The War in the Ukraine

Tam said:

Not an MLRS or HIMARS but a Buk, taken out by Iskander in the Sumy region. Currently Ukrainian Buks are Franken-SAMed with AIM-7 Sparrows.

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The number of franken systems in that war is impressive, it's a proof of ingeniosity and despair, from both sides.

MTLB with naval turret, Pickup with rocket launcher, cold war era bomb with wings, commercial fpv drone with bombs, sam system with mismatch missiles, T-72 with a barn on top, suicide jetski...

Damn we have seen some funky stuff !!!

Ukrainian T-72M1 destroyed by FPV from the 810rd Marines in the Kursk region.


Sniper from the 24th Guards SPN. Occurs to me that a lot of Spetznaz are Buryats or Yakuts.


Ukrainian EW system required a few attempts by FPV before knocking it out.


Konstantinovka village is done, and has fallen to the Russians. Flag raised at the center then at the very end.


Molniya FPV takes out a Ukrainian vehicle in the Kursk region.


Russians counterattacking in Kauchuk, Borok, and Malaya Lokni in the Kursk region.


Russia will increase drone production by five times over the coming years.


Bridge at Akhtyrke supplying Ukrainian logistics at the Sumy and Belgorod regions destroyed, possibly by X-38ML missile or FAB.


Novogrodovka captured nearly intact without the loss of Russian equipment.


Russians have begun storming Selidovo.


Russians getting into position to encircle Ugledar.


Attacks on Russia by ATACMS have lost its relevance - WSJ. Russians have long moved their aircraft out of range. US has denied permission using ATACMS deeper into Russian territory.

Should have added that the Russians have adapted to shooting it down too.

Russians have fire control along the Mirnograd-Grodovka highway, cutting off Ukrainian logistics there.


Daily FAB diet along Kherson continues.


Strela-10M takes out a Ukrainian UAV. Russian Strelas are now armed with the latest Verba missiles. Hence the M. While Ukrainian Strelas struggle with badly stored Soviet era stocks taken from emerging countries.


Crew of Mi-28NM chilling out.


Poland says no way Jose sending it's MiG-29s to Ukraine.


Mi-28NM sends a LMUR right into the window of a Ukrainian occupied building.


GMLRS wreckage of missiles shot down in the Kursk region.


Number of volunteers signing up with the Russian MoD has increased significantly.

Russia just captured Hrodivka within mere kilometers of Pokrovsk, as well as Novohrodivka and Selydove. Ukraine is collapsing across all fronts

Once they take Pokrovsk they can move north and south to pincer the rest of Donetsk

At this rate all of Donbass will be under Russian control in a couple months max

I just can't imagine what could've been going through the heads coming up with this plan. Pull troops from the fortifications you've spent decade on building, instead go and die in some Russian swamplands... At the pace the Russians have been advancing recently, by the end of the year Ukraine will look like a long snake. EU4 bordergore, but in real life...

Tootensky said:

I just can't imagine what could've been going through the heads coming up with this plan. Pull troops from the fortifications you've spent decade on building, instead go and die in some Russian swamplands... At the pace the Russians have been advancing recently, by the end of the year Ukraine will look like a long snake. EU4 bordergore, but in real life...

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Russia is close to achieving its "minimum case scenario" aka Donbass + the southern strip + crimea

Personally though I don't think they will stop there and they will likely continue to a "Novorossiya" type of situation including Kharkiv, Dnipro and Odessa

Tootensky said:

I just can't imagine what could've been going through the heads coming up with this plan. Pull troops from the fortifications you've spent decade on building, instead go and die in some Russian swamplands... At the pace the Russians have been advancing recently, by the end of the year Ukraine will look like a long snake. EU4 bordergore, but in real life...

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Possible tactical deception by Russia?

Some sources believe Ukraine thought
Russia was using the area as a refit spot before launching their own offensive. If so, a localized attack could have the chance to defeat a more even ratio of unprepared opponents.

Russians had cleared the mines in Kursk border prior to the offensive. The reason I think it was tactical deception is that Ukraine in reality didn't run into any regular Russian army units at all, so there was seemingly no real Russian offensive shaping up. They just cleared the mines for... other reasons.

sndef888 said:

Russia just captured Hrodivka within mere kilometers of Pokrovsk, as well as Novohrodivka and Selydove. Ukraine is collapsing across all fronts

Once they take Pokrovsk they can move north and south to pincer the rest of Donetsk

At this rate all of Donbass will be under Russian control in a couple months max

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They are really only making significant advances West of Avdiivka and this has been going on since February, some 25km in half a year.
Other than that it's mostly just New York and some minor settlements across the frontline, perhaps they can get some momentum going in Toretsk?

Proton said:

They are really only making significant advances West of Avdiivka and this has been going on since February, some 25km in half a year.
Other than that it's mostly just New York and some minor settlements across the frontline, perhaps they can get some momentum going in Toretsk?

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Right, but after Pokrovsk, there's literally nothing but open fields until Pavlograd, some 100 kms west. That means an opportunity for Russians to go back to maneuver. If they get that far, every Ukrainian soldier in Zaporozhye gets caught in a massive cauldron, between Russians to the south and north-east, and two rivers north and west. Plus, calling it 25km in half a year is a little disingenuous. The bulk of that was covered in the last 2 months.

Proton said:

25km in half a year

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25 km of dense fortifications heavily favoring the defender. What would happen once the two armies face off in open terrain? look at kursk to find out.

Tootensky said:

Right, but after Pokrovsk, there's literally nothing but open fields until Pavlograd, some 100 kms west. That means an opportunity for Russians to go back to maneuver. If they get that far, every Ukrainian soldier in Zaporozhye gets caught in a massive cauldron, between Russians to the south and north-east, and two rivers north and west. Plus, calling it 25km in half a year is a little disingenuous. The bulk of that was covered in the last 2 months.

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They've had literally nothing but open fields since Avdiivka; that's not really true, but this was the major obstacle. Open fields have proven to be a nightmare this war, ideal conditions seem to be lightly defended villages relatively close together - so you can leapfrog between them.

After Ocheretyne in April the've made fairly consistent gains. I do agree there seem to be a Kursk-effect, with increasing advances the last weeks, in particular if Novohrodivka is confirmed as captured.
Ukraine will have a couple more weeks to get their priorities straight so they can stabilize the front at Pokrovsk.

But yes, if Pokrovsk would fall there could be a "flower"-effect forcing a Ukrainian withdrawal from some 1000 square kilometers in the south-east.