The War in the Ukraine

HighGround said:

I always knew he was smart, but so is Shoigu. These guys didn't just survive, they thrived.

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Pointless and baseless comparison.
1 - Shoigu has not thrived, he has been a minister since 2 decades ago. He simply do his job. And do it well apparently looking at Russia producing more shells than all NATO combined.
2 - Saluzny got a good position in London. But he has not contributed with nothing to his country besides defeat, death and pain.
3 - Shoigu is mainly a sconomic manager, he is civilian. The equivalent of Zaluzny is Gerasimov

X-38ML missile strike on bridge near Novoselivka Persha. Russia continuing to cut the arteries of Ukrainian logistics.


FABs fall on Ukrainian positions in Makarivka.


FABs fall on Kizomys in the Kherson region.


FABs fall on Urozhayne.


Ukrainian howitzer gets taken out in Pavlivka.


Western type SPG here with a long barrel? Pzh2000? Gets taken out by the Russians near Kleban Byk.


General Surovikin has returned from Africa and is rumored to be taking a new post. The rumor is he heading to lead one of the northern groups.


The Sparta Battalion strikes a Ukrainian tank with an FPV drone.


TOS lands on Ukrainian positions towards the Lugansk region.

Russians have launched some sort of offensive action towards Kharkov, launching attacks against six border villages.

We'll see if they're back to stay. Getting the war farther from the border is a real morale boosting move.

The Ukrainian army published an episode of the battle with an attack near the village of Solovevo. The video shows a group of Russian military equipment going on the attack. As a result of the battle, some military equipment was disabled by Ukrainian FPV drones, but the T-90M Proryv tank was not damaged. The video shows the Russian T-90M Proryv tank equipped with additional protection; the tank withstood three hits from FPV drones. The final result of the battle is unknown to us, but the tank’s protection withstood all the blows. This is the first time in combat in Ukraine where a tank withstood an attack by three FPV drones.

Stealthflanker said:

We'll see if they're back to stay. Getting the war farther from the border is a real morale boosting move.

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Pushing to the northeastern outskirts of Kharkiv seems very doable, if the Russians actually commit the resources, as there isn't really any urban-like strongholds before the suburbs.

But encircling or even semi-encircling and capturing the city looks pretty much impossible unless the Ukrainian army gets massively overextended.


So far I've seen rumors/reports of Strilecha, Borysivka and Pylna being captured; three small villages right at the border.
If true, Im not sure you can even call it a success, as any proper defensive line should have at least some buffer area within Ukraine so they can't be taken by surprise.

Lyptsi looks like a strong defensive position, we'll see if they can get there.

Proton said:

Pushing to the northeastern outskirts of Kharkiv seems very doable, if the Russians actually commit the resources, as there isn't really any urban-like strongholds before the suburbs.

But encircling or even semi-encircling and capturing the city looks pretty much impossible unless the Ukrainian army gets massively overextended.


So far I've seen rumors/reports of Strilecha, Borysivka and Pylna being captured; three small villages right at the border.
If true, Im not sure you can even call it a success, as any proper defensive line should have at least some buffer area within Ukraine so they can't be taken by surprise.

Lyptsi looks like a strong defensive position, we'll see if they can get there.

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The main reason for the Russian push seems to push ukranian lines far away from Belgorod (yesterday Belgorod was again bombed hard).l, specially in the background of new HIMARS deliveries and so on.

However I don’t know why people is so sure that Russia is not able to encircle Kharkov. It will not happen in a day, but as far as I can see the Ukrainian army currently is basically unable to hold fortified positions in Donbass.

I don’t see how people think that they are going to be able to hold ground in a far less fortified Kharkov area agains a newly introducing Russian force of 50-100 thousand soldiers.

To appropriately defend Kharkov they would need to divert resources that they don’t have from the central donbass area.

We are not in 2022 with intact Ukrainian army, we are 2 years later and Ukraine has suffered massive casualties these years while Russia has far more manpower and weapons than then.

Ukraine is barely holding donbass, and now they will be more stretched needing to defend also Kharkov.
Most likely situation is hard loses in both fronts during the summer

Lancets hit a Ukrainian tank and a mortar site in Konstantinovka.


Krasnopols on Ukrainian howitzers by the Siberian Association. The special forces unit operates in the Avdeyevka sector.


Air strikes, artillery, missile and rocket strikes begin in the border in the Kharkhiv region.


Two FABs arrive in a Ukrainian position.


Leopard 2 attacked and finished off by FPV drones.


S-300 system hit by Lancet. Credit goes to the 3rd SPN Brigade.


Bridge in Zybyne gets lased by Orlan and then hit by an X-38ML. This in the Kharkhiv region.


FABs arrive in Ukrainian positions in Urozhayne.


Another bridge taken out by X-38ML missile. This one towards the Avdeyevka front, which is bad news for Ukrainian forces there.


Destroyed Leopard 2A4 in the Marinka front.


Disguised Ukrainian radar gets hit by a Lancet.


Ukrainian warehouse or deployment point gets wiped out by a FAB in Kherson across the Dniepr.


LMUR hits site used by Ukrainian UAV operators.


Strike arrival in Kharkhiv and burning.


Refineries in the Kaluga region hit by Ukrainian drones, resulting in fires.


5th Brigade captures the Krasnogorovka refractory plant.


Ukrainian T-72EA made in Czech found destroyed.


ATACMS strike in Mariupol with subsequent AD interceptions.


Arrival of several UMPB D30SN glide bombs on Ukrainian positions in Kizomys, Kherson. UMPB are rocket powered glide bombs launched from Tornado-S. I wonder how much of these are already used and confused with FAB with UMPK strikes.


Wreckage of dual warhead X-101 missile.


Based on a previous post, that was indeed a Pzh2000 self propelled howitzer that was knocked out by Russian artillery, likely with a Krasnopol.


Lancets take out an M777, M109 and a D-20 howitzer in Kherson.


AFU losing lots of pickups to FPV drones. This strike by the Vega SPN.

Tam said:

Ukrainian warehouse or deployment point gets wiped out by a FAB in Kherson across the Dniepr.

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Apparently this was hit with Russia's version of the SDB

This thing seems more serious than just a border probe. Instead of villages Russians are entering towns: