Those daily exercises tell you how soft they’re going to be on air power.
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
Real DPP members already ordered their red flags from Taobao for when the day comes. This is why most Chinese nationalists prefer DPP.
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I would actually guess that they try to use undercover/spec ops to take out KMT first. Air will operate against military targets and to help the undercover units, but I don't expect the PLA to fully attack unless US/Japan attacks.
Even with China's current status as a disarmed nation, having an extremely large economy translates to incredibly high firepower. Since it's all focused in the home front, the level of strikes may exceed what US can do several times over. If they start shooting like that inside China, it will kill many of the undercover infiltrators too. So they have to wait out the undercover ops first before considering full air + artillery.
Nah. When they decide to move towards the blockade phase Taiwan’s entire air defense system is going down. They won’t need to fire the first shot. If Taiwan doesn’t resist the blockade they might as well be surrendering. If or when they do you have your alibi to shoot. Don’t overcomplicate this. You don’t have the option of getting fancy when you have to get a quick and assured enough outcome to beat any move for mass intervention from the US.
Obviously anything better than a manpads is gone after a few hours.
What I meant is that China can't cover every square meter with bombs if its an area where there's infiltrators. They'll have to wait for infiltrators to fail first before starting to directly work on an area.
First few days (assuming they can't just coup the KMT and make ROCA disband), covert units would likely try to secure civilian safe zones and take regional admin centers. That way, the PLA can then go full force against the unsecured areas.
Why? Spec Ops aren’t magic secure area buttons. And they don’t need to cover every square area with bombs. Part of the point of air control is surveillance paired with a prompt strike trigger. That alone would sufficiently suppress any effective movement of ground forces.
Share some interesting things:
The editor（Shilao）from Guancha shared one thesis he found. This thesis from Taiwan envisions possible scenarios for future wars.
——There are other contents that can be viewed on Weibo.
Unfortunately, I'm not quite sure where he obtained the internal publication from.
Since this is the assumption of the 'defense side', it cannot prove the true level of PLA.
The article, out of political correctness, imagines the PLA as having low combat effectiveness and can only win by quantity, which is their consistent practice. But the author also had to imagine the worst-case scenario: The defense of the entire island has been destroyed.
The editor（Shilao）from Guancha shared one thesis he found. This thesis from Taiwan envisions possible scenarios for future wars.
——There are other contents that can be viewed on Weibo.
Unfortunately, I'm not quite sure where he obtained the internal publication from.
Since this is the assumption of the 'defense side', it cannot prove the true level of PLA.
The article, out of political correctness, imagines the PLA as having low combat effectiveness and can only win by quantity, which is their consistent practice. But the author also had to imagine the worst-case scenario: The defense of the entire island has been destroyed.
