PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Miyayaya

Junior Member
Registered Member
New CMSI report just dropped

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

(Also I am unsure if I should provide anything of discussion value instead of just leaving a link since I haven't read this yet, but if I should I will do so in the future)
 

Wrought

Junior Member
Registered Member
New CMSI report just dropped

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

(Also I am unsure if I should provide anything of discussion value instead of just leaving a link since I haven't read this yet, but if I should I will do so in the future)

Given that the report is 500+ pages, yes it would be helpful for you to provide a summary. For instance, just looking at the TOC makes it obvious that this is a compilation of previous CMSI reports and other articles from a variety of authors, as opposed to a new original work by a single author.
 
Last edited:

Blitzo

Lieutenant General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Registered Member
New CMSI report just dropped

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

(Also I am unsure if I should provide anything of discussion value instead of just leaving a link since I haven't read this yet, but if I should I will do so in the future)

Don't just link drop please.

Things should only be posted if one thinks it actually has value, or to justify why it is worth posting.

If those can't be done, then don't post it. The forum's threads aren't meant to be an archive of links, but rather discussion about meaningful topics.
 

supersnoop

Major
Registered Member
It can reach the mainland.

"According to details of the US arms sale to Taiwan, this package also includes 64 Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS), with a range of up to 300 km and guidance capabilities."

Good news for Generalissimo Lai then.
He can go ahead and declare independence...
11 HIMARS launcher, meaning 11 ATACMs launch per volley
PLA is surely done for.
 

Jason_

Junior Member
Registered Member
Given that the report is 500+ pages, yes it would be helpful for you to provide a summary. For instance, just looking at the TOC makes it obvious that this is a compilation of previous CMSI reports and other articles from a variety of authors, as opposed to a new original work by a single author.
I briefly skimmed through it. Overall, not impressed.

Some notables problems, which should be very familiar to readers of American think tank reports:
1. over reliance on extremely outdated information or sources
2. uncritical reading of translated PLA documents (e.g. concluding the PLA lack capability X because Y document says "we must strengthen X")
3. completely absurd scenarios that ignores preparatory phases before the invasion
4. Recycled articles from the 2010s with just passing mentions of new PLA capability, completely ignoring how these capabilities fundamentally invalidates previously made core assumptions

This is a boilerplate US think tank report that could have been written in 2017. What is funny is that its recommendations for Taiwan is functionally identical to reports a decade ago, but over that time the RoCArF didn't change much but the PLA is completely unrecognizable.
 
Top