the Ukrainians will, because he was already at the knife point of some Ukrainians, especially the Army, now after this rehearsal, this was seen as a mockery of the thousands of dead, especially those killed in doomed operations. to the failure in which he personally issued the order to take place as at Kherson.
Speaking of Kherson, the Russians have moved dozens of ferries to Kherson, across the channel into the Gulf of Dnipro, while the Kherson Bridge is under repair. This here indicates two statements made by the Russians during the week such as the demining of the entrance to the gulf and the destruction of Harpoon launchers in Odessa, in which the Russian MoD declared that "Harpoons would no longer be a problem in the region". Ferries are already operating, transporting weapons across Kherson. As a matter of fact, it seems that the Russians should advance against Mykolaiv and Odessa, according to the Russians themselves. When will this be done? In my opinion, the Russians will wait for the AFU to make the mistake of creating the biggest offensive against Kherson to destroy as much equipment and troops as possible, thus carrying out a counterattack, catching the AFU troops in a possible retreat, seizing the moment.
This is also a problem for the Ukrainians, because if the Russians manage to pass the channel calmly, nothing prevents them from passing amphibious landing ships against the obvious target that is Ocharkiv. If the Russians land on Ocharkiv and establish good control of the city and a good beachhead, Mykolaiv could fall much sooner than expected. Remembering that, in the Kherson and Crimea region, the Russians have three airmobile brigades, two from the VDV and one from Spetnaz, in addition to the equivalent of an MPR brigade that was transferred to Sevastopol, with reinforcements from three amphibious landing ships. Apparently, the MPR troops who fought in Mykolaiv and the rest of Zaporizizhia were relieved by a motorized or mechanized brigade with T-72B3 and T-72B3M dispatches from Kherson there.
The Russians are putting together brigades in the Belgorod region that would be three mechanized brigades, which could indicate offensive action against Kharkiv or a way to try to divert the AFU's focus.
Something has exploded with force in the Port of Odessa, which has been on fire since yesterday at 19:00. The interesting thing is that there is no aerial alert and no report by the Russians of an attack on the port, the fire seems to be quite serious, and it could be an accident to some flammable deposit - it could be ammunition - or sabotage, as it has long been said that the Russians they have saboteurs inside Odessa, such is the ease of the Russians in finding deposits and concentration of troops in the city.
Odessa and Mykolaiv have become the new Kharkiv, where missiles fired from Kherson have been hitting Mykolaiv and Odessa twice daily, on average between 5-20 confirmed hits. Despite this, the fire that took place was before the bombings, which are currently hammering both cities.
Some analysts say the Russians have changed the way they attack. They are firing cheaper, disposable missiles, such as the Tochka-U, often false missiles, to identify air defense points and then send a wave of passive warhead missiles to hit the radars of anti-aircraft systems. After that first point comes the second wave, focused on hitting the tactical and strategic targets. I have been following the Ukrainian air strike alerts and it has been a pattern, sounding the alarms, stopping for 3 minutes and then sounding again. This happens a lot with Mykolaiv and Odessa, especially after the arrival of the Tochka, which has versions with passive radars for SEAD, the Tochka-R.
