I don't understand the endstate Turkiye is trying to accomplish in Syria. Why are Turkish nationals like
@sequ appears to be enthusiastic with this latest salvo from the territorist groups in the country with no clear goals other than to regurgitate god talking points to the detriment of the majority of the people.
I mean, judging from the Libya example and other shitless interventions a positive outcome has yet to appear.
We'll see how it develops, but Turkey has already been bombing Kurdish positions for a while, they coudn't/didn't want to deploy ground force to do any real fighting, and SAA was between Idlib and SDF. Now that SAA got out of the way Turkey backed groups and Kurdish groups are directly engaged which serves Turkey's purposes.
What people discount is how much Russia was aware of everything in the weeks and month prior. Russia has been bombing Idlib spuratically over the years and clearly have intel gathering there, they knew about HTS force buildup and didn't work with SAA to reinforce Aleppo, SAA's withdraw was also decided and executed very quickly with minimal fighting, so you can't rule out there are some higher level intent.
One thing is for sure, between the three groups, SDF is the one with no external backing and SAA is the only one with air dominance, so they have to make a deal with one or the other or they're toast. The question then is how likely is it for Turkey to ally with the Kurds, vs how likely it is for Russia to have an under the table deal with Turkey to get rid of SDF.
