PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

I

Index

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meez said:
Like what star wars plan of us ?? This all abm interceptor thing sound great but has no real use in in military cuz it is unproven and experience let me tell you something 100 billion dollars for like 66 gbi interceptor which has low sucess rate do you think it is good to build such abm wall without great pain to a nation?
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HQ-19 and DN-3 are supposed to be quite decent. It didn't work for US, but US is working with higher corruption and a smaller economy.

Barring a black swan leap, I don't think China can achieve anti-US protection level, but even an ability 1/4th of the way there will be sufficient to stop any other nuclear country besides US and Russia. All the interceptors can also be used in conventional war (iffy if DN3 works, they're huge like the GBI).

Rocketry is China's best strength, like how turbofans are US'. It makes sense to endlessly sharpen it.
 
M

meez

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Index said:
HQ-19 and DN-3 are supposed to be quite decent. It didn't work for US, but US is working with higher corruption and a smaller economy.

Barring a black swan leap, I don't think China can achieve anti-US protection level, but even an ability 1/4th of the way there will be sufficient to stop any other nuclear country besides US and Russia. All the interceptors can also be used in conventional war (iffy if DN3 works, they're huge like the GBI).

Rocketry is China's best strength, like how turbofans are US'. It makes sense to endlessly sharpen it.
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Luke Warmwar

Luke Warmwar

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The US urged “restraint” from both sides amid speculation over mainland China’s military response to Taiwanese leader
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’s coming speech on the occasion of the self-governed island’s founding.

A senior official of US President
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’s administration said Beijing could use Lai’s speech on Thursday as a “pretext” for taking military action in the Taiwan Strait.
“We see no justification for a routine annual celebration to be used in this manner,” the official said in a background call with the press on Wednesday.

“A cause of action like this against
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and in the cross-strait context, in our view, undermines cross-strait peace and stability.

“We’ll be calling on both sides to aggregate restraint and consistent with long-standing norms,” the official added.
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I wonder what’s in that speech. Or maybe the US just really doesn’t want any other conflict escalating right now.
 
Wrought

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Luke Warmwar said:
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I wonder what’s in that speech. Or maybe the US just really doesn’t want any other conflict escalating right now.
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It means Washington wants Beijing to do nothing about the continued push for independence.

Lai’s speech is expected to call for “national unity” and strengthening the island’s international status, according to Taiwan’s Central News Agency.
The Biden official said Taiwan briefed its “diplomatic partners” about the speech.
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They're probably smart enough to realize that trading political speeches on the news for military progress on the ground is a bad deal, but lack the control to prevent Lai from talking.
 
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Index

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Luke Warmwar said:
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I wonder what’s in that speech. Or maybe the US just really doesn’t want any other conflict escalating right now.
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Wrought said:
It means Washington wants Beijing to do nothing about the continued push for independence.



They're probably smart enough to realize that trading political speeches on the news for military progress on the ground is a bad deal, but lack the control to prevent Lai from talking.
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US maintains very aggressive rhetoric but they have not showed plan preparations of an attack for awhile, or even preparations that would reveal that the concepts of an attack plan exists.

I think they're gradually realizing that with so much pressure on them globally and an unfavorable economic situation, there is no hope in continuing attempts at territorial aggression, especially against a more powerful country. The rhetoric will be the last to go.
 
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