The War in the Ukraine

Atomicfrog

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lol they are definitely lying about the interception numbers and of the importance of this outdated f-16 batch
Overhype indeed like always.

Reaction time length against most target is impossible anyway but they could have shutdown geran drones or with some help from nato awacs a couple of kalibr cruise missiles.

You cannot do much anyway with the age of the plane and the number provided...
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
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They could have shot down a Geran drone with an F-16 using missiles like Saudi Arabia was doing in Yemen. Except those missiles cost more than the Geran. A single AIM-9 Sidewinder of latest type costs $600k USD. You can probably buy a dozen Geran drones with that. The Ukrainians seem to be trying to use Yak-52 propeller planes and helicopters with guns to handle such low speed drones which seems, at least to me, like a much better idea.

It might make sense to use the F-16 against the Kalibr or Kh-101. But I kind of doubt that ancient radar they have on the F-16s Ukraine is supposed to be operating will be able to operate properly against low-altitude targets like cruise missiles. They would have to cue the fighters to the cruise missiles using the US AWACS.
 
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Sinnavuuty

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There are reports that Kiev is planning to hire American pilots and find some way to enlist them in the Ukrainian Foreign Legion and fly fighters for the PS ZSU.
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Ukraine pursues retired NATO fighter pilots to fly new F-16 fleet

Kiev is inviting retired NATO pilots who can fly F-16s to serve. According to the newspaper, the announcement was made by US Senators Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal during their visit to Ukraine. The situation for the Kiev authorities is complicated by the fact that military pilots need permission from the governments of the alliance countries to sign up as volunteers.
 

Sinnavuuty

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They could have shot down a Geran drone with an F-16 using missiles like Saudi Arabia was doing in Yemen. Except those missiles cost more than the Geran. A single AIM-9 Sidewinder of latest type costs $600k USD. You can probably buy a dozen Geran drones with that. The Ukrainians seem to be trying to use Yak-52 propeller planes and helicopters with guns to handle such low speed drones which seems, at least to me, like a much better idea.

It might make sense to use the F-16 against the Kalibr or Kh-101. But I kind of doubt that ancient radar they have on the F-16s Ukraine is supposed to be operating will be able to operate properly against low-altitude targets like cruise missiles. They would have to cue the fighters to the cruise missiles using the US AWACS.
It's such a better idea that Russia itself might as well do it:
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Russia to Modernize its Yak-52 Trainers to Shoot Down Ukrainian Kamikaze Drones​

After Ukraine began using its Soviet-era Yak-52 training aircraft to
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Russian drones, Russia also has announced repurposing the same planes in its inventory with specific upgrades. Russian aerospace executives stated that the modification and upgrade of the plane to the Yak-52B2 standard for a dedicated “UAV countermeasure” role is a priority.

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quoted the head of this project at the Aviasroitel Design Bureau. Dmitry Motin: “Today, one of the priority projects for our bureau is the modernization of the Yak-52 training aircraft into the Yak-52B2 ‘UAV countermeasure aircraft’. At present, we are expecting to receive an airworthiness certificate from the Federal Air Transport Agency.”

The announcement came on the same day Ukraine
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“one of its largest” ever drone strikes into Moscow, with the RuMoD (Russia Ministry of Defense) claiming it shot down 11 UAVs. Russia has usually used a combination of close/short-range, point-defense AD (Air Defense) systems like Pantsir, EW (Electronic Warfare) and jammers to bring down the drones.

As
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had reported, Russia had been struggling to match Ukraine’s scale and speed of replenishing its drone stocks with non-kinetic, soft-kill systems for cheap drones across the sector and for homeland defense. However, it is Ukraine’s slow and bulky drones like the
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that scored notable successes in penetrating Russia’s layered and integrated air defense. The Yak-52B2 program comes amid this backdrop.
 

Sinnavuuty

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The Russians are intensifying construction of fortifications in Kursk.

ATACMS are effective, but Russia has also had success shooting them down, as with Storm Shadow and GMLRS. Obviously, the interception rate is higher near important and well-defended targets. So the number of ATACMS or Storm Shadows required to defeat a target may be higher than expected, but they are still effective.
"Ukrainian commanders give different reasons for the Russian advance. Some say there aren't enough shells, with the enemy firing up to ten times as many. Others point to Russian tactics— small infantry assaults, glide bombs, new types of electronic warfare. But exhaustion and manpower issues seem to be at the heart of the collapse. 'People aren't made of steel,' says Colonel Pavlo Fedosenko. , aren't getting any rest, he says. Some stay on the front lines for 30 or 40 days at a time, cramped in foxholes inches from death. 'Dublin,' a fighter attached to the 59th brigade south-east of Pokrovsk, knows soldiers who have been in place for more than two months. Two had strokes."
Video from the Ukrainian Air Assault Forces of the first hours of the Kursk operation on August 6 with MICLICs breaching Russian fortifications, Strykers and tanks, and artillery and aviation support. The video also shows an armored bridge layer and other engineering vehicles.
A MiG-29 could have been shot down by an R-37M at a distance of 170 km by a Su-35S.

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Ukraine attacking Russian logistics in Crimea.
 

Sinnavuuty

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Mirror, mirror on the wall: Deceiving, destroying, and denying ISTAR

Analysis of ISTAR's capabilities in warfare.

The United States currently prohibits Ukrainian forces from using ATACMS missiles to strike military targets in Russia and only allows strikes using US-provided HIMARS equipped with GMLRS — at maximum permitting Ukraine to strike only 20 out of the 250 objects it could strike with ATACMS.
Only 17 of these 250 objects are airfields, and it is unlikely that the Russian military has redeployed assets away from all the other 233 objects to the same degree as it has reportedly done with aviation assets. (1/6)
GVzC0RIWgAAj29q

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Most of my posts simply report the facts about Russia's losses in Ukraine, as represented by Oryx data. But it's possible to do more than that. This is a of models predicting when Russia might run out of stuff. First: tanks. 1/n
A brief analysis of the Russian armored stock.

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All NATO advisers in Ukraine are under cover and have the status of journalists/consultants or representatives of the diplomatic mission.
Patriot air defense and HIMARS MLRS service personnel have the status of volunteers.
Such wording allows the West to publicly declare that their military is not taking part in the war.
/Ukrainian channel "Resident"/
The information appeared after the attack on the hotel in Kramatorsk, which killed at least three foreign "journalists".
It seems that the most affected group is the Northern Group. The Russians have sent some regiments from Zaporizhzhia and other locations and kept the units involved in the offensive in Donbas in the same location.

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What the fall of Pokrovsk could mean for Ukraine Ukraine's incursion into Kursk Oblast fails to thwart Russia's advancement towards Pokrovsk. The loss of this key city could have far-reaching consequences for the entire Ukrainian front in Donbas
Article about the situation in the Pokrovsk area.
 

Sinnavuuty

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Some information about the Sapsan SRBM, the Neptune ASCM (in production) and the Korshun LACM (in development). More information about Ukraine's ballistic missile developments:
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Ukraine Says It Has Tested A New Domestically-Designed Ballistic Missile
Ukraine getting a new ballistic missile free from use restrictions could be a major advance in the country's long-range strike capabilities.
It appears the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk stalled pretty quickly. Most of these gains were made the fist week or so. Blue line is the current furthest UA advances (not controlled territory) the black line is the same but for August 19th.
The funny thing about all this is that these guys really don't accept facts. For example, the American baseball analyst who has now become the official commentator of the war has credibility even though he says this nonsense here:
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
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Some information about the Sapsan SRBM, the Neptune ASCM (in production) and the Korshun LACM (in development). More information about Ukraine's ballistic missile developments
So Ukraine might be testing a ballistic missile with similar range to the Iskander. But at the same time the Russians are testing a new version of the Iskander with twice the original range. i.e. even if Ukraine gets their missile in service they will still be outranged.
 
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