PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

grulle

Junior Member
Registered Member
Flight IIA Burkes don't have harpoons, do they carry other types of antiship missiles or what. how does the US expect to win without antiship missiles? from the air only? B1 + LRASM?
 

HighGround

Senior Member
Registered Member
Flight IIA Burkes don't have harpoons, do they carry other types of antiship missiles or what. how does the US expect to win without antiship missiles? from the air only? B1 + LRASM?
Cant you stuff an anti ship Tomahawk into a Mk.41
 

bebops

Junior Member
Registered Member
Think of Shahed as a cruise missile.

An improved Shahed can be deadly. Longer range, higher explosion, more stealthier, faster..

Since Shahed is cheap, I would rather launch 20 of these over a single cruise missile. The rate of getting through a defense layer is greater than just a single missile
 

ACuriousPLAFan

Brigadier
Registered Member
Mine the water around Guam. Good luck keeping all those troops fed.
Guam is ~3000 kilometers away from the Chinese coastline.

How to mine the waters around Guam and keep those waters mined and access-denied for US warships and resupply ships effectively during wartime is a big question.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Guam is ~3000 kilometers away from the Chinese coastline.

How to mine the waters around Guam and keep those waters mined and access-denied for US warships and resupply ships effectively during wartime is a big question.
Underwater gliders
 

montyp165

Senior Member
US has a defense treaty with Japan

The US can choose whether to provide support or not, after all the Iranians directly attacked US forces in retaliation after the assassination of General Soleimani and the US response was rather muted.

Atlantic Council has a new report for Pentagon that talks of a limited nuke war. Projection

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Which goes back to the point I've been saying, if it has to come to a fight China absolutely needs to decisively defeat the US especially if they go nuclear, for the US are ones who would rather burn down the world than lose their global power and control (and are already doing so).
 

tankphobia

Senior Member
Registered Member
Shaheds are 2000 km range, 150 kph, flies at the ~10-20 m range and have a ~0.1 m2 frontal RCS in X band.

The detection radius for ground radars is going to be on the order of km and even when detected on fighter radar, has a smaller RCS than a passenger car going at comparable speeds. It is 100% not easy to take out.

It also has coordinate waypoint capability so if the linear distance is shorter it can go around the target.
But the defense can concentrate their systems around critical infrastructure, I'd imagine they wouldn't care a whole lot about a UAV hitting a runway compared to a fuel depot for example. Makes laser/gun based shorads a very effective defense. The main reason that it's having some level of success in Ukraine right now is that there are too many target and not all of them are military, so defense can't really pick their battles freely.

This will be the reverse in a westpac conflict where there's no munitions to waste on non-military targets, but each strike package size should be much larger in general allowing concentration of air defense to be a viable tactic.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
But the defense can concentrate their systems around critical infrastructure, I'd imagine they wouldn't care a whole lot about a UAV hitting a runway compared to a fuel depot for example. Makes laser/gun based shorads a very effective defense. The main reason that it's having some level of success in Ukraine right now is that there are too many target and not all of them are military, so defense can't really pick their battles freely.

This will be the reverse in a westpac conflict where there's no munitions to waste on non-military targets, but each strike package size should be much larger in general allowing concentration of air defense to be a viable tactic.
Cheap piston-based cruise missiles aren’t the only munitions China has in her arsenal. PLA can send hundreds of the piston missiles plus glide-bombs, jet-powered cruise missiles and hypersonic missiles at a target at the same time.
The defender can concentrates its defenses, so can the attackers with the attacks.
 
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