They have like hundreds of US switchblade drones and have all the chance to use them. Yet the record seems abyssimal with only notable case of hitting supposed FSB agent.
The War in the Ukraine
- Thread starter SampanViking
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They have like hundreds of US switchblade drones and have all the chance to use them. Yet the record seems abyssimal with only notable case of hitting supposed FSB agent.
We have the first pictures of the attack of the Leopard 2A4.
Full frontal heroic charge towards the Russian position.
Full frontal heroic charge towards the Russian position.
That looks like a Tunguska
Btw, things seems not looking to smooth for the Ukrainian offensive
They formed 8 new brigades for that spring offensive (yes it's still spring) and 3 of them is engaged in Zaporizhzia region.
Don't know if the other are waiting to strike the same point or are going elsewhere but they have engaged near half of their new brigades already. It look like they are obligated to use roads to move to bypass minefields. Putting more armors and troops waiting in line going to the front is probably nonconstructive but waves of not enough troops to saturate defences is not giving results...
That offensive will bring no good...
new bdes aren't the end of it, there are new Ukrainian ones, too.
Broccoli
Senior Member
According to Russian sources three Storm Shadows hit large Russian base inside Luhansk.
Hits confirmed by geolocation.
Hits confirmed by geolocation.
Video of the earlier photos now available
Shoigu personally appearing and talking about the counteroffensive so far. More so that what he said, the interesting thing is him saying it. It would suggest by his reckoning things are going better than expected for the Russians and so him appearing in public and getting himself associated with it to claim credit. If things are not going well or in the air he would keep quiet so that he could shift the blame to someone else if necessary.
Shoigu personally appearing and talking about the counteroffensive so far. More so that what he said, the interesting thing is him saying it. It would suggest by his reckoning things are going better than expected for the Russians and so him appearing in public and getting himself associated with it to claim credit. If things are not going well or in the air he would keep quiet so that he could shift the blame to someone else if necessary.
According to The War Zone, it is actually doing fantastic, with claims of advancing up to 10km in several parts of the frontline including Bakhmut. They also claim they totally intended to hit that residential building in Moscow with a drone
I listened to Dmitri Alperovitch's podcast last night since Rob Lee and Michael Kofman were guests (they are frequent guests of the show).
They were very much less optimistic about the offensive. Kofman even opined that "There's a WaPo article that'll have a DoD rep who's saying that Ukrainians advanced 5-10km in some placed..." basically implying that these optimistic takes are out of touch with reality.
Now I don't always agree with what Kofman or Rob say, but they are very much in the "sane" camp of military analysis. They are actual professionals who take their jobs seriously unlike the vast mass of OSINTers and Think Tankers who only do it either for the clout or the money (or both). So if Kofman and Rob are basically telling people to temper their expectations, I think that says a lot for the pace of this offensive.
On the other hand, don't let the seeming early Russian success fool you. There are a lot of men and material left to chew through, and Ukrainains/NATO aren't dumb. They know how to fight. While Ukraine probably doesn't want to emulate the disaster in Davydov Brod during the Kherson offensive, Ukraine ultimately won that battle and had good success once they got past the minefields in Northern Kherson oblast. If this is indeed the offensive (and I'm 90% there towards firmly agreeing that it is), then expect Ukraine to either adapt or be smart and call it off. They can simply pause and work on preparing the battlefield even more before re-commencing.