It has been discussed to death many times, like . Conclusion is always the same: technical and political obstacles make it near-impossible to pull off in practice.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
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It has been discussed to death many times, like . Conclusion is always the same: technical and political obstacles make it near-impossible to pull off in practice.
This is an old article but I never got a closer look at it. Apparently the secret to US forces defeating China is the JASSM. The US launched thousands of these missiles to destroy Chinese ships and land based assets. The LRASM is the anti ship version of it. Is it really that simple? Is China's land and sea based air defenses capable of handling this missile? Also, it's not like China cannot hit back. Although with the Extended Range version of this missile, the planes launching them would likely be outside of the range of Chinese air defenses.
that's just another wunder weapon. China can hit back much harder.
-H-6 with CJ-10 and YJ-12
-UAV with cruise missiles
US gonna destroy China costal airbases, so what? every US assets in the 1st and 3nd Island Chain will be wiped out as well.
Chese airforce can still use the airbases inland while the costal bases are getting repaired but all US bases in asia is done done for.
Result, US getting pushed out of Asia.
for some years now Taiwan/US game plan has been to use AshM to take out landing crafts. doesnt matter what China can deliver in the air and on land, if they cannot ferry troops over the strait, it is all useless. so it's best to use missiles to take out landing crafts in transit. not saying that this is gonna work just saying that this is their plan.
David Axe is not a credible source for anything. Even the CSIS wargame he cites in the article is more credible, and it was notoriously awful.
This article is utter nonsense. It makes an absurd assumption that the B-1, B-2, and B-52 can fly to within 70–110 kilometers of Taiwan, release their JDAM-ERs, and then leave unscathed. Just take one look at Google Maps, and you’ll realize that this is already within the combat radius of J-10As taking off from Fujian, relying only on their internal fuel tanks.Moreover, there is an outer air defense perimeter formed by destroyers and frigates, as well as potential land-based air defense systems and close-in weapon systems deployed on Taiwan itself. More importantly, U.S. military bases in Japan have never operated such a massive bomber formation, and I have serious doubts about their actual sortie efficiency.
Do JASSM/LRASM missile swarms present major concerns and threats to the PLA's operational planning and execution for Operation AR? Yes.
But is the PLA without countermeasure capabilities of their own? COME ON, we're talking about the PLA of 2025, not 1995, 2005 or even 2015.
If LO cruise missile swarms are that easy against the PLA of 2025, then what are those AEW&C aircrafts and UAVs, manned fighter jets and HALE/MALE missile truck UCAVs, ELINT and EW platforms, counter-LO radar, sensor systems and SAMs + CIWS based on land (both fixed sites and mobile trucks) and surface ships for?
Also, there's this golden rule - There is NO wunderwaffe, ever - No matter how military/defense pundits/journalists/bros wantonly attempt to protray any weapon systems or platforms as such.
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J-ASS propaganda typically comes out when there's a B21 delay. J-ASS now cost 1.5 mil per and the delivery system is delayed. Lockheed wants to keep the program going, even by entertaining stupid ideas like dropping them out of C-17s. Keeps it going so the navy doesn't steal their budget.