Syrskyi was also the guy who defended Kharkiv quite successfully against units of the Russian 1st Guards Tank Army when the conflict started. He also had way more success with the Kharkiv counter offensive than whoever was coordinating the attack on Kherson. But of course let us just focus on his failures.
He is actually fairly good either on the offensive or when doing active defense if provided with enough resources. It is just that I don't think his style of command will be effective on this stage of the war really. Ukraine no longer has the equipment to do proper mobile warfare, they lost a huge amount of equipment and trained troops, and the more they try to do it the more they will fail.
You can't kick some one out if that place belongs to it first.This is why I don't buy into the rumours and people's hearsay. It's like any job. You hear horrible things about a manager that very few people have actually worked with, but seemingly everyone "knows" is bad at his job.
Syrskyi is just being scape-goated, ultimately, war-aims are shaped by political goals. It's not necessarily Syrskyi's fault if Zelensky's political goals are completely unrealistic. I mean this is the guy who genuinely seems to believe that the only way to end the war is to militarily kick Russians out of Crimea.
Good luck.
It's basically a race to the bottom now. All the 'super weapons' did not change the outcome of the war in a day. Yet the smaller cheaper stuff that can be mass produced is doing good workAfter two years of senseless violence I guess the war could be summarized thusly:
NATO in 2022: 10 million dollar Russian tanks and armored vehicles are being taken out by 500 dollar DJI drones. What a friggin joke.
Russia in 2023: 30 million dollar NATO assets are being taken out by 500 dollar DJI drones. What a friggin joke.
DJI: We are not an arms manufacturer. Please use our products responsibly.
Ukraine still has a defensive line with several cities. Sloviansk, Kramatorsk. A though nut to crack for sure. And entering the major Ukrainian cities like Kharkiv or Zaporizhzhia wouldn't be an easy job either. Assuming the Russians ever try to get into the major cities.
I kind of doubt it will completely end by 2025. At best they will end the major military operations. But at the current rate of progress using this level of resources it will take longer than that.
I wouldn't be too surprised either. Once Putin gets confirmation from the vote he could expand conscription to try to end the conflict sooner before more Western military aid arrives and the West actually manage to increase their own production. Regardless, Russia shouldn't take off the pressure as that would allow Ukraine to basically rearm itself.
They will just keep operating the F-16 in the Western part of the country. Unless Russia starts taking territory West of the Dnieper I think it will happen. And I wouldn't be surprised if at least some of the aircraft were operated by NATO pilots.
Russia needs to mitigate the disparity in terms of leading edge long distance fires and recon somehow. Automating the production of glide bomb kits and putting the glide kit for the FAB-1500 into serial production will be necessary. The US has been buying artillery shells from India, and should increase its own production in a year or two. Russia needs to address the gap in capabilities by then. Hence Shoigu's comment when he visited the plant which is supposed to be building the Koalitsiya on why weren't the first serial units delivered already. Right now the Russians have the Giatsint to keep up in range but it isn't enough.