I believe the PLAN has known full well what India, Japan, Australia, etc. have all been up to. With the three carriers India will ultimately have (2 STOBAR and potetnially one CATOBAR) the three carrier type vessel Japan has with at least one more (22DDH), and potetnially another four after that (26DDH), and the two Australian Canberra vessels, you have a total of nine to thirteen aircraft carriers being built in the Western Pacific outside of China...and each country is building the necessary and capable escorts to go along with them.Just my opinion.
Only the 3 Indian carriers are even nominally close to being in the league of the alleged new Chinese carrier.
Canberras are mainly amphibious vessels with at most a secondary sea control role suitable only for low or medium threat environment, the two Japanese DDHs also have at most a similar secondary sea control role, assuming the story that their decks were not capable of withstanding the exhaust from vectored nozzle of F-35 is false.
But only Japan has both the industrial capacity and technological capabilities to more or less match the Chinese in the long run. If Japan decides to follow their DDH with a full scale CATOBAR carrier, I would believe the Japanese can both built it well and bring it to efficient operation promptly. I have my doubts about how well built an Indian carrier would be and how long it would take before it is efficient and just how efficient is indian standard of efficient. Publically available photos of the bow ramp in the Vikrant clearly show precision fabrication was not available to those who made the sides of that ramp. Those metal plates look like they were hammered into shape by hand.
So I think in the long run, Chinese carrier strategy will be heavily influenced by what Japan does. But it won't be very significantly influenced by what India or Australia does.
If Japan announces she would follow her 2 28,000 ton DDH with 4 60,000 ton DDH, which I think is well within Japan's capabilities, then I imagine a fire would be immediately lit under the asses of Chinese carrier program. I imagine the Chinese would do whatever it takes to match the Japanese at least 1 to 1.
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