Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) and Global South strategic cooperation

resistance

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Has China committed to BRI projects in Iran? Or has China dropped Iran immediately if asked to by the US pre Trump? For Iran, China has always been a lot of promises with little delivered. When Chinese companies were awarded contracts, they didn't develop the fields and appeared to delay. Of course China has also bought small amounts of Iranian oil during trump's maximum pressure campaign. And Iran has increasingly turned to Chinese cars and other industrial products. But if China wants good relations with Iran, it has to actually deliver the promised investments rather than just talk. And China did support UN sanctions on Iran at America's request. Iran wants more BRI, but will China give more?

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Pakistan isn't failing because of competition from chabahar, which is not a significant port today. Pakistan has a failed political system and Pashtun terrorists. It's very corrupt and partially controlled by the CIA. Pakistan could have been like Bangladesh, they only have themselves to blame for failing in that

Most of the Arab world doesn't care about Iran. Some Arab countries like Algeria, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, the Houthi government in Yemen and Qatar have pretty good relations with Iran. Iran has a lot more sympathy in Arab populations for its support for the Palestinian struggle for freedom. Iran has friendly ties with Turkmenistan and Pakistan and some influence in Afghanistan.

Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran are all struggling for influence in the region. Supporting Saudi Arabia and their partners Egypt and the UAE won't help in getting more market access in the wider Arab world and risks supporting Saudi Arabia's export of Wahhabi extremism. But Saudi Arabia and Iran have no territorial disputes. They don't need to be enemies if the US isn't in the region anymore. China should promote trade and peace between them rather than following the US strategy of sowing division.
I think china investment in Iran can help china achieve domestic supply chain in all industry.
 

LawLeadsToPeace

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I am sure if you had asked Iran, they would present their own list of things that they are bothered by the Arabs, however we never saw a Chinese statement being so friendly to Iran and anti-Arab in those occasions. Now however, we see a pro-Arab and a bit anti-Iran statement. Why do you think this happened?

Is it because China is going left and right and trying to antagonise people? No.. Its because the Gulf States know that they have a strong negotiating hand. They got money, they got oil, they got geography, and most important of all, there is an once in a decades chance to get them out of America's influence.

China has calculated the positives and the negatives together and has come to the logical conclusion that this opportunity must not be wasted, which is why you see these anti-Iran points added. Its all about what China can gain, what can it lose. The gains now far outweigh any potential small loss
I agree with basically most of your points, except the bolded, italicized and underlined words and the idea of prioritization. which are the crux of this debate. Those statements aren't anti-Iran or prioritizing one over the other; both of which implies China is taking a side. They are policies that China will calculate into their foreign policy into dealing with the greater picture of the Middle East; this has never been done in the past. China essentially became the middleman of their conflicts and they will literally force both sides to compromise, which the Arab world is fine with and Iran is not.
 

Minm

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I agree with basically most of your points, except the bolded, italicized and underlined words and the idea of prioritization. which are the crux of this debate. Those statements aren't anti-Iran or prioritizing one over the other; both of which implies China is taking a side. They are policies that China will calculate into their foreign policy into dealing with the greater picture of the Middle East; this has never been done in the past. China essentially became the middleman of their conflicts and they will literally force both sides to compromise, which the Arab world is fine with and Iran is not.
Saudi Arabia is not a country willing to compromise much. Have you forgotten their blockade of Qatar or the invasion of Yemen?

China should be careful when talking about island disputes in other regions. Do you really want to hear more countries giving their opinion on the south china sea disputes?

They clearly made some anti Iran statements by getting involved in the island question, but I doubt China actually means it. These are just some empty words to keep the Arab side happy. It would be great if China actually tried to be a middleman and force all sides to make compromises. But it looks more like they are falling into the same trap that the US fell into and getting dragged into other people's ideological struggles.
 

tphuang

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Saudi Arabia is not a country willing to compromise much. Have you forgotten their blockade of Qatar or the invasion of Yemen?
Wonderful, that's exactly the kind of strongman gov't that would work with China.
China should be careful when talking about island disputes in other regions. Do you really want to hear more countries giving their opinion on the south china sea disputes?
They are going to do it if they want.
They clearly made some anti Iran statements by getting involved in the island question, but I doubt China actually means it. These are just some empty words to keep the Arab side happy. It would be great if China actually tried to be a middleman and force all sides to make compromises. But it looks more like they are falling into the same trap that the US fell into and getting dragged into other people's ideological struggles.
China doesn't want to get involved in the situation, but it needs to say what it has to say to get the Arabs on its side. China doesn't need to be a middleman. It needs to develop good relationship with all of Sunni Arab world. Why is this so hard to understand. Iran is one country and Sunni Arab world is many countries. Iran is a pariah. China can keep trading with Iran, but only if the term is in China's favor.

Iran not only is isolated region, but they are surrounded by three side enemies (turkey, Taliban and gcc) right now. But too bad china needs Iran as stretegic buffer zone so xinjiang can be free from terrorists (especially from turkey)
China trying to end hostilities between Iran and gcc is a thing that must do.
China should make Iran and gcc to contain turkey.
what are you talking about? China is developing good relationship with Turkey. The greatest threat in Xinjiang actually comes from Afghanistan right now. Hence, China needs to stabilize Afghanistan.
Pakistan can't be trusted now. After coup against Imran khan
Every Pakistan gov't will be pro-China. The entire Pakistani army depends on China.

Has China committed to BRI projects in Iran? Or has China dropped Iran immediately if asked to by the US pre Trump? For Iran, China has always been a lot of promises with little delivered. When Chinese companies were awarded contracts, they didn't develop the fields and appeared to delay. Of course China has also bought small amounts of Iranian oil during trump's maximum pressure campaign. And Iran has increasingly turned to Chinese cars and other industrial products. But if China wants good relations with Iran, it has to actually deliver the promised investments rather than just talk. And China did support UN sanctions on Iran at America's request. Iran wants more BRI, but will China give more?
why does this need to be a fair relationship? China is a powerhouse and Iran is a pariah. Nobody wants to do business with Iran. If Iran wants love from China, it needs to do things China's way.

You want to look at things from Iran's perspective. I frankly don't care about their feelings or anything like that. If they want China to help them, they need to bring things to the table rather than just abandoning China every time the West looks at them.
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Pakistan isn't failing because of competition from chabahar, which is not a significant port today. Pakistan has a failed political system and Pashtun terrorists. It's very corrupt and partially controlled by the CIA. Pakistan could have been like Bangladesh, they only have themselves to blame for failing in that
lol, the Pakistan military is entirely aligned with China. If you don't know what you are talking about, don't trash China's most loyal partner. I don't care if CPEC is progressing slowly due to domestic Pakistani incompetence. I do care that the presence of Chabahar will make it tougher to Gwadar. So, I want to make sure China's investment in Gwadar can work over time and that will partly involve undercutting Chabahar.
Most of the Arab world doesn't care about Iran. Some Arab countries like Algeria, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, the Houthi government in Yemen and Qatar have pretty good relations with Iran. Iran has a lot more sympathy in Arab populations for its support for the Palestinian struggle for freedom. Iran has friendly ties with Turkmenistan and Pakistan and some influence in Afghanistan.

Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran are all struggling for influence in the region. Supporting Saudi Arabia and their partners Egypt and the UAE won't help in getting more market access in the wider Arab world and risks supporting Saudi Arabia's export of Wahhabi extremism. But Saudi Arabia and Iran have no territorial disputes. They don't need to be enemies if the US isn't in the region anymore. China should promote trade and peace between them rather than following the US strategy of sowing division.
That's fine. China has good relations with Iran also. But it will side with Sunni Arab countries for all the reasons we have already talked about. It doesn't need to be a fair partner to Iran.
 

Arnies

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But too bad china needs Iran as stretegic buffer zone so xinjiang can be free from terrorists (especially from turkey)

This is redundant What buffer zone and what Xinjiang? Nobody has ever wanted Xinjiang or to take lands from China. Okay lets just assume someone takes Xinjiang? then who is gonna populate it some Snow leopards? because there is not enough Uighurs to populate that vast lands and some of them might even die in the liberation so now you kicked back china who is gonna populate it? Snow leopards?. The Uighurs are a very microscopically tiny minority in China which is why no muslim truly has interests in China.. 8m million want to carve a land out of 1.4 billion it is not logisitcally feasible and never was and as an example it is like the 200.000 something jews in Turkey carving out a massive land out of TURKEY.. It has never been in the calculus of any muslim state or entity.

Even the Islamic law doesn't permit war in that situation in Islam if your a insignificiant minority you can't compete for land because it is forbidden but given permission to leave that area and make something called Hijra meaning migrate if you want change if not you stay in that country and live side by side by the majority but it is prohibited to rebel against the authority on such specific areas the same in Europe and In ratio wise it would be like China trying to take parts of Indonesia for it's like few million chinese descandants who are barely 4m against the nearly 300m indonesians or muslims trying to carve out a territory the size of Texas out of the US. It has never been a thing. All this East Turkestan stuff is only coming from few disaporas in the west who are supported by the west.

There are 51 muslim majority countries and how many more countries do people assume we want? We are already overstreached and alot of empty spaces in these 51 countries already and can't be filled out? why more? the Uighurs who don't like the Chinese way of life they move away to other countries and these who like China move towards the mainland to compete for the market.

But someone wanting to take that region is nonesensical and if someone wanted you would have never stopped hearing about it and in your face type of claims and you would have known.. Forget Kashmir there is claim on all of India and the Indians know it because they have been hearing it nonstop where they just got tired of it. Not one single state lay claim on any China provinces outside of Japan
 
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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
That article explains a lot, especially why China might want to bin Iran in favour of GCC. Also interesting that USA is effectively paying for the security of China's oil supply. I wonder what the US would say if China told them "OK, we'll take over now, you can pack up and go home"?
Iran last cards were JCPOA which would allow Chinese companies to capture the Iranian market, and Iran being anti-west.

So lets see where we are now, JCPOA is dead, and the Gulf States are now moving out of the American orbit themselves. If before, China only had Iran to balance US influence in Middle East, now it is starting to have the Gulf States as well.

Supply and Demand. Before we had 1 supplier of anti-western camp, now we are getting more and more countries trying to balance out US influence.
 

SDtom

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Wonderful, that's exactly the kind of strongman gov't that would work with China.
China can and will work with all type of governments that are friendly and are willing to work constructively for better relationships.

Every Pakistan gov't will be pro-China. The entire Pakistani army depends on China.
Because China is also pro-Pakistan, a trusted friend of Pakistan and have a fair relationship with each other.
why does this need to be a fair relationship? China is a powerhouse and Iran is a pariah. Nobody wants to do business with Iran. If Iran wants love from China, it needs to do things China's way.
Because fair relationship is better, lasts longer, and creates better respects for each other. Iran is pariah in a sense that China is because of biased media attacks and propaganda against it but Iran is less able to defend itself economically, politically and militarily. China will works the best ways it can with Iran and it will not backstab/disadvantages Iran for any possible gain from Saudi Arabia.
 
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