PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
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It's sourced from Taiwan MND.
So (IIRC) MND only includes flights that cross the median line as "in ADIZ", + the US only recognizes Taiwan's ADIZ within the median line
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Is he this?
"Congratulations to Dr Anna Wilson and Dr Puma Shen and the rest of the UK-Taiwan project team on winning the ESRC-NSTC grant to fund the project "Information Threats to Democratic Societies of UK and Taiwan: Interdisciplinary Approaches"!
Funded by the project brings together researchers from academic and non-academic institutions which are interested in research on information threats, with the specific focus on China and Russia, and the impact of such threats on democratic societies of UK and Taiwan. The project will develop a list of policy-driven research questions which will allow us to address information threats and more specifically dis/misinformation in an optimal and complete fashion. It will deliver a position paper featuring a new research design for interdisciplinary and inter-regional analysis of dis/misinformation. "
Taiwan seems prepare so well. What happen if their preparation has reach the level above the limit of China mainland plan? I mean, a level where the PLA calculate that it is not worthed because it can take more casualty that PRC can take, and then they declare Independent to provoke China?
solarz
Brigadier
There's no level of preparation available to Taiwan that can reach this limit.
There is no realistic upper limit, China will never cede regions in the east, especially not heavily populated/strategic area like Taiwan.
At the bare minimum China will start to reach its limit when they're like Ukraine, I.e. drafted every adult man, consider drafting women, exhausted all military stockpiles etc. But unlike Ukraine, China has nukes.
Like the other large nuclear powers, if China believes parts of core territory is about to become lost, the response will probably be tactical nukes to turn the battlefield around. Or strategic nukes if the situation is even more dire.
Am I misinterpreted your comments? I personally don't believe China will use nukes on its own blood-brothers!
you maybe don't know much about TAIWANESE society but it is very very tough to implement this. like drafted every adult man, consider drafting women, exhausted all military stockpiles etc.. even their regular army is struggling.. DPP lost the majority in Presidential and parliament elections.
There's no level of preparation available to Taiwan that can reach the limit of PRC. neither PRC will use any type of nuclear weapon in TAIWAN. get over it please
Enemy always gets a vote, even if on paper China has vast advantages especially on defense, his and my comment is on the slim possibility where China must retreat from the front, deeper into the interior.
Then, they would naturally deny anything of use to the occupiers. And if (again basically impossible) China found itself as pressed as Ukraine is being in their own war, nukes are an option to ensure Chinese blood and soil doesn't fall into invader hands.
In an ideal conflict, China would be on the offensive all the time, there would be no munitions whether conventional or nuclear exploding on Chinese land. But like I said, the enemy always gets a vote, no matter how unlikely.
When soldiers are fighting for their own survival in their homelands, it's more important to save the lives of their brothers by destroying the enemy than to worry about busting down houses or destroying landscapes. Houses can be rebuilt, Hiroshima today is a decent city.
Sorry. I would disagree with the idea that China could so casually consider nuking its own land. First of all, China has a NFU nuclear doctrine, so there is no reason for China to use nukes on Taiwan for a scorch earth strategy. Second, Taiwan Island is still Chinese land, and I'm sure that even the most diehard mainland nationalist would be loathed to see it burned by nuclear fire. Taiwan doesn't deserve to burn, it's those traitors that do. Third, there are effective alternatives to nuking an occupied Taiwan, such as a naval blockade.