PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

99PLAAFBalloons

99PLAAFBalloons

New Member
Registered Member
Ironhide said:
"The training materials show Russia's eastern military district was rehearsing multiple scenarios including using nukes against China in a Chinese invasion."
Its possible Russians suspect Reunification of Outer Manchuria (Historical Chinese regions invaded by Russia) with Mainland during the taiwan contingency
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1762714288613888167
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Hysteria. Even the FT article itself doesn't bring up Taiwan and AR in any hypothetical use of tactical nukes by Russia, which (besides second strike) revolve around an invasion of Russia itself and a severe degradation of conventional forces. To quote,
The slides summarise the threshold as a combination of factors where losses suffered by Russian forces “would irrevocably lead to their failure to stop major enemy aggression”, a “critical situation for the state security of Russia”. Other potential conditions include the destruction of 20 per cent of Russia’s strategic ballistic missile submarines, 30 per cent of its nuclear-powered attack submarines, three or more cruisers, three airfields, or a simultaneous hit on main and reserve coastal command centres.
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No need to give the fantasies of a talking head any consideration
 
T

tamsen_ikard

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Registered Member
Temstar said:
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ROCCGA refuses to apologise for causing the two deaths.

I was thinking if the four conditions from the families were satisfied the TAO would play down the incident from then on. Now that they've decided to stand their ground and play hardball the show will go on.
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No govt under DPP will ever back down. Its simply impossible for them based on their fundamental view of the world.

China gets to escalate based on the events and then DPP will counter escalate using the west such as more US or western arms or ships or missiles or whatever soft Taiwan independence like actions they can take. Then China has no option to escalate again just to respond.

The end game for all this is that Taiwanese public gets scared enough to vote DPP out of power in 2028. Or they are equally foolish and delusional and the escalation game continues until China has no choice but to attack.
 
siegecrossbow

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
tamsen_ikard said:
No govt under DPP will ever back down. Its simply impossible for them based on their fundamental view of the world.

China gets to escalate based on the events and then DPP will counter escalate using the west such as more US or western arms or ships or missiles or whatever soft Taiwan independence like actions they can take. Then China has no option to escalate again just to respond.

The end game for all this is that Taiwanese public gets scared enough to vote DPP out of power in 2028. Or they are equally foolish and delusional and the escalation game continues until China has no choice but to attack.
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Is there a 2028?
 
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