Putin is not all those things and he has far intelligence beyond Ukraine.The political establishment is the biggest culprit by far, Putin still held onto of vain hopes of Slavic Brotherhood and vastly underestimated how indoctrinated the Ukranian Armed forces had become over the past 8 years.
what he is trying to do is managing the conflict to make it sustainable long term. obviously he cannot use weopons that damage environment or get tough with west due to global wealth stored there. . He also has Turkish speaking spokesperson that can understand things real time when all the time talk with Turks who are essentially represent Germany. Israeli PM went straight to Berlin to see Scholz after meeting Putin. Than Austrian Chancellor and former German Chancellor came for talks to Moscow. Austrian Chancellor did not understood when Putin told him that he is winning despite withdrawing around North.