Good, I think topics is getting more interesting.
For the two options you listed, what if the China choose neither.
What if they chose not to invade, blocade, or airstrike?? What if they only use submarines to harass taiwanese ships only for purpose of interrupting the normal economic flow of taiwan.
I think US pick and choose their opponents;they thought they could win in yugoslavia, iraq and afgahn, so they decided to invade. But for iran, north korea, US doesn't to tangle /w that mess.
What make you think the US would launch airstike against mainland? What's execuse? because china declare war on taiwan, so US declare war on China?
For this hypotheitcal situation, china only adopting the Germany strategy of using U-boats to interrupt the taiwanese economic flow.
right now there's no chinese land invasion on taiwan or nothing like that.
so what's excuse for US to declare war on china???
SO you are saying US could send the seventh fleet to safe guard the taiwanese strait? so the seventh fleet sitting at the sea north taiwan strait, for how long? 1 yr, 2 yrs, 3 yrs, 10 yrs ?? are they are sit there as long the there's a war declare between china and tawain??
China could adopt a policy of declaring a war and decide not do anything for few yrs, or 10 yrs, nobody know when the timing of the invasion.
china say they going to invade taiwan but reserve the time of attack. There's absolutely no timetable for that.
It could let the pschological tension to wear down on taiwan.
So that's china tactics, what solution do you have ?
maybe china is letting the US forces waiting at the north taiwan strait doing nothing but waiting, waiting and waiting ,wasting their taxpayers' money and their time.
then US waited for one yr and decide to pull out of the taiwan strait. after sometimes, china then pronounce time to invade, and US bring back their carriers, once again, china say the invasion is cancelled for now ... on and off... cat and mice LOL.
China can't match up with US, but they could use something to make a fool out of US, and don't forget waste alot of their money and time.
I still have many many questions. it's very very funny if that scenario plays out