With his son already in America, he can say anything
PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency
- Thread starter pugachev_diver
- Start date
Assuming that America isn’t going to collapse like the UK is right now, he might not enjoy his ‘smart’ move for very long, I mean all those refugees invading from the south… he should have considered his choices better but then again, he must have been drinking whatever Gordon Chang has been drink and must have found it great at the expense of this thinking capacity (that is if drinking cow piss Jai Hind style is supposed to be good)
On Day One. An economic contingency plan for conflict with China
The United States lacks an economic contingency plan for conflict with China. Hard decoupling through sanctions is not viable. Instead, the United States should prepare a “Day One” plan based on economic leadership and recovery. By harnessing incentives and market forces, Washington and core US allies can trigger avalanche decoupling in trade while working with the interests of third states and preserving dollar hegemony and the rules-based trading system.The strategy presented in this paper was advocated by Philip Zelikow, one of the jews behind 9/11, in one of his recent articles.
I think this is basically what China can expect within the next 2-3 years. All major conflicts started by the US happened in the second or third year of a new presidency, so 2026 is a safe bet.
I’ll believe it when they start restoring penicillin production.
They are still trying to please their base even though doing so will get them killed in the long run. Seriously the only way they can save the USA right now is a French style revolution that takes out the entire leadership so that the nation can have a clean slate because right now all of the leaders they have got from now on are all compromised
this is the key phrase, enough said.....
There are reading material about this from South African wars. Copper wire guided missiles don't do well over the water. Torpedos apparently have a lot of measures to have copper wire guidance work in the water that ATGMs like the TOW lack. Not surprising to be honest considering the difference in cost and the intended use. I haven't found anything unclassified about fiber-optic wire guided missiles. The Spike NLOS was marketed for maritime applications a lot, though. So I guess fiber optic cables have it better in this matter.
If I stay specific to the topic, I think the Taiwanese bet on ATGMs is more of a media hype rather than reality. It just doesn't make sense. These weapons are very short ranged and they aren't going to do anything to landing craft. LSMs and LSTs could tank a lot of hits. Even LCACs should be able to. Furthermore PLA will for certain use a lot of dispersion* to force Taiwan to disperse even more. Smokelaying and communications jamming will be heavily used. If we are talking about the 2030s, APS will be common on AFVs too. These are major problems for ATGM units even without the accounting of the PLA airpower and UCAV fleet.
*: 4-14 beaches stuff is another meme too. Most of Taiwan's West Coast is of shallow gravel reaches. Which means a substaintial portion of the coastline is good enough for an amphibious assault. Especially for tracked vehicles and air cushioned landing craft which are both common in PLA inventory.
IIRC when China was potentially expecting an US attack last year (but it turned to be just an US domestically unpopular fractional stunt), they put some units on readiness in the area, and then any tracked/wheeled vehicle were all seen with APS systems mounted.
When was that exactly?