Rising Sea Dragon in Asia (PLAN) 2014 Update

Blackstone

Brigadier
Chinese military spending has been growing faster (>10%) than GDP growth for last 20 years. If Chinese defence spending continue to grow at minimum double digit rates (10%), while Chinese GDP grows at 7.5% a year, Chinese absolute military spending match American defence spending in absolute terms by 2032, but not reach 4% of GDP until 2044.

If Chinese GDP growth rate levels off to 5% a year after 2020, then Chinese military spending wil match American defence spending the same year when Chinese GDP, as well as % of GDP spend on the military, will match that of US, in 2032.

The bottom line is China's military spending of around 2% of GDP is in line with or lower than most nations not protected by US military alliances. Japan's 1% and Philippines' 1.2% GDP defense spending are outliers.
 

tphuang

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
Guys, there are threads in the strategic defense forum that's more appropriate for this military budget discussion. Let's continue there and focus just on PLAN in 2014 here.
 
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