PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

birdlikefood

Junior Member
Registered Member
National strength cannot be anthropomorphic, and your experience has no reference value, brother.

If the country has to be anthropomorphic, then as someone who has experience caring for a patient suffering from chronic diseases, I think the future of the United States is also very bad.
So let's all give up this metaphor and move on to a more constructive topic.
 

Brainsuker

Junior Member
Registered Member
As a former MMA fighter, I tell you the boxer with a fight record and experience will win, Not really a good analogy for war.
But in the book of Five Rings, written by Miyamoto Musashi, a fight between 2 men and a fight between two armies are the same. The different is only the size. You should read it, a good book to spend our time. As a former MMA fighter, I'm sure that you enjoy Martial Art. And the book of Five Rings is a good book of Martial Art full of philosophy written by the legendary Japanese Swordman himself, Miyamoto Musashi.
 

Derpy

Junior Member
Registered Member
But in the book of Five Rings, written by Miyamoto Musashi, a fight between 2 men and a fight between two armies are the same. The different is only the size. You should read it, a good book to spend our time. As a former MMA fighter, I'm sure that you enjoy Martial Art. And the book of Five Rings is a good book of Martial Art full of philosophy written by the legendary Japanese Swordman himself, Miyamoto Musashi.
That was not even true 400+ years ago when he wrote it never mind today in a fight between two high tech superpowers.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
But in the book of Five Rings, written by Miyamoto Musashi, a fight between 2 men and a fight between two armies are the same. The different is only the size. You should read it, a good book to spend our time. As a former MMA fighter, I'm sure that you enjoy Martial Art. And the book of Five Rings is a good book of Martial Art full of philosophy written by the legendary Japanese Swordman himself, Miyamoto Musashi.
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Battle of Gaugamela, also called Battle of
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, (Oct. 1, 331 BC) battle in which
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completed his
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of
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’s
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Empire. It was an extraordinary victory achieved against a numerically superior army on ground chosen by the Persians.
 

Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
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Battle of Gaugamela, also called Battle of
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, (Oct. 1, 331 BC) battle in which
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completed his
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of
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’s
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Empire. It was an extraordinary victory achieved against a numerically superior army on ground chosen by the Persians.
Eh, there's actually some good points on why Alexander the Great might not have existed, or at least not like current history books seems to portray him and his achievements.

In fact, just try diving deep into his 'accomplishments' and you find lots of laughable and unrealistic stuff lol, like not knowing measurements, 'just' building ships out of trees in a very short time period (that's not how ships made of tree are made, the process is quite complex) etc.

See this video:
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And videos from this person.
 

FriedButter

Colonel
Registered Member
Eh, there's actually some good points on why Alexander the Great might not have existed, or at least not like current history books seems to portray him and his achievements.

In fact, just try diving deep into his 'accomplishments' and you find lots of laughable and unrealistic stuff lol, like not knowing measurements, 'just' building ships out of trees in a very short time period (that's not how ships made of tree are made, the process is quite complex) etc.

I am not sure what you expect for accuracy of Alexander when all the historians that written about him happened 200-500 years after his era. You would also have to explain if Alexander didn’t exist then how was there Greek control over Egypt and why Persia completely disappeared from history without anyone documenting anything.
 

zhangjim

Junior Member
Registered Member
Nobody really knows what the military brass or thr political leaders truly think. Winning or losing a war is almost impossible to predict because it has countless variables. Most of which is out of one's control. A lot of it also has to do with 'luck.'
China's military is also largely untested in modern warfare.
And will the civilian population able to stomach the potential heavy loses?
Majority of the men is the only child in their family.
Although many people may mock such remarks, problems do exist. It's just that the severity won't be that high.
Americans always deliberately ignore China's nationalism when evaluating the Taiwan issue, and the most radical and fanatical advocates for national unity even hope that the military will launch a coup to replace the indecisive government(of course, these chauvinism are regarded as neurotic lunatics).

Therefore, the most easily underestimated point for other countries is that Chinese people will not be intimidated by the intimidation of several countries on the Taiwan issue. 'Historical mission' is not a simple propaganda slogan, it is a firm belief accumulated in China's history over the past thousands of years. We will achieve our goals at all costs. This is a matter that does not require additional emphasis for us.
Of course, a peaceful era that lasts too long can lead to people losing their necessary rationality, and small-scale chaos and panic are inevitable. But if, as Taiwanese people think, they are trying to intimidate us by attacking our cities with some missiles,it would be ridiculous.

The ability of civilians to bear losses ultimately depends on the extent to which the war will expand, but if Japan intervenes in the war, the acceptance of losses by civilians can still be further improved.
The efficient mobilization demonstrated by China in the past few years of COVID-19 pandemic is evident to all.The ubiquitous virus is much more terrifying than military invasion, and no country has to face the terrible situation of daily life basically stopping, and even I cannot imagine the entire country's military machinery fully operating. I only know that by then, the war in the Taiwan Strait will turn the Ukrainian war into a ridiculous children's game.

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(The essence of this answer is in the comments section)
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These two topics discussed Iran's Shahed-136/Mohajer-6, and some anwsers analyzed China's current ability to produce similar drones.
The main idea is that the cost of producing such drones by Iranians is too high (up to 20000 US dollars). If produced by China, by utilizing idle motorcycle production capacity and further simplifying processes and materials, the cost (excluding warheads) can be reduced to around 2000 RMB.
According to these people's claims, if the production capacity can be fully utilized, we can deploy at least 10000 such UAVs per day.This is just the most conservative statement, some people believe that if motorcycle factories can be mobilized for production, it can reach a daily production capacity of 100000 UAVs.
 

Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
Registered Member
I am not sure what you expect for accuracy of Alexander when all the historians that written about him happened 200-500 years after his era. You would also have to explain if Alexander didn’t exist then how was there Greek control over Egypt and why Persia completely disappeared from history without anyone documenting anything.
Oh there's a lot more to that channel, but the core is that lots of western history (more than 1000 years old) is basically made up or just isn't 'correct' when one starts to check for 'facts'.

You would basically have to know chinese though, and go through lots of his videos.

But that one I posted has some really good basis and just pure logic on why lots of the stories about Alexander the great just doesn't add up, basically the stories like they are currently told can't be real or true.
 

vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Oh there's a lot more to that channel, but the core is that lots of western history (more than 1000 years old) is basically made up or just isn't 'correct' when one starts to check for 'facts'.

You would basically have to know chinese though, and go through lots of his videos.

But that one I posted has some really good basis and just pure logic on why lots of the stories about Alexander the great just doesn't add up, basically the stories like they are currently told can't be real or true.
Last off topic post. The point of my post is to illustrate smaller armies can defeat far larger armies.
 

Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
Registered Member
Last off topic post. The point of my post is to illustrate smaller armies can defeat far larger armies.
Yes, that's true, but more often than not, having a bigger army helps a lot.

Or well, a bit more precise, when 2 forces clash, the one with the 'bigger army'/more men etc. will have a bigger advantage and is more likely to win (well the 'hidden' text is that they should be somewhat of a similar technological level, spears vs machine guns will have the machine guns win, unless it's just 2 machine guns with 100 bullets vs 1000 spear wielding dudes ofc).
 
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