The War in the Ukraine

kolo2255

Just Hatched
Registered Member
What are you people even talking about? 200k number is for 2023 - 30 days exercices, mostly some basic training without even shooting ~ 95% are people who are somehow connected to the military before and ex-military. Every year Poland has that kind of exercices, this is the the same number as in 2021 and 2022.

You are mostly right, but the part "this is the the same number as in 2021 and 2022" is false. The training of conscripts have been stopped for many years, and the information you are referring to is about a plan to restart it. But the capabilities of polish military are questioned by many polish experts. It is hard to tell if Poland can support Ukraine even more without risking public unrest.
 

FriedButter

Major
Registered Member
What are you people even talking about? 200k number is for 2023 - 30 days exercices, mostly some basic training without even shooting ~ 95% are people who are somehow connected to the military before and ex-military. Every year Poland has that kind of exercices, this is the the same number as in 2021 and 2022.

TheDuran and some Polish/Belarus chatter that I read have been reading are saying that they are hearing the 200k conscripts involves a lot of people with administration experience. Such as lawyers, police, nurses, doctors, judges etc. These are just rumors.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
This is allegedly a board from SVP-24 Gefest in a downed Russian Su-24M.
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Russia has their own clones of the Xilinx FPGAs, ATMEGA128, and the Analog Devices SHARC DSP seen here. The SHARC DSP is probably the most complex chip in the lot. There are also Flash and DRAM chips to be seen but all really common. Supposedly there is also an embedded 486 computer in the system in a different board, never heard of the Russians cloning that, but this is an industrial computer that is easy to acquire. Of course it is way cheaper to purchase the mass produced original chips than the small lot, possibly gold and ceramic encased, Russian clones of them.

 
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Sinnavuuty

Senior Member
Registered Member
It seems the rumor of Russian Offensives coming this winter turns out to be false
Winter has just started, you can't say that yet. But if there is no new offensive by the end of this winter, it means that the Russians are simply no longer able to carry out large-scale offensive maneuvers, for example, with an entire armored brigade, at most we will see isolated actions with forces subunit. War on land is coming down to light infantry actions (on foot) with heavy artillery support and punctual armor support when necessary or feasible.

The Russians are concentrating force and in this case there are 5 points of concentration of force, one in Crimea, another in Donetsk and another three in Russian territory and Belarus, is it expected that obviously Russia has the capacity to move these means to carry out large-scale offensive or is it It's completely stupid to keep huge targets for nothing, because moving means is one thing, deploying them on the field and maneuvering offensively is another.

At the end of winter, if this does not happen, it means that the Russian strength has been broken, losing large-scale offensive capacity, while the Ukrainians have retaken the general initiative (result of victories in Kharkiv and Kherson).
 

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
Winter has just started, you can't say that yet. But if there is no new offensive by the end of this winter, it means that the Russians are simply no longer able to carry out large-scale offensive maneuvers, for example, with an entire armored brigade, at most we will see isolated actions with forces subunit. War on land is coming down to light infantry actions (on foot) with heavy artillery support and punctual armor support when necessary or feasible.

The Russians are concentrating force and in this case there are 5 points of concentration of force, one in Crimea, another in Donetsk and another three in Russian territory and Belarus, is it expected that obviously Russia has the capacity to move these means to carry out large-scale offensive or is it It's completely stupid to keep huge targets for nothing, because moving means is one thing, deploying them on the field and maneuvering offensively is another.

At the end of winter, if this does not happen, it means that the Russian strength has been broken, losing large-scale offensive capacity, while the Ukrainians have retaken the general initiative (result of victories in Kharkiv and Kherson).
Agreed, they need to do something with these troops before the winter is done. Bakhmut seems ready to fall. If that happens, the entire Donbass will be down to Kramatorsk area. I can see them doing a two prong approach. One from Kharkiv, one from the South towards Zhaporizhzhia. Cutting off Zhaporizhzhia and Dipro from the Western side of Ukraine.
 

reservior dogs

Junior Member
Registered Member
This is literally a single Corps if it were true

Yes, after Lysychansk, it seems the battle for Bakhmut move at a glacial pace. The Russians can quickly take control of the surrounding cities and choke it off, but they have taken their time. I think part of the reason was the lack of troops until the partial mobilization, but part of the reason was also it was a very good place to kill the Ukrainians. The Russians control the nearby high points and can fire even with mostly mortars, while Bakhmut is on low ground, so they can't even shoot back effectively. As long as the Ukrainians are willing to keep sending their troops there, why move in so quickly? Noticed that other areas of Russian attacks were mostly smaller villages except maybe Marinka. The Russians are focusing most of their firepower at this town because it provide a very good return on their expenditure of cannon ammo.
 
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