PLA Strategy in a Taiwan Contingency

Biscuits

Major
Registered Member
Just the ramblings and ravings from propagandists of another rebel group, no different than ISIS saying how the caliphate will be formed any day now... Or Juan Guaido thinking he has a strategy to take control of Venezuela lmao.

Realistically speaking you cannot fly anything into mainland airspace once war starts unless you have stealth capabilities and is prepared to attrition massively. There's layers of radars, some specifically made to detect and lock on stealth platforms, and what is very likely the strongest EW systems in the world. Even without intercepts from the Air Force, just the SAMs and jamming will screw up manned flights let alone drones.

China is not Ukraine and Taiwan is not the Donbass. There's no land route for foreign powers and the PLA controls the surrounding seas and skies.

And unlike how Kiev dealt with its 2 separatist oblasts, Beijing has been far more light handed and completely non violent. There's not 1 person in Taiwan that can claim to have lost a relative to mainland nationalist battalions shelling them, and not a single major Chinese politician speaks of Taiwanese as being inferior in any way to other citizens. That means, if a hot civil war is started, there will be plenty of dissenters within the Republic of China forces which will be ready to aid the government forces into winning faster.

This final factor is often overlooked by those who make scenarios about America joining the CCW. Desertation was a huge problem for the original KMT, while its easy to just crunch numbers and talk platform capabilities, morale should never be overlooked in a war.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
Because I seem to see some people want to see those absurd scenes, so I share these contents.
Put aside these absurd and wishful stories,On the whole, this cartoon is based on Taiwan's "solid defense and heavy deterrence(防卫固守,重层吓阻)"
These contents are concentrated in Volume 1.

Considering that you don't seem to like these stupid things very much, I don't think we should share the things that Japanese cartoonists can refresh your understanding of modern war.
Ooh..Now you got me intrigued. Don't worry about our fellow brethren on this forum that are sometimes too serious for their own good. I would like to see that Japanese senpai modern war nonsense. You can send me a PM because the subject at hands deviates from the Taiwan discussion although Japan has tangential connections with the province since they still feel that it's their territory (in their dreams)
 
Well, I'll go to bed early after finishing this work.I will compress some content.
The story is quite absurd, but it can also reflect the actual level of cognition of PLA by Taiwanese soldiers.

View attachment 90792
Volume 8 introduction:The main idea is that the United States secretly bombed China's aircraft carrier in the South China Sea with space weapons, which bought time for the Taiwan army to counterattack.
————It sounds like the direction of the story is crazy, doesn't it?
View attachment 90793
——As you can see, at least this Taiwan Army propagandist thinks that the PLA will use the J-6 modified UAV for bombing.
In order to save time, I will briefly introduce some contents here. In the story, Taiwan's armed forces saved most of their military assets under ballistic missile attack according to their assumptions.
View attachment 90794
Volume 9 story introduction:Because the aircraft carrier was hit by space weapons,the Chinese air force was forced to cancel its original attack mission.
The goal of Taiwan's air force will be to destroy the headquarters of the eastern theater. To this end, it will concentrate 70 aircraft of various types to carry out electronic warfare, SEAD, seize air control and strike at key targets against Chinese Mainland.
I don't think these planes are enough.
View attachment 90799
I remember that Taiwan currently has only one dedicated electronic warfare aircraft.It seems that the anti radiation UAV is mainly responsible for the task of SEAD. The bottom part is a "secret weapon“——The author hopes to use this UAV to drop small jamming sources and decoys in the air to suppress the ground air defense of PLA.
View attachment 90801
Of course, in the face of powerful opponents, sometimes it also needs a little miracle:This is the protagonist of the story. A female ace with excellent spatial perception will drive the F-16 to lead her subordinates to ruthlessly slaughter opponents who have an absolute number of advantages and own the j-20.

Well, most of these contents are reprinted from the trial reading content, but everyone should be able to see the wishful thinking of this kind of comic.

You both won over and lost me at the same time with that first panel.

Back on topic, who else besides me thinks that if Japan intervenes in a China reunification scenario then it's time for the War to Resist Japan and Aid the Ryukyus? I think the PRC has decent capability for that now and will be well equipped for it in 5 to 10 years.
 

56860

Senior Member
Registered Member
You both won over and lost me at the same time with that first panel.

Back on topic, who else besides me thinks that if Japan intervenes in a China reunification scenario then it's time for the War to Resist Japan and Aid the Ryukyus? I think the PRC has decent capability for that now and will be well equipped for it in 5 to 10 years.

I'd very surprised if japan intervened
Northern Brigade can deliver a delicious amount of firepower on the Japanese home islands, and intervening would give the PLARF a mandate to do so. If japs feel like sacrificing their country for american interests then so be it, though. Its entirely their choice.
 

Rettam Stacf

Junior Member
Registered Member
You both won over and lost me at the same time with that first panel.

Back on topic, who else besides me thinks that if Japan intervenes in a China reunification scenario then it's time for the War to Resist Japan and Aid the Ryukyus? I think the PRC has decent capability for that now and will be well equipped for it in 5 to 10 years.

If China started military reunification and Japan intervenes, it is almost next to zero chance Japan will do so without the US also involved.

There are two scenarios for Japan to do so. One is to provide Okinawa as staging bases for the US forces. The other is to involve her military directly. In either scenario, Okinawa will be attacked by the PLA. But PLA boots on the ground is unlikely.

If China beats back the US and Japan, and successfully reunifies with Taiwan, China will be busy with integration with Taiwan and probably has no time for quite a few years to start any move on Okinawa, even if the people of Okinawa will likely protest and even riot to demand US bases out of Okinawa. But I can see PLA in that scenario takes back Diaoyu Island as spoil of war.

And in the scenario China is unsuccessful in reunification with Taiwan, there is no need to talk about any hypothetical situation regarding Okinawa.
 

PiSigma

"the engineer"
If China started military reunification and Japan intervenes, it is almost next to zero chance Japan will do so without the US also involved.

There are two scenarios for Japan to do so. One is to provide Okinawa as staging bases for the US forces. The other is to involve her military directly. In either scenario, Okinawa will be attacked by the PLA.

If China beats back the US and Japan, and successfully reunifies with Taiwan, China will be busy with integration with Taiwan and probably has no time for quite a few years to start any move on Okinawa, even if the people of Okinawa will likely protest and even riot to demand US bases out of Okinawa. But I can see PLA in that scenario takes back Diaoyu Island as spoil of war.

And in the scenario China is unsuccessful in reunification with Taiwan, there is no need to talk about any hypothetical situation regarding Okinawa.
I don't agree with that. If Japan actually provide troops in a Taiwan liberation scenario, then the Chinese population will demand completely crush japan militarily. This is as revenge for ww3 and the interference in Taiwan. In this case, probably force japan to accept Ryukyu independence and become a Chinese protectorate and also allow Chinese basing in Japan ala American style. Or face a couple of nukes if they refuse.

Can't remember where I heard this, but someone told me the first use policy doesn't apply to Japan.
 

ficker22

Senior Member
Registered Member
I've read your other complaints and I can simply say this again: it's all comparative. Nobody can be perfect but one can be the best and that is the CCP. You're not satisfied with that, so the world is your food court; go eat wherever you want. But it's poor manner to keep eating at the Chinese restaurant serving you the best food in the world while complaining incessantly that it all tastes like shit while all other food tastes like super shit and ultra shit.


But did he taste cow dung tho?



People call it ambrosia, the food of gods.
 

Michaelsinodef

Senior Member
Registered Member
I don't agree with that. If Japan actually provide troops in a Taiwan liberation scenario, then the Chinese population will demand completely crush japan militarily. This is as revenge for ww3 and the interference in Taiwan. In this case, probably force japan to accept Ryukyu independence and become a Chinese protectorate and also allow Chinese basing in Japan ala American style. Or face a couple of nukes if they refuse.

Can't remember where I heard this, but someone told me the first use policy doesn't apply to Japan.
Nah I think the no first use also applies to Japan since it's a state that doesn't have their own nukes.
 
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