The War in the Ukraine

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
They vary. The infantry contingent is actually surprisingly small though.

*shakes fist at the inability to get exact numbers*

They do have vehicles to operate and maintain. So that will take a good chuck. Don’t they also deal with internal logistics themselves for the entire BTG? Another decent chuck of the manpower.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
I am expecting Severodonetsk to fall to the Russians.
However, a small cautionary:
10k troops is still the equivalent of 10 BTG in raw numbers but if they are all infantry, even more. A Russian BTG has about 200 infantry (plus or minus). If there are 10k Ukrainian infantry left in Severodonetsk, that's as much as 50 BTG worth.
The Russians aren't sending their BTGs to do most of the urban fighting in these areas. That is what the Chechens and the Donbass militia are for. They basically provide fire support and help with some of the tougher spots.
 
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Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
IMO. NATO wanting to escort grain from Ukrainian ports isn’t the core issue. That could just be 1 step for NATO. Next thing you know, they will be sending a huge LNG tanker into Ukraine and then a huge cargo ship full of heavy military equipment, etc.
Some of these Ukrainian ports are full of fertilizer too... don't need a lof of spicing for these to turn into formidable explosions. Remember what happened in Beirut.

Grains are going out by trains but regulations, insurances and bad logistics in Europe slow the progress a lot. ''Ukrainian Railways now counts more than 9,000 grain cars loaded and ready for export to other parts of Europe, but only about 450 cars a day are moving out of the country.''

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Zichan

Junior Member
Registered Member
Everything from what I’m seeing from Russian telegram channels shows the Ukrainian forces fled Severdonekts without a fight. Now they likel retreated to Lisichansk to fortify it. In total it’s projected there is 8-10k Ukrainian in the city right now. I expect that to be a bloody urban battle but it will be in Russian hands. The cracks are showing in Donbas. Another 30 days of this type of fighting will lead to the collapse of Ukrainian resistance. Only places holding on strong is Maryinka and Aviinka. But it only a matter of time before they crack.
There’s a river running between Severodonetsk and Lysichansk. Urban+river is a tough nut to crack. They will probably cross the river further away and flank them or more likely wait for the southwestern forces to seal the cauldron.
 

Soldier30

Senior Member
Registered Member
The failed attack of the Ukrainian special forces on the Russian armored car KamAZ "Typhoon-VDV" was caught on video. The ambush was arranged in the Kherson region, the armored car withstood the blow and continued to follow, the Ukrainian special forces did not show the frames of the destroyed car.


Footage of the combat work of Russian Su-25 attack aircraft in Ukraine. The pilots attacked strongholds of the Ukrainian army. The Russian SU-25 aircraft entered the army in 1981, despite its age, the aircraft has phenomenal reliability and incredible survivability.


One of the pilots in Ukraine showed the skill of flying the Ka-52 Alligator helicopter, the car flew over the river at an ultra-low altitude. Russian helicopter almost touched the water, flying over it a few centimeters

 

Weaasel

Senior Member
Registered Member
Has this been shared before? A candid assessment by Colonel Markus Reisner from the Austrian Military Academy, from the beginning of May. In his opinion Russia can still win this, where the definition of victory is holding more territory than at the start of the invasion:
"

He claims that according to data from the US, the arms it takes the West one week to supply to Ukraine, are either consumed by the Ukrainians in 1 day, or destroyed by the Russians. Apparently, Russia has published manuals on how to operate the various Western equipment supplied to Ukraine.

"In the past, Ukraine also succeeded in ambushing Russian soldiers with special forces. But this tactic probably won't work anymore. This had worked elsewhere in the first six weeks, but now the Russians are prepared, and the Russian special forces (Spetsnaz) hunt the Ukrainian special forces and unfortunately destroy them quite often."

Source:
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Another assessment penned today:
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Russia is using long range tube and rocket artillery, coupled with thermobaric weapons to saturate the Ukrainian defences, not giving them a minute of breathing space.
Ukrainians cannot ambush Russian supply lines in frequencies close to anything approaching what they could do before mostly because the supply lines presently are much less extended, and Russia is no longer hastily moving large numbers of vehicles and personnel well ahead of logistics and supplies.
 
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