I suggest you read through this thread, starting from page 1
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
It is not idealistic to believe that China does not need to resort to force. HK was taken back without armed conflict.
Can (a) president be retarded enough to dissolve a country? See Gorbachev, Mikhail
That doesn't mean put all the eggs into the peaceful reunification basket, but it is possible. Only about 10 years ago Xi and Ma Ying Jeou formally met in Singapore. This is the same time that Obama started the pivot to Asia to disrupt the peace process.
Repeat this for the 1000th time. Semiconductor industry is something the USA made up to justify the potential effort to wage their own war in Taiwan. I don't think there is a single person in the Chinese government so stupid as to expect to capture intact factories in the event of a war, not even the janitor.
What is more cost effective?
A) Directly investing in semiconductor manufacturing and research?
or
B) Funneling money into a war that may or may yield equipment and definitely will cause massive economic and social disruption?
By the time there is actual war in Taiwan, TSMC might most likely be a shell of its former self since we already see the US trying to siphon its technology away. As for the other companies, China has already made huge strides in the semiconductor industry. Whatever advantages Taiwan has in that areas is gonna be gone faster than you know it. I thought Samsung was untouchable and now they're in trouble. Technology edges do not last as long as you perceive them to be.
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lcloo
Captain
Yes a flotilla of this size should be able to carry 5,000 to 6,000 personnels for beach assault, just the right size for a regular PLA brigade.
We can see 2 X type 075, 2 X type 071 and 9 X type 072. In future if they add 1 X type 076 to the group we may see another thousand plus drones and human fighters.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
At the rate China can build them, in a few years maybe there will be enough to form a bridge.
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Uh if Agent Lai isn't in Taiwan right now, maybe 联合利剑2024-C might be the last "exercise". CV-16 Liaoning is almost in position.
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Liaoning went back to base. It is possible for her to set sail again.
Though if Taiwan's MND is basing things off Liaoning, we'll have to see.
