Russia Economy Thread

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Romania and Bulgaria lost more than Ukraine?
I wont rely on Ukraine numbers.
The video concentrate on first 5 years 1989 to 1994. and than at 10 minute 45 second give a forecast to 2050.
latvia forecast is 430,000 drop by 2050 which is 33 years away from 2017. from 1.95m to 1.52m. but 100,000 already droped in 5 years if you exclude Ukraine refugees. Covid and vaccine are one off events but population is not getting younger so later years drop off will be much steeper this assume stable economics that prevent people from fleeing.
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On 1 January 2023 the provisional number of residents in Latvia accounted for 1 million 891 thousand, which is 15.2 thousand people more than on 1 January 2022, as Ukraine refugees are included in the population of the country granting asylum. This is a common practice in all EU countries accepting refugees from Ukraine.

In January 2023, a total of 39.8 thousand Ukrainian citizens who left their country due to the war had registered their residence in Latvia. The estimate for the number of Ukrainian refugees in Latvia will be published on the 1st of June once all administrative data has been received.
 

xypher

Senior Member
Registered Member
Well looks like Russian Western border will be open plains without high population countries. Somehow Russia by comparison depopulation is a big problem by think tankers but Eastern Europe depopulation isn't something you hear people talk about.

I can't even remember Peter Zeihan or other Think tankers mention Eastern European demographic in the past and they usually love the China demographic graphs or predictions...
White people in general harp a lot about Asian demographics whether to talk about "Asian xenophobia" or to promote sexpats when the most glaring examples of on-going depopulation are all in white Eastern Europe.
 

BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
White people in general harp a lot about Asian demographics whether to talk about "Asian xenophobia" or to promote sexpats when the most glaring examples of on-going depopulation are all in white Eastern Europe.
From what i gathered even the US and western Europe have peaked in population.
With the Garden(western Europe) and the US going down economically and the global south moving into ascending direction for how long will the Garden and the US be a preferred emigration destination.

They really like to talk about demographics of their enemies, but China in worst case will go from 1.4 billion to 1.0 billion and i wouldn't be surprised if it will be more like a stable 1.2 billion China has still options to play like opening Asia immigration like Japan is trying.

Russia just got a nice population boost with the Donbass and Ukrainian refugee the longer this war continues the more settled those refugees will become.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
its not just number but distribution of healthy population in various fields that make a nation great.
for example Japan outsource factories to around the world now facing trade deficits. South Korea trade deficits already started. Germany facing same problem it does not have teachers for schools and the new population they imported are not exactly type of people that will want to work in Military or factories. out of control construction costs in Europe now that will make living costs even higher. some one has to pay for overpriced municipal services. whats the point of greater population towards cities when no one can do life long quality work in factories, produce military or even construction and farming.
According to Medvedev increase size from 1m to 1.5m is starting point not upper limit. i am sure he has the data of demographics he brought the paper.
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gelgoog

Lieutenant General
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China increased imports of Russian platinum by almost 300 times​

March 24, 2023

The country also increased its purchases of palladium and rhodium many times over.

March 24, 2023, NEDRADV. According to the results of January-February, China increased the volume of purchases of Russian platinum by 279 times compared to the same period in 2022. In monetary terms, imports increased in the reporting months from $0.2 million to $53 million, according to RBC with reference to the Chinese customs.

At the same time, the supply of Russian palladium to the Chinese market increased by 8.5 times, to 2.72 tons, and in monetary terms-by 5.6 times, to $152 million. Shipments of rhodium and platinum group metals increased sevenfold to 0.19 tons, and in monetary terms-sixfold (from $13 million to $76 million).

Recall that in July 2022, the president of Norilsk Nickel, Vladimir Potanin, stated that due to sanctions, the company was forced to reorient part of its supplies to the Asian market, as well as other friendly countries.

According to the results of 2022, the supply of Russian platinum to China decreased by 33%, to 8.99 tons. Russian exports of palladium and rhodium to China increased by 43% and 67%, respectively, to 9.03 tons and 0.52 tons.

At the same time, we remind you that the Federal Customs Service of Russia has not published data on exports and imports since March 2022. This is due to the sanctions imposed on Russia after the start of the conflict in Ukraine.
 

pmc

Major
Registered Member
Civil Aviation related.
Hybrid propulsion engine will not apply long haul aircraft.
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Today, the direction of low-noise and environmentally friendly hybrid propulsion systems has become one of the defining technologies for the future of aviation. Their research, primarily for promising serial aircraft of small and regional aviation, is carried out by all aviation concerns of the world and specialized research centers. Such aircraft, according to forecasts, should appear in the world somewhere around 2030. The advantage of hybrid power plants is the ability, on the one hand, to benefit from energy-efficient, environmentally friendly electrical technologies, on the other hand, to maintain acceptable weight efficiency by optimizing the design and operation of gas turbine or piston aircraft engines.

Russia is the leader in this area. In 2021, at the Siberian Research Institute of Aviation (SibNIA) named after. S. A. Chaplygin, together with CIAM, the Yak-40LL laboratory aircraft was created. This is the world's first flying laboratory for testing a hybrid power plant, including a 500 kW electric aircraft engine. Instead of a central engine, this Yak has a TV2-117 gas turbine engine. An electric generator is installed on its shaft. The generator is a power source for a unique electric aircraft engine that has no analogues in the world in terms of power. Its peculiarity lies in the use of second-generation high-temperature superconductors as stator windings. The efficiency of the electric motor is 98%.

High-temperature superconductors can significantly reduce the weight of electrical machines. There is every reason to believe that this technology will allow in the future to create electric motors and generators with a capacity of 10-20 MW for hybrid power plants of short- and medium-haul aircraft. The use of electric propulsion in aviation will significantly reduce noise and fuel consumption. Over the next 15-20 years, as technologies improve, it is predicted that aircraft operating costs will decrease by up to 75%.

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Russia is among the top four mixed leaders, along with the United States, Japan and Western Europe.​

MOSCOW, March 28 – RIA Novosti. Rosatom CEO Alexei Likhachev told reporters on Tuesday that Russia is among the top four composite leaders, along with the United States, Japan and Western Europe, and fully meets the needs of its industry.
“Russia is among the top four composite leaders, along with the United States, Japan and Western Europe. It fully meets its needs, its growing economy and its industrial landscape,” said Likhachev. said.
He recalled that in the 1970s the USSR was one of three “composite” countries, but then they had a niche application.
“Our strategy includes the task of entering 5 more competencies at the same level. To become one of the best manufacturers on a global, planetary level. Composites are undoubtedly at the top of the list of these competencies. This is the direction we are planning. To be among the top global manufacturers by 2029-2030. “
 

tonyget

Senior Member
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MIPT has made Chinese compulsory. Experts did not approve the initiative

The university explains that in the next seven years, up to half of all scientific articles will be published in Chinese, so students must be proficient in technical translation. However, physicists and Chinese teachers believe that this initiative will not benefit MIPT

kitay.jpg

Photo: Evgeny Yepanchintsev/TASS

Students of the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology complained that they were forced to learn Chinese. If earlier German, French, English and Spanish were taught at MIPT, then in the new academic year it is not supposed to study other languages, except for English and Chinese.

As follows from
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to the appeal of the MIPT Student Council to the department of foreign languages of the university, the Chinese language has become mandatory. At the same time, additional courses to improve English are canceled at MIPT.


However, most students would like to continue learning English, as it is the language of the international scientific community, Ilya Zakharov, chairman of the MIPT Student Council, points out:

Ilya Zakharov
Chairman of the MIPT Student Council

“Since 2023, when studying in educational programs at MIPT, Chinese has been studied as the main language. English is taught to the Upper Intermediate level, after which the students are simply confronted with the fact that they are now learning Chinese. There were always several languages: there were French, German, but this September we discussed it together with the administration, and it was decided that the number of languages should be reduced to three - to Chinese, German, Spanish. [This was done] mainly for budgetary reasons: it is not very cost-effective to maintain many languages that are not spoken by very many people. And now they are deciding, in principle, to reduce most of the things in English, in Spanish, that is, in the next year or two we will have only English and Chinese.

Starting from the next academic year, the first two years of undergraduate studies will be taught according to the scheme: first English, then Chinese. In the third year, both languages will be studied together - one pair per week each. In the fourth year - again one language, the choice of the student. In the magistracy, you can choose either English or Chinese (if you have good English).
In fundamental science, the Chinese language is not particularly needed, explains astrophysicist, professor of the Russian Academy of Sciences Sergey Popov. All more or less important studies are translated into English, which the Chinese experts, like everyone else, are quite fluent in.


Sergey Popov
astrophysicist, professor of the Russian Academy of Sciences

“For fundamental science, in my opinion, one language is still relevant, and this is English. This is if we are talking about work. And it will be so for the foreseeable future. I read almost 100% [of scientific materials] in English. I write 90% in English, but it could be 100%. Perhaps the Chinese language is not very relevant. If I chose myself, I would think first of all about professional communication. But I would rather choose German. I can imagine a situation where some technical things - not fundamental science, but engineering - can only exist in Chinese. But the lack of choice for such a top university is rather an indicator of the weakness of the university.”

At the request of Business FM, MIPT sent a written comment, which states that in order for graduates to rely on the latest scientific publications in their work, to be able to read technical documentation, the formats and volumes of introducing Chinese as a second compulsory language into the educational program are now being discussed. It is in Chinese that up to 27% of all scientific articles in the fields specialized for MIPT are currently written, and according to the forecast of researchers, up to half of all technical and engineering documentation will be published in the language of the eastern neighbor by 2030, the university noted.

To learn how to read technical documentation in Chinese, you will first have to master literary Chinese at least at an intermediate level, and then move on to learning technical Chinese. To do this, within the framework of a five-six-year higher education, language pairs should be daily. One or two pairs of Chinese a week for two or three years of study is just a waste of time for students, Taras Ivchenko, Associate Professor of the Department of Oriental Languages at the Institute of Linguistics of the Russian State Humanitarian University, is outraged:


Taras Ivchenko
Associate Professor, Department of Oriental Languages, Institute of Linguistics, Russian State University for the Humanities

“I don’t think that people who specialize in physics will include four or five pairs of Chinese in the educational process. If this is not done, the extent to which people will learn this language will be limited. I don't think that they have any prospect at all to read scientific articles in this language. The working language, the common language for all scientists involved in this field, is English. It is desirable that the people themselves who are doing this experiment do it for the sake of obtaining content, and not in order to be considered that we have introduced the Chinese language.

As the expert notes, the peculiarity of technical texts in any language, not excluding Chinese, is that they lend themselves well to machine translations.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
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MIPT has made Chinese compulsory. Experts did not approve the initiative

The university explains that in the next seven years, up to half of all scientific articles will be published in Chinese, so students must be proficient in technical translation. However, physicists and Chinese teachers believe that this initiative will not benefit MIPT

kitay.jpg

Photo: Evgeny Yepanchintsev/TASS

Students of the Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology complained that they were forced to learn Chinese. If earlier German, French, English and Spanish were taught at MIPT, then in the new academic year it is not supposed to study other languages, except for English and Chinese.

As follows from
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
to the appeal of the MIPT Student Council to the department of foreign languages of the university, the Chinese language has become mandatory. At the same time, additional courses to improve English are canceled at MIPT.


However, most students would like to continue learning English, as it is the language of the international scientific community, Ilya Zakharov, chairman of the MIPT Student Council, points out:

Ilya Zakharov
Chairman of the MIPT Student Council

“Since 2023, when studying in educational programs at MIPT, Chinese has been studied as the main language. English is taught to the Upper Intermediate level, after which the students are simply confronted with the fact that they are now learning Chinese. There were always several languages: there were French, German, but this September we discussed it together with the administration, and it was decided that the number of languages should be reduced to three - to Chinese, German, Spanish. [This was done] mainly for budgetary reasons: it is not very cost-effective to maintain many languages that are not spoken by very many people. And now they are deciding, in principle, to reduce most of the things in English, in Spanish, that is, in the next year or two we will have only English and Chinese.

Starting from the next academic year, the first two years of undergraduate studies will be taught according to the scheme: first English, then Chinese. In the third year, both languages will be studied together - one pair per week each. In the fourth year - again one language, the choice of the student. In the magistracy, you can choose either English or Chinese (if you have good English).
In fundamental science, the Chinese language is not particularly needed, explains astrophysicist, professor of the Russian Academy of Sciences Sergey Popov. All more or less important studies are translated into English, which the Chinese experts, like everyone else, are quite fluent in.


Sergey Popov
astrophysicist, professor of the Russian Academy of Sciences

“For fundamental science, in my opinion, one language is still relevant, and this is English. This is if we are talking about work. And it will be so for the foreseeable future. I read almost 100% [of scientific materials] in English. I write 90% in English, but it could be 100%. Perhaps the Chinese language is not very relevant. If I chose myself, I would think first of all about professional communication. But I would rather choose German. I can imagine a situation where some technical things - not fundamental science, but engineering - can only exist in Chinese. But the lack of choice for such a top university is rather an indicator of the weakness of the university.”

At the request of Business FM, MIPT sent a written comment, which states that in order for graduates to rely on the latest scientific publications in their work, to be able to read technical documentation, the formats and volumes of introducing Chinese as a second compulsory language into the educational program are now being discussed. It is in Chinese that up to 27% of all scientific articles in the fields specialized for MIPT are currently written, and according to the forecast of researchers, up to half of all technical and engineering documentation will be published in the language of the eastern neighbor by 2030, the university noted.

To learn how to read technical documentation in Chinese, you will first have to master literary Chinese at least at an intermediate level, and then move on to learning technical Chinese. To do this, within the framework of a five-six-year higher education, language pairs should be daily. One or two pairs of Chinese a week for two or three years of study is just a waste of time for students, Taras Ivchenko, Associate Professor of the Department of Oriental Languages at the Institute of Linguistics of the Russian State Humanitarian University, is outraged:


Taras Ivchenko
Associate Professor, Department of Oriental Languages, Institute of Linguistics, Russian State University for the Humanities

“I don’t think that people who specialize in physics will include four or five pairs of Chinese in the educational process. If this is not done, the extent to which people will learn this language will be limited. I don't think that they have any prospect at all to read scientific articles in this language. The working language, the common language for all scientists involved in this field, is English. It is desirable that the people themselves who are doing this experiment do it for the sake of obtaining content, and not in order to be considered that we have introduced the Chinese language.

As the expert notes, the peculiarity of technical texts in any language, not excluding Chinese, is that they lend themselves well to machine translations.
Russian is a very Indo European language with very Indo European sounds. It has all the standard Indo European stuff like conjugation, grammatical gender and complex consonant clusters that Chinese doesn't have.

Seems like it would be a nightmare for Russians to get used to the sounds,.grammar and writing system of Chinese. Then again, Japanese and Koreans study English because their economy forces them to despite Japanese and Korean sharing literally nothing in common with English.
 

BlackWindMnt

Captain
Registered Member
Russian is a very Indo European language with very Indo European sounds. It has all the standard Indo European stuff like conjugation, grammatical gender and complex consonant clusters that Chinese doesn't have.

Seems like it would be a nightmare for Russians to get used to the sounds,.grammar and writing system of Chinese. Then again, Japanese and Koreans study English because their economy forces them to despite Japanese and Korean sharing literally nothing in common with English.
I get their frustration because you really need a big bulk of Chinese words before you can really start appreciate and used the chinese language. I

Im right now at about 550~600 chinese words and I feel it's finally starting to click after like 18 months of following lessons and me putting in minimal effort. Mostly memorizings word, and short text still need to do a shit load of reading graded books.

Having multiple lessons a week on an university level you could probably compress those 18 months I needed into like 4 or 6 months.

I think once you can comfortably read the 1500~2000 most common used words in Chinese you can probably get like 90~95% of a chinese written paper. You probably need a seperated word list for study specific words like a word list for physics, chemistry, biology etc.
 

Chevalier

Captain
Registered Member
As the Chinese once said of semiconductors, these were made by men, not Gods and are therefore possible to master. I hold the same view of foreigners learning Chinese, and just because we tend to apply say anglo levels of laziness to study, doesnt mean the Russians will have the same attitude. Many Russians i met in China spoke fluent mandarin back in my uni days, and they were typically slavic beauties. aaah, take me back....

In any case, it is forward thinking of these Russian Uni admins to consider mandarin Chinese since China is where most of the cutting edge research in the material sciences is taking place, and given the rate of pogroms against chinese researchers in the anglosphere, that margin is set to widen. Anyone who's studied physical chemistry will note the many use of german terms-a because Germany was the leader of chemistry back in the 19th-early 20th centuries. So too will that be the case for Chinese in science.
 
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