The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
- Start date
Well that change in command certainly seem to be causing moves on the ground, weather this "not one step backwards" is a good idea remains to be seen.
Russia rotated generals in the Syrian campaign quite often as well. They just do that to get them more experience. But the Chief of the
General Staff has been General Gerasimov for pretty much all the time.
Syrskyi seems to be one of those generals with the cult of the offensive. He is the wrong guy to be leading a defensive operation like what is supposed to be the game plan for 2024 for Ukraine. While he had some successes in the initial defense of Kharkiv, where he basically did armored counter attacks, most of his interventions after that have been failures where he overcommited forces to the attack. This will just play into Russia's advantages in Avdiivka where the Russians enjoy fires superiority. I mean just look at the map, the place is totally surrounded by Russia. It is a perfect meatgrinder and sending more troops and equipment there into that fire bag is just a pointless waste of resources and manpower.
Ukraine should be setting up defensive lines behind natural defenses like the Oskol river and the Dnieper and trying to defend there. Turning every city into a fortress does delay Russian troop advances. But for what purpose. Are they still hoping NATO will intervene and send troops or something?
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Russians bagged a Ukrainian Su-25 with the loss of one of the AFU's most experienced pilots with over 385 sorties.
Ukrainian TDP is hit by a LMUR missile courtesy of the Sparta Battalion.
Improvised MLRS on top of Humvee get hit by a Lancet in the right side of the Dniepr and Kherson. The entire right zone is a turkey shoot for Lancets and FABs.
Ukrainian BMP at the Kremennaya front gets hit by Lancet.
Destroyed AFU T-64BV at Chasiv Yar.
Ukrainian TDP at Kurahovo hit by a FAB-1500. Also filmed from the ground.
M777 destroyed probably by Krasnopol in the Svatovo direction by the 16th SPN Brigade.
NARS hit on a Ukrainian force concentration from a Mi-35.
Lancet from the VDV takes out a Ukrainian MSTA-B in Kherson.
Ukrainian landing boat destroyed in Tyaginki.
Russians send FPV drone right into a shelter used by Ukrainians in the Kharkhiv region.
AFU tank hit by Krasnopol in the Kupyansk region.
AFU drone operators nest revealed under a hidden shelter, treated with one hit artillery, likely Krasnopol.
Zmievka at Kherson. FAB hit on a Ukrainian TDP may have allegedly killed 35 Ukrainian soldiers.
Ukrainian TDP is hit by a LMUR missile courtesy of the Sparta Battalion.
Improvised MLRS on top of Humvee get hit by a Lancet in the right side of the Dniepr and Kherson. The entire right zone is a turkey shoot for Lancets and FABs.
Ukrainian BMP at the Kremennaya front gets hit by Lancet.
Destroyed AFU T-64BV at Chasiv Yar.
Ukrainian TDP at Kurahovo hit by a FAB-1500. Also filmed from the ground.
M777 destroyed probably by Krasnopol in the Svatovo direction by the 16th SPN Brigade.
NARS hit on a Ukrainian force concentration from a Mi-35.
Lancet from the VDV takes out a Ukrainian MSTA-B in Kherson.
Ukrainian landing boat destroyed in Tyaginki.
Russians send FPV drone right into a shelter used by Ukrainians in the Kharkhiv region.
AFU tank hit by Krasnopol in the Kupyansk region.
AFU drone operators nest revealed under a hidden shelter, treated with one hit artillery, likely Krasnopol.
Zmievka at Kherson. FAB hit on a Ukrainian TDP may have allegedly killed 35 Ukrainian soldiers.
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plawolf
Lieutenant General
Well ‘not one step back’ worked soooo well last time someone was smooth-brained enough to try it against the Russians, over the same territory no less, what could go wrong?
It's because you don't know Putin's "tricks". Putin is the Night King:
Putin revives his dead generals by raising his arms.
Seriously, at least Gerasimov gained some more time without talking about his whereabouts, DmitriAGITROP couldn't stop talking about it:
M777 gets taken out by Lancet again.
Mortar hits against Ukrainian troops in the forest line.
Ukrainian fire position in Kupyansk region hit by a mortar.
Ukrainian drone control team in the right bank of the Dniepr, spotted and tracked on night vision by Russian UAV, then hit with one precise arty strike, probably Krasnopol.
Arty from the 238th Brigade hits a Ukrainian mortar nest.
Russian units set flags on the north and east of Novomikhailovka.
Hotel and former recreation center in Zmievka burning in the Kharkhiv region after a Geran raid. Such hotels are said to be resided by foreign mercenaries and military advisors. As a note, Shahed-238s are now operational and were used in the latest Geran raids.
Hanger in Kherson region alleged to have a HIMARS launcher tracked and hiding under it. Hit by Grom-E1 missile.
Destroyed M113 in the DNR.
Paratrooper from the 98th VDV Division getting interviewed. On the back is a 2S31 Vena that succeeds the Nona-S and which can work with any 120mm howitzer or mortar shell including of Western production. The gun can also fire laser guided projectiles called Kitolov which is similar to the Krasnopol. The 98th operates in the northwest Artemovsk sector, which includes the offensive through Bogdanivka alongside the 200th MR Brigade of the North Sea Fleet.
2S31 Vena working with the Kostroma artillery regiment also of the 98th VDV Division. Two AFU infantry units were hit.
The start of an assault. An IFV or APC drops off paratroopers from the 98th VDV as they begin to storm Ukrainian positions...
... In these videos, Ukrainians appear retreating.
Posed picture of paratrooper. The vehicle behind might be another 2S31 Vena heavily grilled against FPV drones. The Vena being among the latest and best arty toys suggest a lot about the unit that's getting it.
Compilation of videos. FAB-1500 hits Ukrainian TDP in Korakovo (this might be an Iskander but not sure). Russian ATGM hits a Ukrainian troop vehicle. FPV drone hits a Starlink antenna. After spotted by a Russian drone, a Ukrainian Javelin ATGM nest gets hit by a Russian ATGM.
Ukrainian UAV squad prepares to launch UAV but in all irony got hit by a Lancet instead after their vehicle was spotted and tracked by a Russian UAV.
Ukrainian supply vehicle tracked by UAV to a hidden supply depot and shelter used by AFU, which got promptly treated by a LMUR missile strike.
Mortar hits against Ukrainian troops in the forest line.
Ukrainian fire position in Kupyansk region hit by a mortar.
Ukrainian drone control team in the right bank of the Dniepr, spotted and tracked on night vision by Russian UAV, then hit with one precise arty strike, probably Krasnopol.
Arty from the 238th Brigade hits a Ukrainian mortar nest.
Russian units set flags on the north and east of Novomikhailovka.
Hotel and former recreation center in Zmievka burning in the Kharkhiv region after a Geran raid. Such hotels are said to be resided by foreign mercenaries and military advisors. As a note, Shahed-238s are now operational and were used in the latest Geran raids.
Hanger in Kherson region alleged to have a HIMARS launcher tracked and hiding under it. Hit by Grom-E1 missile.
Destroyed M113 in the DNR.
Paratrooper from the 98th VDV Division getting interviewed. On the back is a 2S31 Vena that succeeds the Nona-S and which can work with any 120mm howitzer or mortar shell including of Western production. The gun can also fire laser guided projectiles called Kitolov which is similar to the Krasnopol. The 98th operates in the northwest Artemovsk sector, which includes the offensive through Bogdanivka alongside the 200th MR Brigade of the North Sea Fleet.
2S31 Vena working with the Kostroma artillery regiment also of the 98th VDV Division. Two AFU infantry units were hit.
The start of an assault. An IFV or APC drops off paratroopers from the 98th VDV as they begin to storm Ukrainian positions...
... In these videos, Ukrainians appear retreating.
Posed picture of paratrooper. The vehicle behind might be another 2S31 Vena heavily grilled against FPV drones. The Vena being among the latest and best arty toys suggest a lot about the unit that's getting it.
Compilation of videos. FAB-1500 hits Ukrainian TDP in Korakovo (this might be an Iskander but not sure). Russian ATGM hits a Ukrainian troop vehicle. FPV drone hits a Starlink antenna. After spotted by a Russian drone, a Ukrainian Javelin ATGM nest gets hit by a Russian ATGM.
Ukrainian UAV squad prepares to launch UAV but in all irony got hit by a Lancet instead after their vehicle was spotted and tracked by a Russian UAV.
Ukrainian supply vehicle tracked by UAV to a hidden supply depot and shelter used by AFU, which got promptly treated by a LMUR missile strike.
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plawolf
Lieutenant General
I think we are going to start to see the beginning of the end of FPV drones as the Russians appears to be seriously going after their core vulnerability - human operators.
Right now it’s pretty rudimentary mostly down to tracking with their own drones and calling in fire missions on hideouts. But I don’t think it will be long before we see a whole new generation of UCAVs designed specifically to find and home in on FPV command signals and go straight for the operators exactly like how radar guided SAMs were soon countered with anti-radiation missiles.
We might see a lot of the same tricks and counters as was/is used in SAM vs fighters being applied here, but no matter how the arms races goes, the end result is that FPVs will never be as effective as they are right now, where there isn’t yet a proper counter against FPVs and similar repurposed commercial drones.
This is another reason why AI and drone swarms are the proper future successor of the current FPVs and DJIs.
The key question is how long the development and deployment cycle for the hard counter to FPVs will take. But it’s a question of when, not if these will emerge and once again revolutionise the battlefield.
In the meantime, expect a lot more footage of Ukrainian drone teams getting hit as the Russians have correctly marked them as high value, high priority targets. Even more so as Ukrainian conventional artillery forces continue their decline due to shortage of shells and increasingly, attrition of artillery and crews themselves from Russian full spectrum attack, and the Russians start to have more slack capacity to redeploy to hunt for drone operators.
Right now it’s pretty rudimentary mostly down to tracking with their own drones and calling in fire missions on hideouts. But I don’t think it will be long before we see a whole new generation of UCAVs designed specifically to find and home in on FPV command signals and go straight for the operators exactly like how radar guided SAMs were soon countered with anti-radiation missiles.
We might see a lot of the same tricks and counters as was/is used in SAM vs fighters being applied here, but no matter how the arms races goes, the end result is that FPVs will never be as effective as they are right now, where there isn’t yet a proper counter against FPVs and similar repurposed commercial drones.
This is another reason why AI and drone swarms are the proper future successor of the current FPVs and DJIs.
The key question is how long the development and deployment cycle for the hard counter to FPVs will take. But it’s a question of when, not if these will emerge and once again revolutionise the battlefield.
In the meantime, expect a lot more footage of Ukrainian drone teams getting hit as the Russians have correctly marked them as high value, high priority targets. Even more so as Ukrainian conventional artillery forces continue their decline due to shortage of shells and increasingly, attrition of artillery and crews themselves from Russian full spectrum attack, and the Russians start to have more slack capacity to redeploy to hunt for drone operators.
In tucker's interview, putin said, he pulled back from kiev to show compromise, and hope the kiev can agree to the cease fire (negociated in Istanbul). i think specifically, he was referring to the two prone attack to seize kiev.
any truth to that? the timeline is so burry for me, i can't determine if that have any truth.
any truth to that? the timeline is so burry for me, i can't determine if that have any truth.