The War in the Ukraine

HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
I think the big question mark is what does the Trump administration do? Everything Trump himself has indicated that he does not want to support Ukraine and wants a peace deal ASAP. If he can force that on Ukraine and Russia agrees to the terms that could bring about a quicker end to the war. On the other, it could just be business as usual or maybe you see a slight decrease in US support for Ukraine, but not an outright end to it.
We just don't know. He's very mercurial.

He could cut aid off one day, then give them billions the next if Putin annoys him.
 

Tam

Brigadier
Registered Member
Marder 1A3 struck by a Prince Vandal drone of the 155th Marine Brigade in the Kursk region.

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Massive drone attack over Kyiv and Ternopil.

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Russian artillery takes out a Ukrainian UAV control point in the Kharkhiv region.

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Razdolny may have fallen to the Russians. This near and north of Velikaya Novoselka on a highway towards Kurakhovo.

Russians broke through the Oskol River.

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Captured Baba Yaga. Part of a series of Russians harvesting Baba Yagas out of the sky via EW. Captured Baba Yagas are repurposed for Russian use for the most part.

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Missile attack on a force concentration of the AFU 56th Brigade.

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Ukrainian Akasya SPG taken out by Lancet.

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Supercam UAV discovers Ukrainian artillery position near Seversk, Wich Russian artillery took out.

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Ukrainian EW site gets taken out by a Russian D-74 howitzer. The D-74 may have come from North Korea. Group North of forces.

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Lancet takes out a PzH2000 155mm SPG in the Kursk region.

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Two Ukrainian AFVs and a T-80 struck by Prince Vandal drones in the Kursk region.


Russian soldier of the 132nd dumps a TM-62 mine down the hatch of a Ukrainian stronghold in Toretsk.

 

Temstar

Brigadier
Registered Member
Things are moving fast at the front:
Russians have entered Velyka Novosilka

Rozdolne, to the north of Velyka Novosilka is either completely or majority in Russian hands

Kurakhove is 50% in Russian hands

This one I saw more than a day ago but thought it's not worth mentioning yet. But now it looks like Russians really have crossed the Oskol River north of Kuypansk and have enlarged their bridgehead. My guess is the fighting at Kupyansk has attracted enough attention that it has opened up opportunities for the Russians to force a crossing.
 

Eventine

Junior Member
Registered Member
Putin plays chess, not checkers. While Russia is winning on the ground, he’s not going to get baited into an escalation race by the outgoing Biden administration. Biden WANTS Russia to attack NATO so that they can invoke Article 5 and conventionally intervene. That’s basically their only way to reverse the course of the war, but it’s highly unpopular because face it, most Europeans don’t want to go to war for Ukraine; baiting Putin into attacking a NATO European country is basically needed to mobilize the public.
 
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