The War in the Ukraine

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
If they are abandoned, we probably won't see much proof unless the Russians manage to advance on the area. It is likely the Ukranians might try to recover them before that, though.

It does look a lot like Russia's early push around Ugledar, vehicles getting knocked out by mines forcing the rest through narrow corridors where they are picked off by artillery.
 
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Right_People

Junior Member
Registered Member
A bunch of tanks, including at least 1 Leopard 2 bunched up closely together randomly with hatches opened and no crew? I'd say abandoned is a good guess. Also, what is the vehicle on the bottom right? Is that a Gepard or some type of SPAAG? Perhaps an engineering vehicle? Ukrainians must be conducting an armored push of this magnitude with anti-air, considering the amount of Russian gunships helos, right?
The first source I saw for the drone photos was:
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The claim is:

Russian sources are claiming they are all destroyed/abandoned.
Here are some of the other photos that came with those.

Do you guys know by any chance how many IRIS-T AFU have/will have???
If they are abandoned, we probably won't see much proof unless the Russians manage to advance on the area. It is likely the Ukranians might try to recover them before that, though.

It does look a lot like Russia's early push around Ugledar, vehicles getting knocked out by mines forcing the rest through narrow corridors where they are picked off by artillery.

Grenade through the hatch with a drone ...
A routine procedure at this point
 

Gloire_bb

Captain
Registered Member
If they are abandoned, we probably won't see much proof unless the Russians manage to advance on the area. It is likely the Ukranians might try to recover them before that, though.
Depends on where specific units are, but in this conflict abandoned within neutral zone means dead.
Copterbombers&FPVs quite consistently burn down vehicles left unprotected with open hatches, unless evacuated soon enough.
Especially in the field, where you just won't be able to cover them with jamming.
 

sheogorath

Major
Registered Member
Short analysis by Mikael Valtersson. His view is that if there isn't a deliberate grand strategy behind what we are seeing, the Ukranians might have drank their own Kool Aid and understimated the Russian defensive lines in similar way the Russians understimated the Ukranians around Kiev, resulting in a waste of resources and manpower.

 

Gloire_bb

Captain
Registered Member
I'd suggest holding expectations for now.

We haven't seen most of brigades of the offensive force yet - not even the majority. So majority of Ukrainian strength, wasn't committed yet. To be fair, however, the strongest of those brigades (and the only ones which more or less deserve the name mechanized), were probably meant for exploitation.

On the other hand, we've seen 3 of them, which isn't exactly little.

No, those aren't probing attacks; combat battalions of 33rd (apparently those are its leos) and 37th suffered very heavily, maybe to the point of losing offensive capability. Those are not the end of that Ukraine can muster, either.

Current results are beyond disappointing - Russian mechanized BtGs at Ugledar failed to pierce through defensive lines; but here, as far as i understand, Ukrainian motorized ones can't even fully get through huge no man's land, at best reaching screening positions of the Ru defense.
That's not exactly impressive.

Also, in practical warfare, Leopards seem to be incredibly vulnerable.
 

Right_People

Junior Member
Registered Member
I'd suggest holding expectations for now.

We haven't seen most of brigades of the offensive force yet - not even the majority. So majority of Ukrainian strength, wasn't committed yet. To be fair, however, the strongest of those brigades (and the only ones which more or less deserve the name mechanized), were probably meant for exploitation.

On the other hand, we've seen 3 of them, which isn't exactly little.

No, those aren't probing attacks; combat battalions of 33rd (apparently those are its leos) and 37th suffered very heavily, maybe to the point of losing offensive capability. Those are not the end of that Ukraine can muster, either.

Current results are beyond disappointing - Russian mechanized BtGs at Ugledar failed to pierce through defensive lines; but here, as far as i understand, Ukrainian motorized ones can't even fully get through huge no man's land, at best reaching screening positions of the Ru defense.
That's not exactly impressive.

Also, in practical warfare, Leopards seem to be incredibly vulnerable.
Do you have any info on how MRAPs are structured within NATO companies and battalions?
It seems that in Ukraine they have completely replaced other types of vehicles, I am keeping my own count and at the end of the week I will make a summary, but counting vehicles destroyed we are approaching the 3 battalions (90-100).
 

Atomicfrog

Major
Registered Member
Depends on where specific units are, but in this conflict abandoned within neutral zone means dead.
Copterbombers&FPVs quite consistently burn down vehicles left unprotected with open hatches, unless evacuated soon enough.
Especially in the field, where you just won't be able to cover them with jamming.
A fab500 in the middle of those would be spectacular... anyway they supposedly in the middle of a mine field under artillery coverage from both sides. I would not go there trying to tow anything even if they are only stuck in mud.

But if that offensive conclude in a scrapyards in open fields, what both sides will do next ? Russian don't look incline to test Ukrainian defences after Vuhledar... Another front opening ?
 
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