The War in the Ukraine

Russia was still reliant on food imports from the West back in 2014. SPFS and the Mir car did not exist either. So had Russia intervened like they did in 2022 you would have seen both food shortages and issues with all digital payment platforms.
Russia also was relying on imports of catalysts from the West to make diesel. That is how vulnerable to sanctions they were back then.

In theory there were workarounds for most of these issues but implementing all of them would have been a major bugbear. You can pretty much bet Russia would be much closer to the brink of economic collapse than they were in 2022 with 8 years of economic preparation.

The Tsar Tank drives into the center of Krasnohorivka like a boss. Shrugs off every FPV drone thrown at it. I don't know if the tank got lost with that attic roof over its way but it went way too deep into the city and still got away. Despite the comedic music, it's no laughing matter for the Ukrainians as the tank spearheaded a major Russian breakthrough south of Krasnohorivka which could be the straw that breaks the back of the defence there.



The tank was built by accident from a damaged T-72 whose turret couldn't turn. Maybe after this, more will be built directly.

The Ukrainians claimed they previously hit the tank in its shelter via HIMARS, and this might be a second tank or the HIMARS hit the wrong shelter. I wager it's still the first tank.

There's a crown of arrays on top of the roof that makes it a jamming monster on drones.

In the early hours of today, Ukraine attacked the Russian air base of Dzhankoi, in Crimea, there were several explosions and fires, the 39th Helicopter Regiment of the 27th Aviation Division of the Russian Air Force is located at the base.

In this attack on Dzhankoi Air Base, according to reports, Ukraine used ATACMS missiles to destroy an S-400 battery, with radar, 5 launchers and other components, worth 500 million dollars.

In addition, there were 10 Mi-28 helicopters, 2 Ka-52 and 4 SU-25 planes at the base. It is estimated from satellite images that, if not all, most of the helicopters were hit.


If confirmed, this would be one of the most successful attacks carried out by Ukraine in the entire war.

Is the second photo before or after the attack? In any case the launchers and radars seem to be parked too close to each other. As usual, the Russians can't learn a thing without getting whacked first.

Virtup said:

Is the second photo before or after the attack? In any case the launchers and radars seem to be parked too close to each other. As usual, the Russians can't learn a thing without getting whacked first.

Click to expand...

Before the attack. The photo after the attack is this:

It is believed that three launchers and a radar from the S-400 were destroyed as a result of the attack.

Sinnavuuty said:

In addition, there were 10 Mi-28 helicopters, 2 Ka-52 and 4 SU-25 planes at the base. It is estimated from satellite images that, if not all, most of the helicopters were hit.

Click to expand...

and where is this Satellite image confirming these casualties ?

A hotel in Chernigov or Chernihiv got hit by a Russian rocket strike. Ukrainian bloggers are calling for blood donations. Hotels are usually residences for mercenaries and foreign advisers.


Impact

Three strikes were reported. You don't land three Iskanders on the same site unless you want to kill a lot of people.


Could be command post for Ukrainian forces in the north.


Rescue and recovery operation. Could be some important people. Bunk beds can be seen in the building remains, suggesting barracks.


Half of the hotel is gone.


Ukrainian tank gets hit by ATGM from the 200th Brigade. What's unusual in this case is that the T-64BV starts rolling downhill and dunks into the water.


2S4 Tyulpan of the 238th continues it's explosive work in Krasnogorovka.


FABs arriving at Chasiv Yar.


Arty porn. Nona-SVK at work in the Avdeyevka sector and interview of it's commander.


Ukrainian self propelled gun gets hit by Krasnopol from a MSTA-S.


Some Ukrainian vehicle destroyed by Russian artillery.


Destroyed Krab SPG. Turret appears blown off. This should be the 39th visually confirmed loss of the type.


Ukrainian 2S1 Gvozdika hit by arty from the 38th Brigade.


Ukrainian tank in Krasnogorovka gets hit by FPV drone from the 238th.


ATACMs hit on Dzankoy airfield. It appears a fuel or ammo depot was hit.


Arty porn featuring Uragan.


Uragan on a new BAZ truck chassis.


Another arrival in Odessa.


FABs arrive at Ukrainian positions in South Donetsk.


Sometimes these kinds of mechanized assaults go badly wrong. Sometimes they don't. This is one of the successful ones allowing the Russians to put another beachhead in Krasnogorovka.


Su-34 dumps it's load on a hanger with Ukrainian vehicles. The video is from the 98th VDV, which means this is not far from Chasiv Yar.


Looks like a CAESAR getting hit by a Lancet.

Stealthflanker said:

and where is this Satellite image confirming these casualties ?

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There are no images about helicopters yet. There is also talk of unconfirmed losses of 2 S-300 launchers.

Sinnavuuty said:

There are no images about helicopters yet. There is also talk of unconfirmed losses of 2 S-300 launchers.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780463590392078691

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780523154286244151

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780535723541619133

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780452391881437316

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1780567011807883495

Click to expand...

If they had helicopters in the open... even without direct hit, they most likely got in range of debris and shrapnells. They certainly need to be well scrutined before flying.

Sinnavuuty said:

Before the attack. The photo after the attack is this
It is believed that three launchers and a radar from the S-400 were destroyed as a result of the attack.

Click to expand...

The Russians typically launch two SAM missiles per target. It is easy to saturate the S-400 with a barrage like the one they did. Allegedly this was done with like a dozen ATACMS missiles. Maybe the Russians should just replace the S-400 battery with an S-350 one. It would be much harder to saturate.