On chinese forums everybody has been buzzing that China has developed its own EMALS. They say that it was developed by a researcher at one of China's naval universities in Wuhan. Not sure if true, thoughts?
They are most certainly researching it, and trying to develop it. But they certainly have nothing operational yet.
At some point, they will have a prototype that they will test and test and test and work out all of the bugs. We have not seen that yet...but it is not something that we would necessarily see.
After that, they will rework the design to address the issues, and then an initial version will be set up at one of their naval facilities for final evaluation. Once that happens, and they are satisfied with its performance, then they would begin building them into their next class of carrier (presuming they have the power issues worked out to provide it with enough power...probably an integrated power system on a nuclear vessel), and then as that was being built, they would also put one into their Naval Training Facility.
Chances are that the PLAN is many years away from having any operational EMALS catapult.
My own personal guess is that the PLAN will proceed with the following basic schedule (give or take 3-4 years):
2011-2015 - Liaoning commissioned and worked up. (No catapults)
2014-2017 - Two new, indigenous STOBAR Carriers build. (Chance of designing for a future steam catapult)
2018-2020 - New STOBAR Carriers worked up without catapults.
2022-2025 - New CATOBAR Carrier builds. (Conventional power with Steam Catapults)
2024-2027 - Second CATOBAR Carrier builds. (Conventional power with Steam Catapults)
2026-2029 - Two new CATOBAR Carrier work up,
2030-2032 - Potential retrofit of steam cats back to 1st two indigenous carriers if they were designed for it.
2034-2038 - 1st nuclear powered carrier with potential EMALS catapults builds.
2038-2040 - 1st nuclear powered carrier works up, and then replaces Liaoning in 2042 or so.
2042 - Forward PLAN builds nuclear carriers, maintaining 5 carriers and replacing old ones as they retire.