Russia Economy Thread

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
Russia's economy is supposed to be collapsing because of gasoline shortages. Some even claim this was due to the Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. There is just one problem with that theory. Russia was already experiencing gasoline shortages before the strikes started. And this news below implies a much bigger factor - the lack of imported catalysts to refine fuel which used to be imported from the West. While Russia had already established its own catalyst production, which caught Western analysts by surprise since they were thinking the catalyst sales ban would stop Russian fuel production altogether, Russia now seems to be improving the catalysts they make to be more productive.

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Rosneft began supplying new generation catalysts​

16 July 2024​


The Company's specialists have developed a new generation of catalysts for hydrotreating gasoline fractions. The first batch of catalysts was developed at the RN-Kat enterprise and supplied to the Bashneft-UNPZ oil refinery (Bashneft enterprises, part of Rosneft).
Compared to the previous generation, the operating time of the new catalyst increased by 1.5 times. Thanks to the introduction of this innovation, the operating costs of the Bashneft refinery will be reduced by 18%.

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The development was tested at the Rosneft Scientific Institute in Novokuybyshevsk and showed high activity in removing sulfur and nitrogen compounds.

Rosneft's innovative development program is aimed at replacing imported technologies in the production of high-quality petroleum products. One of the main objectives of the program is the transition of the Company’s oil refineries to the use of highly efficient catalysts of its own production, which avoids the risks of dependence on supplies of foreign products.

The production of a new generation of catalysts for the hydrotreating of gasoline fractions confirms the high potential for import independence of the Rosneft oil refining cluster.


Reference:
LLC "RN-Kat" is a catalyst production plant in the city of Sterlitamak. RN-Kat not only meets the needs of Rosneft enterprises for catalysts for hydrotreating and hydrocracking processes, but also supplies them to the market. The plant's products replace imported analogues, which increases the technological stability, independence and economic efficiency of the Russian oil refining industry as a whole.

For several years, Rosneft has been gradually replacing imported catalysts with catalysts of its own production at gasoline reforming plants. Reforming catalysts are successfully used by various Russian oil companies. The share of gasoline reforming catalysts produced in Angarsk used in Rosneft refineries exceeds 70%, and in Russian refineries it is about 30%.
 
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HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
Russia's economy is supposed to be collapsing because of gasoline shortages. Some even claim this was due to the Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian refineries. There is just one problem with that theory. Russia was already experiencing gasoline shortages before the strikes started. And this news below implies a much bigger factor - the lack of imported catalysts to refine fuel which used to be imported from the West. While Russia had already established its own catalyst production, which caught Western analysts by surprise since they were thinking the catalyst sales ban would stop Russian fuel production altogether, Russia now seems to be improving the catalysts they make to be more productive.

Why not just buy them from China?
 

gelgoog

Brigadier
Registered Member
Why not just buy them from China?
They are buying refined oil from Belarus. They have a pretty beefy refining industry.
As for the catalysts I would not be surprised if purchases from China were happening to some degree. But given the issues with payments and secondary sanctions it is not like the Russians can rely on that 100%.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
in Grozny economic forum. it was mentioned by Russian deputy FM that annual investments in the region are more than $11b now. it is a big figure when you consider population size and people are in state related jobs. The interesting part is the city name Putin. that will look like even more like Gulf Emirates. now they have added Two White Mosques at both ends. The larger elevated outside and Smaller in the center. (They have that White Mosque in Abu Dhabi). this young person is Mayor of the city. they are removing older generation faster than any where else. This whole thing is Arabian Gulf Intellectual property that they are giving free to the world but not easy to implement.


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Novak: Investments in the Russian Caucasus amounted to more than $11 billion annually​


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gelgoog

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17 July 2024

Rosenergoatom returned to operation the power unit of the Rostov NPP that was shut down due to a failure​


After identifying and promptly eliminating the causes of the activation of the electrical protection, power unit No. 1 of the Rostov NPP is turned on and provides the electricity necessary to restore power supply in the region.

Moscow, July 17 - Neftegaz.RU news agency. Power unit No. 1 of the Rostov NPP , which was switched off on July 16, 2024 due to an equipment failure, has been reconnected to the network. Rosenergoatom announced this on July 17, 2024 in its Telegram channel.

Return of the power unit​

According to Rosenergoatom:
  • Power unit No. 1 of the Rostov NPP was switched off at 15:21 on July 16 due to a false alarm.
  • when turned off, the system worked normally in accordance with the design algorithms,
  • To identify the causes and connect it to the network as quickly as possible, the Rostov NPP mobilized all efforts, additional personnel were withdrawn in case of unscheduled repairs,
  • the equipment is checked, the unit is connected to the network as soon as possible,
  • On July 16 at 22:28 Moscow time, after identifying and promptly eliminating the causes of activation of electrical protection, power unit No. 1 of the Rostov NPP started providing power to the grid and provided the electricity necessary to restore power supply in the region,
  • by 5:45 on July 17, the unit carries a full load of 1000 MW,
  • there are no violations of the limits and conditions of safe operation of the Rostov NPP,
  • power units No. 1, 2 and 4 are operating normally,
  • as of 05:45 Moscow time, the power of the units is 2800 MW,
  • Power unit No. 3 has been undergoing scheduled maintenance since June 22.
Let us recall that the Rostov NPP is located near the city of Volgodonsk, Rostov region.
The station provides about 75% of electricity production in the Rostov region and supplies electricity to the United Energy System of the South of Russia (UPS South).
The nuclear power plant operates 4 power units with VVER-1000 reactors.
As part of the program to increase electricity production at existing nuclear power units, Rosenergoatom is transferring the power units of the Rostov NPP to commercial operation at a reactor plant power of 104% of the nominal one.
Thus, the installed capacity of power unit No. 1 is 1041 MW, power unit No. 4 is 1030 MW.
The total installed capacity of the Rostov NPP is 4071 MW.

Large-scale failure in the IPS South​

On July 16, 2024, amid an abnormal heat wave in the south of Russia, large-scale disruptions in the operation of the energy system occurred.
Due to a failure at the Rostov NPP, restrictions on energy consumption were introduced in the IPS of the South.
They affected the Rostov region, Krasnodar region and Crimea.
Further, power outages spread to the Stavropol Territory and the neighboring Karachay-Cherkess and Kabardino-Balkarian republics, and partially to the Republic of Dagestan.

The Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation reported that in conditions of increased loads on the energy system, in order to maintain the stability of the energy system, temporary schedules for limiting consumption by 1.5 GW were introduced in the IPS of the South.
Later, as a result of prompt actions to optimize the grid operating mode, the volume of temporary restrictions in the IPS of the South was reduced by 500 MW.
On the night of July 17, authorities in most regions reported that power supply had been restored.
At 09:15 Moscow time, the Russian Ministry of Energy reported that power supply to consumers in the south of Russia had been restored.
The Ministry assured that it continues to promptly monitor the situation with energy supply in regions where abnormally high temperatures are observed.
This is already the second serious failure in the Southern IPS due to abnormal heat.
On July 8, 2024, a number of emergency shutdowns of power units occurred in the Rostov region, incl. power unit No. 7 of the Novocherkasskaya GRES, unit No. 1 of the Rostov CHPP-2 and unit No. 2 of the Volgodonskaya CHPP-2.
This overlapped with scheduled preventive maintenance at power unit No. 3 of the Rostov NPP and 3 power units of the Novocherkassk State District Power Plant.
Taken together, this led to the removal of about 1 GW of capacity from the power system of the Rostov region and problems in neighboring regions.
On July 9, in the Krasnodar Territory and the Republic of Adygea, Rostov and Astrakhan regions, massive power supply disruptions affected more than 600 thousand consumers, incl. more than 324 thousand - in the Rostov region.
On the morning of July 9, power unit No. 7 of the Novocherkasskaya GRES was connected to the network, and as of July 10, the shutdown units of the Rostov CHPP-2 and Volgodonskaya CHPP-2 returned to operation.
 
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pmc

Major
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This is Eastern Part of Caspian Sea that will upgrade the circular route and i think ultimately it should benefit Afghanistan which is Russia goal. Back in Soviet times there was project to transfer Siberian snow melt to Central Asia for large scale agriculture. if all that infrastructure integration happened. they may revisit the project using pipelines and pumping station powered by solar. this will lessen cost of Agriculture.
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Signing of the roadmap for the development of the North-South corridor between Iran, Russia, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan​

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Ambassador to Afghanistan: Moscow-Kabul trade turnover has increased several times​

Russian Ambassador Zhirnov announced the start of cooperation with Afghanistan on oil products​


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Kazan plant reequipment is going faster than plan. They are expecting upto 28 Tu-214 per year. which will be consistent with overall 120 PS-90 engines per year.

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The aircraft plant in Kazan is undergoing technical re-equipment of its workshops to significantly increase the production of Tu-214 aircraft


There was SuperJet crash they are blaming human error in maintenance. it can happen when labor moves around.
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Human factor could be the cause of the Superjet crash near Kolomna

This about creating Solar Panels for Space but research is equally applicable on Earth. Russia has very deep research in Solar. First Solar plant designed in USSR in 1980. and since they have much single family homes. its highly likely Solar production and application is way higher than estimated as population is spread out.
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Consortium of universities wins competition of Russian Ministry of Education and Science​

The main task of the consortium participants is to create solar batteries with high efficiency and energy productivity under the leadership of RAS Vice President Sergey Aldoshin. The batteries will operate in space conditions, so they must be lightweight, flexible, resistant to radiation, low temperatures and have a long service life - at least 20 years in near-Earth orbits. Colleagues in Moscow will work on creating new materials and perovskite modules on a plastic base, as well as on creating batteries. Our task is to study the radiation resistance of both batteries and accumulators in relation to different types of radiation. After it becomes clear that we have managed to create solar panels with the necessary properties, they will be tested in real conditions - on a small spacecraft in low near-Earth orbit," says the head of the UrFU research group, head of the photovoltaic materials laboratory Ivan Zhidkov.

In addition to space, new solar batteries can also be useful on Earth: for areas with extreme cold (the Arctic and the Russian North in general) and hot climates, where, for example, modern batteries do not work, physicists add.

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The company has developed a new technology for producing solar modules based on the HJT heterojunction. The new
generation modules combine the advantages of thin-film and crystalline technologies. The cell efficiency is 25%.
The module power is up to 445 W.

Payback period of Solar Plant in Moscow region is 6 to 7 years. when you consider cheap electric. There is no Europe can compete in renewables.
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Solar power plants for individuals. Features of solar generation in Russia​

Many people are concerned about the payback period of a solar power system for commercial facilities. In the current market conditions, with electricity tariffs above 7 rubles per kWh, even a solar power plant located in the Moscow region will pay for itself in 6–7 years, and then it will generate free kilowatt-hours for the enterprise
 

gelgoog

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Power of Siberia 2 is still being negotiated.
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Western analysts think China has the upper hand in the negotiations. The more they delay the better the terms will be. But if Trump gets into the White House this year it is quite likely the trade war will further escalate. It is also possible the US will spark a conflict with China via proxy like they did with Russia in Ukraine. The longer the US waits the harder it will be to contain China militarily or economically. China might find itself negotiating worse terms than if they had signed the deal earlier. Particularly now that Russia is claimed to be on the verge of signing a gargantuan 100 bcm/y natgas deal with Iran.

Gazprom is basically in the shitter financially because of loss of revenue from European gas transit. I am sure the Russian government is concerned about it but this is not fatal in terms of overall government finances.

Russia still wants to fully gasify the Far East region and for this the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline needs to be built. Currently those Russian regions are powered and heated with coal which causes major pollution issues. Some in Russia wanted to start building the pipeline even before the deal with China was struck.

Some analysts also compare the cost of Power of Siberia claiming it is really expensive and then extrapolate computing by pipe length to determine overall Power of Siberia 2 cost. Which is bullshit. Since the original Power of Siberia also required huge investments into exploring new gas fields. In the case of Power of Siberia 2 the gas fields have already been developed. All they need is the pipe. Even some of the equipment like gas turbines for moving the gas through the pipe might not need to be bought. Gazprom has been packing up the gas turbines in the now unused pipes which used to go to Europe and repurposing them to put in other pipelines later for example.
 
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