Shenyang FC-31 / J-31 Fighter Demonstrator

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gelgoog

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Both the FC-31 and J-20 are from the same technical foundations under AVIC. Why would the FC-31 have inferior subsystems to the J-20 when they would basically share the same suppliers for all their systems.
I am just pointing out that there is little evidence the avionics in either J-20 or FC-31 are more advanced than the ones in the Su-57.

Talking about the Su-35 is kind of misleading since there is a giant leap between the avionics in that and the Su-57.

For example the Su-35 still uses copper interconnects between computer systems and the Su-57 uses a fiber optics network.
The Su-35 uses a MIPS64 processor and the Su-57 uses an Elbrus2K VLIW processor. Supposedly a quad core Elbrus2K.
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The F-35 should be using single core PowerPC processors in its initial version. Supposedly Block 4 should change the computer module whenever that gets deployed.
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In terms of radar the Su-57 radar modules should be less advanced than the J-20 radar modules. Russia doesn't have as much of a telecoms industry and they don't have as much experience producing AESA radar in mass production.

I am not concerned about the FC-31 avionics lacking in any way. I don't however think that latest generation Russian avionics are behind like was implied on the other post. My main concern with regards to the FC-31 is if the 4th generation engines are available or not. I hope they are.
 
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latenlazy

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I am just pointing out that there is little evidence the avionics in either J-20 or FC-31 are more advanced than the ones in the Su-57.

Talking about the Su-35 is kind of misleading since there is a giant leap between the avionics in that and the Su-57.

For example the Su-35 still uses copper interconnects between computer systems and the Su-57 uses a fiber optics network.
The Su-35 uses a MIPS64 processor and the Su-57 uses an Elbrus2K VLIW processor. Supposedly a quad core Elbrus2K.
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The F-35 should be using single core PowerPC processors in its initial version. Supposedly Block 4 should change the computer module whenever that gets deployed.
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In terms of radar the Su-57 radar modules should be less advanced than the J-20 radar modules. Russia doesn't have as much of a telecoms industry and they don't have as much experience producing AESA radar in mass production.

I am not concerned about the FC-31 avionics lacking in any way. I don't however think that latest generation Russian avionics are behind like was implied on the other post. My main concern with regards to the FC-31 is if the 4th generation engines are available or not. I hope they are.
If we can extrapolate from the relative positions of China’s and Russia’s telecoms industries for the radar why can’t we do the same for other aspects of their electrical and radio based systems? China’s entire semiconductors stack is well ahead of Russia’s at this point.
 

Gloire_bb

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Both the FC-31 and J-20 are from the same technical foundations under AVIC. Why would the FC-31 have inferior subsystems to the J-20 when they would basically share the same suppliers for all their systems.
Well, it is an exportable stealth airframe, probably not for countries with bottomless pockets.
If it somehow ends up in zone 51 - it shall not turn into a disaster.
 

tphuang

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has active electronic scanning functionality in elevationFinally, with all those details in mind, Su-57 has true stealth geometry, and was designed with a signature(s) requirement from day 1. Comparing it with hotspot treatment (F/A-18E, Eurocanards), or especially adjusting already existing airframe like F-15SE is ... disingenuous.
These other aircraft are not 5th generation. If you compare Su-57 to F-35, it's miles behind in stealth. If you compare Su-57 to J-20, it's quite a bit behind in stealth. Fundamentally, the Russians don't behave like stealth is more important than aerodynamics. That's. problem.

if we just look at their solution to giving side coverage. Su-57 chose to use chin radar and J-20 follows the F-35 footstep of using some version of EODAS + networking with other assets. The former is simply going to expose one's location more than the latter.
On the other hand - we have little to nothing on which levels FC-31 designers could have aimed at. It doesn't exactly take much to draw a basic stealthy airframe - the problem is the details. And on details...
We don't even know what the final result will look like. Things like RAM usage, edge treatment et cetera - on an (originally) self-funded(1), export(2) platform, probably aimed at being affordable(3), created by a designer different from CAC(4)* - are a complete enigma. As mentioned in my exchange with Blitzo before - while we can criticize Russian EOTS balls - we don't even know if the actual FC-31 will use one, and how it will look. And so on.
*which is crucial, remembering the American A-12 debacle. But A-12 was at least designed for American use first and foremost.
FC-31 has the same faceted style EOTS as F-35 and J-20. We don't know the rest of it yet, but I would be very surprised if they deviate from J-20. There is no reason for me to believe FC-31 is going for lower level of stealth than J-20.
Per Piotr Butowski, Russian MIC has the exact same opinion of the Chinese defense industry, but in reverse; we actually had this discussion on sinodefense a couple of years ago.
I've heard of such opinions too. That unfortunately has hurt and will hurt Russian defense industry. Given the western sanctions on Russia, China is one of the few places they can get help for more modern avionics.
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We are 20 years past the first flight of KJ-2000 and the Russians still cannot finish development on an AWACS that only has active electronic scanning functionality in elevation.

since 2014, pretty much everything China has put out in radar shows are of AESA variety. The gap between the 2 countries in this area is growing, not shrinking.
Well, it is an exportable stealth airframe, probably not for countries with bottomless pockets.
If it somehow ends up in zone 51 - it shall not turn into a disaster.
That was China's old mindset. It needs to move to a new mindset of winning contract from countries with bottomless pockets.
The first FC-31 demonstrator flew back in 2012 - and the demonstrator, as different as it may be, needs to demonstrate something for the final aircraft. The difference with both T-50 and J-20 isn't big.
The difference between Su-57 and J-20 is pretty big. One is being mass produced and the other has 3 production aircraft. At current pace of production, I see FC-31/J-35 reaching 100 production units before Su-57.

Going from demonstrator to a naval prototype would necessitate updating the internal layouts based on PLAN/PLAAF requirement. For example, they'd have to change that somewhat just to get faceted IRST included on there.

All of this is based on my assumption that the J-35 project will get the same push forward as J-20 project did. It took 2 years from 2001 to 2101. Even if we assume J-35 does not have the same push, I don't think it's unreasonable to believe that production J-35 will come out in 2024 and join service in 2026/2027 range.

In the past, China has always favored secrecy over export when it comes to its own frontline aircraft. J-10C didn't get permission for export until 2017. Even now, you don't see J-10C flying everywhere like Su-35 does. They need to move to this new mindset if they want FC-31 to do better in the export market. Having a high end fighter jet available will also promote a country's other military hardware. This is not about money, but gaining political influence.
 

tphuang

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The FC-31 might have more advanced systems like HMD or single large piece display compared with initial versions of the Su-57. But Russia is also working on an advanced HMD for the Su-57. I would also not be surprised if the Su-57M came with a large display. Have you looked at the Su-75 cockpit? I expect the Su-57M to get a similar one.
Looking at a picture of cockpit doesn't tell you how advanced an aircraft's avionics is. Neither does having a HMD. China right now is just far ahead of Russia in radar technology. Aside from 3 Su-57s, what other Russian ships or aircraft uses AESA radar? And keep in mind that powers a large part of one's EW suite.
The Su-75 has already been funded and most systems it is supposed to use are already available. Of course it will enter production.
Based on what has happened so far in the Su-57 project, one would have to be very optimistic to think Su-75 will go into production in real numbers.
I consider the J-20 airframe design to be a generation behind the one of the Su-57. The airframe design of the F-22 and F-35 are even worse than either of those aircraft. Particularly the F-35. The Su-57 will only enter mass production after the Su-57M comes out. It remains to be seen which engines the production airplane for the PLA Navy based on the FC-31 will use. I have little doubt they can deliver on the other components. I hope they will have the 4th generation engines on it but we will see.
Unfortunately, it just shows neither you or the Russian industry believes the importance of stealth.

If Su-57 is actually a 5th generation aircraft worthy of investment, Indian would not have left the project.
They have tried to sell it in several military expos but not having an actual aircraft or 1:1 mockup did not help I guess. China has been hard pressed to export aircraft in the first place. Even proven models let alone vaporware like the FC-31. Once it is in service with the PLA Navy maybe this will change but China will need to export to its traditional customers like Pakistan first I think.
Why you have seen from China so far is very lackluster. Their main export aircraft so far is still JF-17. They have been very reluctant to promote military gears that their own frontline units use.
 

Gloire_bb

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These other aircraft are not 5th generation. If you compare Su-57 to F-35, it's miles behind in stealth. If you compare Su-57 to J-20, it's quite a bit behind in stealth. Fundamentally, the Russians don't behave like stealth is more important than aerodynamics. That's. problem.

if we just look at their solution to giving side coverage. Su-57 chose to use chin radar and J-20 follows the F-35 footstep of using some version of EODAS + networking with other assets. The former is simply going to expose one's location more than the latter.
Maybe? Aerodynamic:stealth pair is always a compromise (it was so even on F-117), and getting that this "miles" and "quite a bit" means is difficult. Especially since it may be very different, depending on wavelength and aspect.
For example, we have no reasons to be sure that J-20 is behind F-35 on stealth in general. We have no firm indicators, only guesswork on a level "canards bad for stealth"(c).
This alone kills the "miles" and "quite a bit" pair.

p.s. Su-57 also uses EODAS-like system, as it uses networking ... there is no "either this or that". It's a matter of requirement, and requirement is a matter of intended tactical use, views on priorities, and financial constraints. You may find more
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.
(another Polish author)
FC-31 has the same faceted style EOTS as F-35 and J-20. We don't know the rest of it yet, but I would be very surprised if they deviate from J-20. There is no reason for me to believe FC-31 is going for lower level of stealth than J-20.
Real prototypes (FC-31v2) don't have EOTS yet. Zhuhai model did...but it was criticized before as unrelated.

Reasons to assume that FC-31 went for a lower standard are quite straightforward, namely:
-it's a dedicated export plane. The purpose is to sell to customers, not to provide area 51 with a purpose-built OPFOR training asset;
-it's an export plane, it is likely outright prohibited from using critical J-20(and J-XY) solutions - for industrial and OPSEC reasons;
-it is an export plane, probably intended to be affordable and absorbable by less advanced air forces;
-it is an export plane, intended to be manufacturable by other nations (your link mentioned it).
Finally, it's SAC plane - different design teams with different experiences, approaches, and views.
All things combined - while it's indeed my guesswork, I think it is fair to assume that signature(s) requirement is different, and is probably lower.
That was China's old mindset. It needs to move to a new mindset of winning contract from countries with bottomless pockets.
The problem with countries with bottomless pockets is that most of them are themselves in a pocket: military purchases are very political.
Furthermore, China is still a very new entrant for high-end aerospace(we barely got our first J-10 delivery). Before forcing overpriced apples down the throat, it is reasonable to capture the market first.
Also, in its current form, FC-31 will likely be one of the most competitive planes on the market in any case. The problem currently is not with the plane(well, maybe only engines), it's with everything else.
The difference between Su-57 and J-20 is pretty big. One is being mass produced and the other has 3 production aircraft. At current pace of production, I see FC-31/J-35 reaching 100 production units before Su-57.
J-20 was at the same point ~3.5 years ago. This isn't exactly long.

Going from demonstrator to a naval prototype would necessitate updating the internal layouts based on PLAN/PLAAF requirement. For example, they'd have to change that somewhat just to get faceted IRST included on there.
I agree. Frankly speaking, J-XY is probably as good as a new(and different) aircraft, leveraging convenient previous aerodynamic legacy.
Probably - because let's see high-rez photos first.
But right now I am not yet sure FC-31v2 is just a demonstrator. Hopefully FC-31 promotion office will solve that.
 
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james smith esq

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Many for the above arguments, by all commentators, regarding this export aircraft, point to Iran as as ideal target-market.

And, yes, I know, here come the Iran Fear Birds!
 

gelgoog

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These other aircraft are not 5th generation. If you compare Su-57 to F-35, it's miles behind in stealth. If you compare Su-57 to J-20, it's quite a bit behind in stealth. Fundamentally, the Russians don't behave like stealth is more important than aerodynamics. That's. problem.
If you need to paint your fuel trucks white so the fuel doesn't heat up too much for your precious stealth aircraft perhaps you pushed the stealth requirement up too much. I have seen the 3D viewgraphs on RCS posted here on this forum on the Su-57 and I disagree with your point of view. The only major limitation it has is the engines are not stealthy enough in the rear aspect. Which is why it won't enter mass production until the Su-57M comes out with Izd. 30. Some of the points like serrated panels on bomb bays are IMHO kind of bullshit. How many seconds do you need to open up the bomb bays to release the weapon? Plus the Su-57 already has recessed positions on the wing roots for air to air missiles unlike the F-35 which needs to open its huge under wing bay doors to fire any missile.

The J-20 is a previous generation airframe design. It is little more advanced than the MiG 1.44 of late Soviet period in terms of aerodynamics. It also has no TVC. It is a compromise design and is decent in that it used the best features available to China when it was conceived. The F-35 is seriously cut down in places it should not have been and overengineered in places it should have not. The J-XY seems to be just a twinjet F-35 clone.

if we just look at their solution to giving side coverage. Su-57 chose to use chin radar and J-20 follows the F-35 footstep of using some version of EODAS + networking with other assets. The former is simply going to expose one's location more than the latter.
The Su-57 also does sensor fusion and has datalink. Heck even the Su-35 does this. The IR sensor is not a replacement for the radar. It cannot compute target bearing and speed as easily for example. If it can do it at all. You would need at least binocular sensors and it would still be innacurate.

Given the western sanctions on Russia, China is one of the few places they can get help for more modern avionics.
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We are 20 years past the first flight of KJ-2000 and the Russians still cannot finish development on an AWACS that only has active electronic scanning functionality in elevation.
You still believe this US website for Russian military news? According to them Russia cancelled the Su-57 program because India left the program. Yes, Russia needed a massive Indian capital expenditure that could not even buy a single F-35. Oops, they did not cancel it, but they only ordered a dozen aircraft for a decade because they have no money, oops, but they only ordered 70 when oil was at the lowest price in two decades. :rolleyes:

According to this US website KJ-2000 is stalled because they do not have the money/electronics/whatever to finish the design. Then, like a day after they post that idiotic news, out come the Russians and fly the prototype and turn the radar on. The Russians chose a mechanically scanned AESA radar for the KJ-2000 because a) it is cheaper b) it is lighter. The Russians are developing a shitton of systems and some are lower priority than others. So yes, programs get delayed and, no, they don't get cancelled if they are really necessary.

The Il-76MD-90A platform it is based on was itself delayed like heck and the first serial aircraft was only delivered in 2019.

The difference between Su-57 and J-20 is pretty big. One is being mass produced and the other has 3 production aircraft. At current pace of production, I see FC-31/J-35 reaching 100 production units before Su-57.
Well. Both aircraft are in different stages of their lifecycle. Plus, like I said before, the Russians have the Su-35 in enough numbers they are not as desperate for a 5th gen as the Chinese were. If there was a pressing need they would ramp up Su-57 production. But there is no such need.

Going from demonstrator to a naval prototype would necessitate updating the internal layouts based on PLAN/PLAAF requirement. For example, they'd have to change that somewhat just to get faceted IRST included on there.
The J-XY will need some sort of IRST since even recent versions of the Super Hornet have it.

Looking at a picture of cockpit doesn't tell you how advanced an aircraft's avionics is. Neither does having a HMD. China right now is just far ahead of Russia in radar technology. Aside from 3 Su-57s, what other Russian ships or aircraft uses AESA radar? And keep in mind that powers a large part of one's EW suite.
But I gave you compute hardware specs. Also a VR helmet that works well enough not to make a pilot vomit needs loads of compute power. So yes it is an indicator. China has loads more wafer fabbing capacity than Russia sure. But how much do you think you need to make a couple hundred aircraft? At a rate of a couple dozen a year? Probably a single wafer or maybe two are enough. The Chinese military also won't be using SMIC or fabbing the chips on foreign companies. Even if they use HLMC, which is state owned, they are limited to 28nm. If they use HLMC.

All the Admiral Gorshkov class frigates and some of the Steregushchiy class corvettes have AESA. Yes the production is way more limited than Chinese AESA production and I admitted as much.

Based on what has happened so far in the Su-57 project, one would have to be very optimistic to think Su-75 will go into production in real numbers.
Japan has similar population, a larger GDP than Russia, and it has like 220 4th gen aircraft. What are "real numbers"?

Germany supposedly has 141 Eurofighter Typhoons but most of them have seriously degraded electronics because they cheapened out. Most of them are not operational for lack of spare parts. Early Eurofighters use Motorola 68K processors for logic. This was way obsolete even when the Eurofighter came out. Even a Playstation had more compute power. They cannot even hold a candle to the Su-30SM in terms of avionics let alone the Su-35. The French have 95 Rafale and slightly over 100 Mirage 2000.

Russia has 160+ Su-30 aircraft, 100+ Su-35, 80+ Su-27SM.
Plus none of those countries have dedicated interceptors. Russia has 130+ MiG-31BM.

As for that evil bugbear the F-35. 4 in Denmark, 12 in Italy, 24 in the Netherlands, 21 in Norway. That makes like 61 F-35A aircraft. The UK has some 27 F-35B types but those have limitations compared to the F-35A.

The fact is Russia can easily outmatch any two of the largest air forces in Europe all by itself if it wants to.

Unfortunately, it just shows neither you or the Russian industry believes the importance of stealth.
The Russians invented modern stealth theory. While the US was approximating RCS computations with polygonal faceted models which required high powered computers to calculate based on a public paper by Soviet scientist Pyotr Ufimtsev, they missed his later paper which had formulas for curved surfaces. They were using loads of compute power approximating curved surfaces with polygons and the Russians could use the later formulas and use only trivial compute power to know the exact RCS value.
The Russians know there is a competition between radar and stealth and to make a design overly reliant on stealth means you could end with an utterly obsolete aircraft with advancements in radar. So yes today they design with stealth in mind but only if it does not compromise performance.

If Su-57 is actually a 5th generation aircraft worthy of investment, Indian would not have left the project.
Yes. The Indians. The Indians must know. :oops:

Why you have seen from China so far is very lackluster. Their main export aircraft so far is still JF-17. They have been very reluctant to promote military gears that their own frontline units use.
Well this is changing. Plus it is not like they did not offer the J-10 but Pakistan did not want the model available back then.

Even once the J-XY comes out it seems they will make a separate land based version for export. Someone will have to buy that. So I think the PLANAF coastal units should get it if they want to have any exports of note.
 
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Deino

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Again ... I don't know what happens lately, but I see a trend in continuous and increasing off-topic posting!

Come on, the Su-75 is irrelevant, it is a concept yet and at least off topic here in this tread!
 
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